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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (19 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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MusicDating

Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,601
David O'Day said:
top notch comeback - great stuff
Click to expand...
Well, your air of superiority is tiresome. You try to belittle anyone who has a different view to your own and yet as your Celtic prediction laughingly showed, you ain't always right.

You appear to be an intelligent person, so pls try and debate with a little more humility, ta.
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,602
SBAndy said:
That’s fair, and not something I’d thought about a great deal. Still, I think that plays a much smaller role than the figures you’re using suggest. I had said to CCFCSteve already that inpatients might be a better measure than admissions this time around so I’m in tune with your way of thinking on this. Had my first jab the other day as well, second will be just after August Bank Holiday as it stands.
Click to expand...

I think the problem is a lot of the figures do not make sense or tally. Gov will do a big data drop over night with the latest data that tents to be out of date anyway.

For example death count the gov announce and what NHS and other nations health care announce never matches.

My point is and still is. Hospitals are super spreaders. Without getting that under control figures are always going to be worse. Esp when testing patients in for other issues then adding them as a covid patient if positive.

This is why multiple times the death figure has had to be changed for miss counting.

But this all stems from not using the nightingale/dedicated hospitals for covid new arrivals is really a massive failing from the Gov
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,603
SBAndy said:
I had said to CCFCSteve already that inpatients might be a better measure than admissions this time around so I’m in tune with your way of thinking on this.
Click to expand...
I'm not taking much comfort from the inpatient numbers to be honest, there's been a 23% rise in 2 weeks.

Desperately hoping that the increased cases and hospitalisations aren't going to lead to increased deaths but all metrics (cases, admissions, inpatients, ventilators) are increasing and we seem to just be hoping those increases stop.
jordan210 said:
I think the problem is a lot of the figures do not make sense or tally. Gov will do a big data drop over night with the latest data that tents to be out of date anyway.
Click to expand...
That's a fair point but the problem is there's a desire, and need, to put figures out every day but the more accurate data takes time to collate. For example the headline hospital admissions figures are by date of reporting hence the issues with weekends but any expert will want it by date of admission which is a few days behind. They'll then want info like age, health conditions, vaccination status which all takes time to come through.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,604
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It is I think prudent to seriously define ‘we have to live with Covid’ at a practical level
Click to expand...
Think there's an issue with context here. You hear case numbers, hospital admissions and deaths and no matter how low it goes it still sounds pretty bad as we have nothing to compare it to. How many people know the equivalent figures for other viruses that we live with?

But before we can think about that we've got to stabilise numbers. We're not at the learn to live with it stage while every statistic used is going up.
 

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,605
chiefdave said:
Think there's an issue with context here. You hear case numbers, hospital admissions and deaths and no matter how low it goes it still sounds pretty bad as we have nothing to compare it to. How many people know the equivalent figures for other viruses that we live with?

But before we can think about that we've got to stabilise numbers. We're not at the learn to live with it stage while every statistic used is going up.
Click to expand...

Having looked at the data just now (albeit for the first time in a long time) the mild positive I would take is that in the last 2 weeks of May the recorded cases (by specimen date) shot up by 232%. Since then, that has softened in June and whilst it is still going up, it’s only been by 73%. However, admissions still rose by roughly 60% in both 2-week windows, inpatients up by 36% and ventilator use up by 56%.

The raw data under some of these metrics is fairly low and it’ll be interesting to see what does happen to the admissions/inpatients in the next 2-week period through until the end of June.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,606
jordan210 said:
Just so everyone is aware. Once we do come out of lockdown. We are likely to see a surge of RSV esp in younger children/babies. Due to not being exposed to everyday viruses.
Click to expand...
My children have been at nursery since last July so I doubt that
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,607
fernandopartridge said:
My children have been at nursery since last July so I doubt that
Click to expand...

Just saying what the NHS and CDC in the states have both been briefing management.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,608
Good to see that they’re considering loosening restrictions for vaccinated people entering the country.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,609
chiefdave said:
Think there's an issue with context here. You hear case numbers, hospital admissions and deaths and no matter how low it goes it still sounds pretty bad as we have nothing to compare it to. How many people know the equivalent figures for other viruses that we live with?

But before we can think about that we've got to stabilise numbers. We're not at the learn to live with it stage while every statistic used is going up.
Click to expand...

I suppose I mean we need to define what success looks like.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,610
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I suppose I mean we need to define what success looks like.
Click to expand...

