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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (16 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,676
Ring Of Steel said:
Yes I'm sure that people just have things out of context, its not really as much of a problem as people think.
Click to expand...

yeah, that’s what I said
 

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,677
Andy Burnham (with whom i've been impressed so far during the pandemic) reckons if the testing situation is not completed sorted within 2-3 weeks we'll lose control of the virus............I think hes wrong. I reckon that bird has flown. We're doomed.
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,678
CCFCSteve said:
yeah, that’s what I said
Click to expand...

Yes it is, like it was from day one.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,679
jimmyhillsfanclub said:
Andy Burnham (with whom i've been impressed so far during the pandemic) reckons if the testing situation is not completed sorted within 2-3 weeks we'll lose control of the virus............I think hes wrong. I reckon that bird has flown. We're doomed.
Click to expand...
We seem to be sleep walking into the same, if not worse, situation we were in earlier in the year. Yet again we seem to be a few weeks behind mainland Europe but seem to think what’s happening there won’t happen here.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,680
Ring Of Steel said:
Yes it is, like it was from day one.
Click to expand...

Haha, thought you might’ve read that Rebel Ideas by now and accepted or at least acknowledge some different/diverse views and thoughts. Maybe not

Youre right though my views haven’t really changed much ie shield those most at risk and everyone low risk try to maintain as normal a life as possible (within the restrictions/following certain measures). I agreed with original lockdown to ensure capacity within NHS wasn’t breached but wouldn’t agree with another national lockdown unless there were so many location hospital spikes you may as well.

This has been pretty much backed up by my personal experiences since the outbreak:

I know of seven people who’ve had it, three asymptomatic (probably loads more but only three tested as key workers), two mild like a cold, one mate laid up in bed as had asthma (was worrying for a time) and an 80 odd year old man (with pre existing health conditions) in my mums village who sadly passed away. On the other hand as I mentioned the other day....my ex wife who’s mum has had a stroke nearly died and not been able to visit due to Covid restrictions, I’ve not seen my mum (High risk) for over six months due to concerns about passing it on and two friend of friends suicides due to depression (with lockdown, job concerns etc). That’s not to mention the numerous others who’s jobs are now at risk due lockdown and economic impact

And also my view, whether you agree or not (your prerogative) is back up by some actual numbers (85-90% of deaths have pre existing health conditions, 85-90% over 65, 2% over 50, three times more likely to die if obese, cultural impacts etc etc) - some of these percentages might’ve altered a little but guessing not much.

I see plenty of bitching about what’s happening (some valid, like the latest testing mess) but very little about what people would actually do in terms of measures if they were in charge

Ps bit ranty but you get the point
 
Last edited: Sep 16, 2020

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,681
CCFCSteve said:
Not questioning there are rises but still need some context Fernando. I took a couple of pics from the gov numbers a few days back, for example on 6 Sept

Patients in hospital (covid) 756
Patients on ventilators 69
Patients admitted 124 (although think this had been stuck for a few days).

Yesterday’s uploaded figure
patients in hospital 972 (Sunday)
Patients on ventilators 106 (Monday)

Patients admitted is out of date so not sure where I can find latest number. Where do you get yours as gov site isn’t great.

now obviously any increase is concerning (I’d imagine that these numbers will unfortunately continue to increase for a while yet), however, at its peak I think
Patients in hospital with covid was something like 17,000 (from memory) they think tens of thousands were catching it per day and around 4-5000 were on ventilators. Not to mention deaths.

As I say people are right to be concerned but percentage rises on relatively small numbers can sometimes be misleading and distort people’s views. Hopefully people will heed the new advice and figures won’t start growing exponentially. Fingers crossed anyway
Click to expand...

Yes, it's a fair point that the % rise against a small number needs a bit of context, but it generally is just a reflection of

The peak was a catastrophic situation though, just saying it isn't as bad as then is no consolation. The speed at which things are growing is awful, particularly in the context of schools reopening and unavailability of tests.

It all feels a bit like history repeating itself to me, only there will not be a lockdown to stem the spread of the virus.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,682
chiefdave said:
We seem to be sleep walking into the same, if not worse, situation we were in earlier in the year. Yet again we seem to be a few weeks behind mainland Europe but seem to think what’s happening there won’t happen here.
Click to expand...

