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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (1 Viewer)

BornSlippySkyBlue said:
Eh? Given that nobody has any immunity to it at all I’m not sure what this means. You got any source for this?
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They tested the spread and shit when it was first becoming a thing, simply Google it and you will find all the info you want.
 
Kieranp96 said:
They tested the spread and shit when it was first becoming a thing, simply Google it and you will find all the info you want.
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It's running at 3 time's the predicted need for treatment in Italy.
 
SkyBlueDom26 said:
How would they, if its based on form? That means that most deserving teams would be in the play offs
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How many games do you take the form for though? last 6? Last 8? Last 10? or just do PPG overall so far? Each one likely to have a different outcome.

If last 6 - Oxford in playoffs
If PPG - Wycombe
 
shmmeee said:
Swine Flu has a mortality rate far far lower than COVID19. Even lower estimates for COVID put it at 50 times as lethal.

It’s the combination of lethality and contagiousness that you use to judge severity not one or the other.
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I don't think that's the case. Swine flu had a mortality rate of 0.8%. The thinking appears to be that covid-19 may have a mortality rate of 2% but confess I haven't seen too much on projected infections. Do you have a link?
 
dubed said:
I don't think that's the case. Swine flu had a mortality rate of 0.8%. The thinking appears to be that covid-19 may have a mortality rate of 2% but confess I haven't seen too much on projected infections.
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Was going off this for swine flu at 0.02%:

upload_2020-3-10_17-46-4.webp

And estimating COVID at 1% lower bounds.
 
I took my figure for swine flu from a peer-reviewed paper. But this aside, Shimmeee, I don't think this gives us a window into its contagiousness, which would be the other component here on how lethal it is. On the mortality rate, it's been considered that the worldometer figure is inflated by a lesser accuracy in identifying covid-19 at the early stages of the outbreak. But we know it all too early to say.
 
Wow the Forest owner literally bringing the Championship down. Met all the players, met with fans etc...I think we are weeks if not sooner for games to be played behind closed doors or suspended for a month.
 
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Wow the Forest owner literally bringing the Championship down. Met all the players, met with fans etc...I think we are weeks if not sooner for games to be played behind closed doors or suspended for a month.
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Completely selfish
 
Heard on Radio 2 that it takes 5 days for symptoms to kick in. I’m not quite panicking just yet, a bit worried maybe to see how soon they’re going to nip this in the bud.

Just hoping the bog roll horders get the chronic shits. And hopefully those selling it on get it even worse.
 
Kieranp96 said:
They tested the spread and shit when it was first becoming a thing, simply Google it and you will find all the info you want.
Click to expand...
I have, but I’ve never seen that said anywhere before and as you said it on a public forum I wondered if you could maybe back it up?
 
Tommo1993 said:
Heard on Radio 2 that it takes 5 days for symptoms to kick in. I’m not quite panicking just yet, a bit worried maybe to see how soon they’re going to nip this in the bud.

Just hoping the bog roll horders get the chronic shits. And hopefully those selling it on get it even worse.
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If they're from Holbrooks they may need the shit roll what with typhoid making a comeback.

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
 
BornSlippySkyBlue said:
I have, but I’ve never seen that said anywhere before and as you said it on a public forum I wondered if you could maybe back it up?
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It was around the time the women in this country took a Uber to hospital, and they said something like there was not enough sustained close contact and that it can only spread a few feet Infront of you, but this was before the new strain the less deadly strain was identified.
 
Things you should know.
1. Every western country is on exactly the same track as Italy, the only variable is the date of the first case. So in two weeks time UK likely to be like Italy today
2. Only one western economy breaks this rule - Japan, which is curious given the age of the population
3. Italy has a death rate of 8% - but it too has an elderly population
4. Euro's likely to be put off so that domestic competitions can be completed.
5. China's cycle from start to finish was around 8 weeks.
6. An open air football stadium has a low contamination risk. BUT WHO advice (not yet done by HM Govt) is for over 60's not to go (bugger)
 
Austrian and German ice hockey leagues have been abandoned, will be no champions this season in either.
 