I’d argue it looks like NHS capacity being back to pre pandemic levels.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,611
Sky Blue Pete said:
Not if we continue with masks and social distancing
Click to expand...

Why bother with vaccinating the entire adult population if the plan is to continue with those?
 
Reactions: baldy, Earlsdon_Skyblue1 and MusicDating

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,612
Sick Boy said:
Good to see that they’re considering loosening restrictions for vaccinated people entering the country.
Click to expand...

Irony that foreigners will have more freedom of movement that us.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,613
With the masks it could be argued it'd be worth continuing with those like in the Far East just due to the air quality in cities and to reduce already existing diseases from high population density. Obv on a voluntary basis.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,614
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Irony that foreigners will have more freedom of movement that us.
Click to expand...
I expect by the end of July the Uk is will on the EU safe list or whatever it’s called.
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,615
Great news. The vaccine and immune system work

 

Saddlebrains

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,616
jordan210 said:
Great news. The vaccine and immune system work

Click to expand...




We know they do. That's why everyone's pissed off we aren't unlocking
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,617
Saddlebrains said:
We know they do. That's why everyone's pissed off we aren't unlocking
Click to expand...

Some in the thread seam quite happy we are not unlocking.........
 
Reactions: Earlsdon_Skyblue1 and Saddlebrains

Nick

Administrator
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,618
jordan210 said:
Some in the thread seam quite happy we are not unlocking.........
Click to expand...

Some won't want to go back to normal until nobody is ill ever anywhere.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete, Saddlebrains and Cityandproud87
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,619
jordan210 said:
Great news. The vaccine and immune system work

Click to expand...

Mate you really need to check what you are posting before jumping to conclusions


Further on in that thread it suggests that it's more like 6k, not 53...




 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,620
PVA said:
Mate you really need to check what you are posting before jumping to conclusions


Further on in that thread it suggests that it's more like 6k, not 53...




Click to expand...

Can only go by the confirmed numbers and not speculation.


but even if its 6k out of the 5m that have had the virus that is a very low number.

Would the number not also change quite drastically for the better. As lots of the data would have been collected before vaccine roll out ?

As the sample is 17 moths. week 27 what's June last year.
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,621
jordan210 said:
Can only go by the confirmed numbers and not speculation.


but even if its 6k out of the 5m that have had the virus that is a very low number.

Would the number not also change quite drastically for the better. As lots of the data would have been collected before vaccine roll out ?

As the sample is 17 moths. week 27 what's June last year.
Click to expand...

Only 1226 cases were checked though. So you can't say it's only 53 cases.

That's like polling 100 people and if 50 say they will vote Tory you cant then say 'only 50 people are going to vote Tory at this election'

I agree the numbers are still small but you keep posting things without fully reading the data and jumping to the wrong conclusions
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,622
PVA said:
Only 1226 cases were checked though. So you can't say it's only 53 cases.

That's like polling 100 people and if 50 say they will vote Tory you cant then say 'only 50 people are going to vote Tory at this election'

I agree the numbers are still small but you keep posting things without fully reading the data and jumping to the wrong conclusions
Click to expand...

Maybe it would be useful for PHE to give us more data do go on. As it would depend on when those cases are from/ Also health condition of patients. As people with immune issues who have been fully vaccinated can also show little to no antibodies.

It's still amazing news that shows clearly both immune and vaccine are effective at stopping re infection.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,623
Now passed 80% first jab, keep it going. 58% second
 
Reactions: shmmeee and CCFCSteve

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,624
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Now passed 80% first jab, keep it going. 58% second
Click to expand...


Brilliant news. Update from NHS digital is you can now check if your 2nd jab can be moved without having to cancel it straight away.

 
Reactions: shmmeee, Deleted member 5849, Brighton Sky Blue and 1 other person

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,625
jordan210 said:
Brilliant news. Update from NHS digital is you can now check if your 2nd jab can be moved without having to cancel it straight away.

Click to expand...

Just checked mine and there’s no other dates available at Stoneleigh.
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,626
jordan210 said:
Some in the thread seam quite happy we are not unlocking.........
Click to expand...
Nick said:
Some won't want to go back to normal until nobody is ill ever anywhere.
Click to expand...

Look, I’m desperate to get back to normal and basically have been for months anyway, but some people are genuinely worried. So stop being arseholes about it.