It will most probably happen here though Dave, its a pandemic with no current vaccine. It’s what’s then done to manage nhs capacity, treat it etc etc that is probably the main focus.

Ps if they don’t sort the track and trace app to go live in the next week or so as planned it will be another nail in Hancocks ministerial coffin as its essential to ensure people self isolate if they’ve come into contact with someone with it (to help manage that capacity)
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,683
CCFCSteve said:
It will most probably happen here though Dave, its a pandemic with no current vaccine. It’s what’s then done to manage nhs capacity, treat it etc etc that is probably the main focus.

Ps if they don’t sort the track and trace app to go live in the next week or so as planned it will be another nail in Hancocks ministerial coffin as its essential to ensure people self isolate if they’ve come into contact with someone with it (to help manage that capacity)
Click to expand...
Should be the Prime Minister ultimately responsible. Health Secretaries are expendible, but won't change the leadership from the top.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,684
Deleted member 5849 said:
Should be the Prime Minister ultimately responsible. Health Secretaries are expendible, but won't change the leadership from the top.
Click to expand...

Probably four years to next election though NW (although wouldn’t shock me until Johnson left before end of his term). If you’re not the best then at least get as good a team around you as possible...that’s his major failing to date
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,685
CCFCSteve said:
It will most probably happen here though Dave, its a pandemic with no current vaccine. It’s what’s then done to manage nhs capacity, treat it etc etc that is probably the main focus.

Ps if they don’t sort the track and trace app to go live in the next week or so as planned it will be another nail in Hancocks ministerial coffin as its essential to ensure people self isolate if they’ve come into contact with someone with it (to help manage that capacity)
Click to expand...

The lockdown and other measures aren’t just to save lives though, they’re to provide people with confidence to go about their lives and keep the economy going.

People started locking themselves down before the government first time The idea the lockdown harms the economy isn’t born out with the data. Countries that locked down hard and gave people confidence saw their economies rebounding quicker. We’ve had the worst of both worlds.

What is needed is a show of competence from the government ultimately. People don’t trust them to have a handle on it and will over correct to be cautious. It’s not about a particular policy so much.

Right now testing is vital to any kind of return to normality. I’m so sick of hearing excuses and fudging of data. This is too important for that sort of naked politicking. But this government is fundamentally unserious and incompetent.
 
Reactions: chiefdave and Sky Blue Pete
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,686
shmmeee said:
The lockdown and other measures aren’t just to save lives though, they’re to provide people with confidence to go about their lives and keep the economy going.

People started locking themselves down before the government first time The idea the lockdown harms the economy isn’t born out with the data. Countries that locked down hard and gave people confidence saw their economies rebounding quicker. We’ve had the worst of both worlds.

What is needed is a show of competence from the government ultimately. People don’t trust them to have a handle on it and will over correct to be cautious. It’s not about a particular policy so much.

Right now testing is vital to any kind of return to normality. I’m so sick of hearing excuses and fudging of data. This is too important for that sort of naked politicking. But this government is fundamentally unserious and incompetent.
Click to expand...

I agree with stricter local measures but another national lockdown....really ?! People couldn’t go about their lives during the lockdown, that was the issue (If we knew if/when a vaccine was coming I’d agree but surely they’ll just continue to be spikes until then, it’s managing them that will be the key)

Agree 100% about the testing. I was sympathetic early days but 6 months after the outbreak (plus a forewarning from abroad !), unacceptable

Edit - please don’t mention South Korea !!! Let’s stick to comparable around Europe. Even Germans running at around 1.5k cases per day currently
 
Last edited: Sep 16, 2020

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,687
CCFCSteve said:
I agree with stricter local measures but another national lockdown....really ?! People couldn’t go about their lives during the lockdown, that was the issue (If we knew if/when a vaccine was coming I’d agree but surely they’ll just continue to be spikes until then, it’s managing them that will be the key)

Agree 100% about the testing. I was sympathetic early days but 6 months after the outbreak (plus a forewarning from abroad !), unacceptable

Edit - please don’t mention South Korea !!! Let’s stick to comparable around Europe. Even Germans running at around 1.5k cases per day currently
Click to expand...

I don’t think we need a national lockdown yet. I think we need a sensible public health message firstly about the importance of taking measures like mask wearing and maintaining distance and we need to not be telling office workers who can work from home they have to come back.