Gibbo said:
Things you should know.
1. Every western country is on exactly the same track as Italy, the only variable is the date of the first case. So in two weeks time UK likely to be like Italy today
2. Only one western economy breaks this rule - Japan, which is curious given the age of the population
3. Italy has a death rate of 8% - but it too has an elderly population
4. Euro's likely to be put off so that domestic competitions can be completed.
5. China's cycle from start to finish was around 8 weeks.
6. An open air football stadium has a low contamination risk. BUT WHO advice (not yet done by HM Govt) is for over 60's not to go (bugger)
Click to expand...

Italy is unique to its exploration of illegal Chinese workers who are shipped in and out to support their fashion industry
 
Seems inevitable that games will be played behind closed doors very soon
 
Kieranp96 said:
It was around the time the women in this country took a Uber to hospital, and they said something like there was not enough sustained close contact and that it can only spread a few feet Infront of you, but this was before the new strain the less deadly strain was identified.
Click to expand...
How does the new coronavirus compare with the flu? | Live Science
This article (references studies from peer reviewed journals) states that flu has an infection rate, (measured by how many people each infected person will infect and called R0) of R0 = 1.2. Preliminary studies suggest Coronavirus has an infection rate of R0 = 2 - 3, so its roughly twice as infectious as the flu. Which kills many thousands every year. It also has a significantly higher mortality rate. So, easier to catch than the flu and significantly more deadly according to the data so far.

If you have any source that contradicts those figures I’ll happily take a look.
 
BornSlippySkyBlue said:
How does the new coronavirus compare with the flu? | Live Science
This article (references studies from peer reviewed journals) states that flu has an infection rate, (measured by how many people each infected person will infect and called R0) of R0 = 1.2. Preliminary studies suggest Coronavirus has an infection rate of R0 = 2 - 3, so its roughly twice as infectious as the flu. Which kills many thousands every year. It also has a significantly higher mortality rate. So, easier to catch than the flu and significantly more deadly according to the data so far.

If you have any source that contradicts those figures I’ll happily take a look.
Click to expand...

Yes, it has a significantly higher rate than 'seasonal flu' but not significantly higher than the 2009 swine flu pandemic. Again, swine flue rate was 0.8%, the figures in the article you quote vary from 1-4% to 2.3%. Again, context is important 1% of the world caught swine flu, of which 1% died
 
Gibbo said:
Things you should know.
1. Every western country is on exactly the same track as Italy, the only variable is the date of the first case. So in two weeks time UK likely to be like Italy today
2. Only one western economy breaks this rule - Japan, which is curious given the age of the population
3. Italy has a death rate of 8% - but it too has an elderly population
4. Euro's likely to be put off so that domestic competitions can be completed.
5. China's cycle from start to finish was around 8 weeks.
6. An open air football stadium has a low contamination risk. BUT WHO advice (not yet done by HM Govt) is for over 60's not to go (bugger)
Click to expand...
That is just not true, italy couldn't get a handle on where the virus was entering from meaning they couldn't contain the spread. The first confirmed cases were on the same day in the uk and italy.

Also the leaking of the plan to lock down Lombardy was spread it around the country faster than normal.

Sent from my SM-G975F using Tapatalk
 
Any mention on here about the Nottingham Forest owner testing positive for corona virus? He was also at their last game...
 
CanadianCCFC said:
Any mention on here about the Nottingham Forest owner testing positive for corona virus? He was also at their last game...
Click to expand...
No. What?!!!!

First I have heard of it.

giphy.gif
 
Gibbo said:
Things you should know.
3. Italy has a death rate of 8% - but it too has an elderly population
Click to expand...

5% according to the bbc. Again, the real rate will only be known once more extensive testing for the disease has taken place.
 
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