Mental health and all that when it suits.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849, Ian1779, robbiekeane and 6 others

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,627
hill83 said:
Look, I’m desperate to get back to normal and basically have been for months anyway, but some people are genuinely worried. So stop being arseholes about it.

Mental health and all that when it suits.
Click to expand...

On the flip side. members on the thread have shot down any information that doesn't suite them without facts. So isn't being arseholes.

If they are worried fine. Come out and say it. But trying to disprove things or snide remarks would assume they are just pushing there own narrative.
 
Reactions: Earlsdon_Skyblue1

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,628
hill83 said:
Just checked mine and there’s no other dates available at Stoneleigh.
Click to expand...

Worth checking now and again. If you feel like a gamble you can cancel it and try and rebook at a different location.

But no your original booking could go in the time.

I risked it and moved forward 4 weeks. But for ages no other appointments other than my original showed.
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,629
jordan210 said:
On the flip side. members on the thread have shot down any information that doesn't suite them. So isn't being arseholes.

If they are worried fine. Come out and say it. But trying to disprove things or snide remarks would assume they are just pushing there own narrative.
Click to expand...

Not getting into an argument about it.
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,630
jordan210 said:
Worth checking now and again. If you feel like a gamble you can cancel it and try and rebook at a different location.

But no your original booking could go in the time.

I risked it and moved forward 4 weeks. But for ages no other appointments other than my original showed.
Click to expand...

I’ll try again in a few days. Not in a massive rush to be honest but my second jab is the day before my lads birthday so would rather have it a bit earlier incase it does hit me.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,631
chiefdave said:
I'm not taking much comfort from the inpatient numbers to be honest, there's been a 23% rise in 2 weeks.

Desperately hoping that the increased cases and hospitalisations aren't going to lead to increased deaths but all metrics (cases, admissions, inpatients, ventilators) are increasing and we seem to just be hoping those increases stop.

That's a fair point but the problem is there's a desire, and need, to put figures out every day but the more accurate data takes time to collate. For example the headline hospital admissions figures are by date of reporting hence the issues with weekends but any expert will want it by date of admission which is a few days behind. They'll then want info like age, health conditions, vaccination status which all takes time to come through.
Click to expand...

Im with Andy on this and have always focussed on PHE inpatient figures, mainly because the justification for restrictions is (was) making sure the NHS doesn’t get overwhelmed and hopefully going forward, can at least operate at near normal levels. Agree with you that even inpatient numbers are going up, which you’d expected during a wave/spike but hopefully they can be contained (and the increase won’t become exponential) with less severe admissions being released far quicker, avoiding the Covid inpatient build up of past waves

Logically, that’s what the vaccines should deliver if effective...and enough people have been jabbed !
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,632
hill83 said:
Not getting into an argument about it.
Click to expand...

Im just saying. People are going to have different feelings about all this. Everyone needs to understand this and the snide remarks need to stop.

Mental health doesn't just effect people who are scared of covid. So for everyone sake. Maybe if people don't agree they post actually scientific facts. Not opinions. So it's a healthy debate. Not tit for tat.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,633
CCFCSteve said:
Im with Andy on this and have always focussed on PHE inpatient figures, mainly because the justification for restrictions is (was) making sure the NHS doesn’t get overwhelmed and hopefully going forward, can at least operate at near normal levels. Agree with you that even inpatient numbers are going up, which you’d expected during a wave/spike but hopefully they can be contained (and the increase won’t become exponential) with less severe admissions being released far quicker, avoiding the Covid inpatient build up of past waves

Logically, that’s what the vaccines should deliver if effective...and enough people have been jabbed !
Click to expand...

If those going through to hospital stays are mostly unvaccinated and in the category of 50+ then deaths will probably increase at least a bit. If they chose not to receive a vaccine I don’t really know what to say
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,634
Brighton Sky Blue said:
If those going through to hospital stays are mostly unvaccinated and in the category of 50+ then deaths will probably increase at least a bit. If they chose not to receive a vaccine I don’t really know what to say
Click to expand...

You can look at the NHS data for deaths that shows ages, location: Statistics » COVID-19 Daily Deaths

Todays data showed 16. 14 of them over 60. Think the break down was 60-79 = 6 and 80+ = 8.

It doesn't show if they have a vaccine or not.

Also the NHS data is for England only and normally doesn't tally with the dashboard.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,635
Brighton Sky Blue said:
If they chose not to receive a vaccine I don’t really know what to say
Click to expand...

“Though shit dickhead” will do.
 
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