This is the main point:


Just like with Brexit their lack of planning is now our emergency. Not even angry, just so tired of the incompetence. It’s not even about ideology, frankly it makes me happy they can’t organise a piss up in a brewery when it comes to policy as the chances of them actually carrying out their plans is slim. But on the virus it matters that they can deliver.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,688
CCFCSteve said:
Probably four years to next election though NW (although wouldn’t shock me until Johnson left before end of his term). If you’re not the best then at least get as good a team around you as possible...that’s his major failing to date
Click to expand...

he doesn't decide the team, thats Cummings.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,689
CCFCSteve said:
I agree with stricter local measures but another national lockdown....really ?! People couldn’t go about their lives during the lockdown, that was the issue (If we knew if/when a vaccine was coming I’d agree but surely they’ll just continue to be spikes until then, it’s managing them that will be the key)

Agree 100% about the testing. I was sympathetic early days but 6 months after the outbreak (plus a forewarning from abroad !), unacceptable

Edit - please don’t mention South Korea !!! Let’s stick to comparable around Europe. Even Germans running at around 1.5k cases per day currently
Click to expand...

Also of course the economies such as Germany and France didn’t fully lock down as industry carried on in some firm largely through it. Their schemes of furlough are long established lay off programmes and allow part time working. Big plants opened up pretty quickly but we were locked for 3 months

I guess we had to do it that way as we had no scheme. Also the revenue and treasury which has always been pretty dire was excellent and getting this scheme off the ground quickly and efficiently so if rightly you attack Hancock and his bumbling you’d have to praise Sunak as money lands into accounts quickly and small business loans were by June easy to access
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,690
CCFCSteve said:
I agree with stricter local measures but another national lockdown....really ?! People couldn’t go about their lives during the lockdown, that was the issue (If we knew if/when a vaccine was coming I’d agree but surely they’ll just continue to be spikes until then, it’s managing them that will be the key)
Click to expand...
I think a national lockdown is the only practical thing. History says that this will pass eventually due to natural causes, and next year from summer ought to at least start to get better, you'd hope.

But, learning from our last one, hitting hard and early is key, to minimise disruption. Piecemeal will cause more issues, and mean it drags on for longer.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,691
Deleted member 5849 said:
I think a national lockdown is the only practical thing. History says that this will pass eventually due to natural causes, and next year from summer ought to at least start to get better, you'd hope.

But, learning from our last one, hitting hard and early is key, to minimise disruption. Piecemeal will cause more issues, and mean it drags on for longer.
Click to expand...

So you would shut all places of work?
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,692
Deleted member 5849 said:
I think a national lockdown is the only practical thing. History says that this will pass eventually due to natural causes, and next year from summer ought to at least start to get better, you'd hope.

But, learning from our last one, hitting hard and early is key, to minimise disruption. Piecemeal will cause more issues, and mean it drags on for longer.
Click to expand...

You would have thought that someone in the government would be be able to draft clear rules if it happens again, instead of leaving 60m+ people to work it out for themselves
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,693
shmmeee said:
I don’t think we need a national lockdown yet. I think we need a sensible public health message firstly about the importance of taking measures like mask wearing and maintaining distance and we need to not be telling office workers who can work from home they have to come back.

This is the main point:


Just like with Brexit their lack of planning is now our emergency. Not even angry, just so tired of the incompetence. It’s not even about ideology, frankly it makes me happy they can’t organise a piss up in a brewery when it comes to policy as the chances of them actually carrying out their plans is slim. But on the virus it matters that they can deliver.
Click to expand...

That Rachel Cunliffes correct mate
 

skyblueinBaku

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,694
Ring Of Steel said:
You would have thought that someone in the government would be be able to draft clear rules if it happens again, instead of leaving 60m+ people to work it out for themselves
Click to expand...
The problem is that no matter how clear the rules are, there are plenty of cretins that will ignore them with little or no sanctions.
 

Ring Of Steel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,695
skyblueindorset said:
The problem is that no matter how clear the rules are, there are plenty of cretins that will ignore them with little or no sanctions.
Click to expand...

I agree, however we didn't even get to that point did we, there were no clear rules.

I mean stop to think about this a minute, we're 6 mths in and these are the types of 'rules' coming out:

1. We are not allowed to talk to family members in the street & are asked to report neighbours who have a few people around to their house.
2. We are allowed, if we so wish, to go grouse shooting with 29 other people.

This is the 'new norm', getting edicts like this & expected to know what the f*ck to do.
 

skyblueinBaku

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,696
Ring Of Steel said:
I agree, however we didn't even get to that point did we, there were no clear rules.

I mean stop to think about this a minute, we're 6 mths in and these are the types of 'rules' coming out:

1. We are not allowed to talk to family members in the street & are asked to report neighbours who have a few people around to their house.
2. We are allowed, if we so wish, to go grouse shooting with 29 other people.

This is the 'new norm', getting edicts like this & expected to know what the f*ck to do.
Click to expand...
I agree, RoS. The 'guidance' we have from the government doesn't seem logical and can be confusing. However, some is perfectly straightforward and there are still people that won't conform.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel
X

xcraigx

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,697
3991 today. Not good news.
 

ajsccfc

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,698
Imagine what the numbers would be if they were actually testing people instead of diverting them away
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,699
ajsccfc said:
Imagine what the numbers would be if they were actually testing people instead of diverting them away
Click to expand...

At least 5000 I think.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,700
Ian1779 said:
At least 5000 I think.
Click to expand...
I'd say alot more tbh
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,701
Just saw a chart, now can’t find thanks to the magic of Twitter, that showed us on exactly the same trajectory as France and Italy I think. We’ll be 10k in no time. It’s April all over again.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,702

Coronavirus: Rhondda Cynon Taf to go into lockdown

No-one can leave or enter Rhondda Cynon Taf without reasonable excuse from Thursday evening.
www.bbc.co.uk

imagine if they hadn't of tried to limit the testing in RCT to 60 day
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,703
shmmeee said:
Just saw a chart, now can’t find thanks to the magic of Twitter, that showed us on exactly the same trajectory as France and Italy I think. We’ll be 10k in no time. It’s April all over again.
Click to expand...

We'll never get to 10k reported cases because we just don't do enough testing
 
X

xcraigx

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,704
shmmeee said:
Just saw a chart, now can’t find thanks to the magic of Twitter, that showed us on exactly the same trajectory as France and Italy I think. We’ll be 10k in no time. It’s April all over again.
Click to expand...

Looks like we're 5 weeks behind Spain, 4 weeks behind France. Spain announced 156 deaths yesterday and 239 today. Around 6 weeks back deaths were in single digits. French deaths are certainly going up but are still relatively small at the moment.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,705
The way these things work, if Johnson is saying a second national lockdown isn't going to happen if at all possible... it's inevitable.

It's like giving a football manager the vote of confidence!
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,706
Deleted member 5849 said:
The way these things work, if Johnson is saying a second national lockdown isn't going to happen if at all possible... it's inevitable.

It's like giving a football manager the vote of confidence!
Click to expand...

Cant see it happening unless other European countries do
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,707
Evo1883 said:
I'd say alot more tbh
Click to expand...
We will continue to wander blindly into this until we are at breaking point. I think half of all schools will be shut or have reduced capacity within 2 weeks.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,708
Ian1779 said:
We will continue to wander blindly into this until we are at breaking point. I think half of all schools will be shut or have reduced capacity within 2 weeks.
Click to expand...

Is that what European countries see doing?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,709
Ian1779 said:
We will continue to wander blindly into this until we are at breaking point. I think half of all schools will be shut or have reduced capacity within 2 weeks.
Click to expand...

It was an easy decision last time. Y11 basically gone, end of the year in sight with summer to hope for improvement.

If you don’t lock down when you close schools you don’t get people into work because kids are at home and there’s no support because technically the government isn’t doing anything.

I think the schools will be the last thing to close TBH. They’ll just be expected to hobble on like all public services when under resourced.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2020
  • #31,710
shmmeee said:
It was an easy decision last time. Y11 basically gone, end of the year in sight with summer to hope for improvement.

If you don’t lock down when you close schools you don’t get people into work because kids are at home and there’s no support because technically the government isn’t doing anything.

I think the schools will be the last thing to close TBH. They’ll just be expected to hobble on like all public services when under resourced.
Click to expand...

I don’t think it’s a case of them being ‘closed’ by the government, it’s more that eventually there will not be enough staff to keep them open safely.

School lockdown by default.
 
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