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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (23 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,636
Waiting for Johnson to drop the bomb.

The new covid variant has a higher mortality rate.
 
Reactions: wingy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,637
Philosorapter said:
Waiting for Johnson to drop the bomb.

The new covid variant has a higher mortality rate.
Click to expand...

How has that been determined? Do they know for sure it isn't comorbidity with more wintery things?
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,638
Brighton Sky Blue said:
How has that been determined? Do they know for sure it isn't comorbidity with more wintery things?
Click to expand...

They're just going through it now
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,639
So are we saying longer lockdown, tighter restrictions on the basis it’s easier to spread too?
 

Philosoraptor

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,640
Whitty didn't answer the question of what percentage of protection having the first vaccine actually gives.
 
Reactions: wingy

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,641
This isn't very clear at all, and then they wonder why people don't understand the information they are given!

Johnson comes out and says the new variant is linked to higher mortality followed by Vallance saying the data they have from hospitals is that the mortality is the same. There is other unspecified uncertain data that indicates it may increase mortality 3 to 4 per 1,000. Surely that's the sort of thing you check and ensure is correct before the PM starts a press conference with it.
 
Reactions: Brylowes, wingy, Philosoraptor and 2 others

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,642
Ian1779 said:
So are we saying longer lockdown, tighter restrictions on the basis it’s easier to spread too?
Click to expand...
Seems like it
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,643
Having had a look at some figures and others views it appears.

10/1000 60 year old - mortality rate

13-14/1000 60 year olds - mortality rate *new*

So an increase in mortality from 1% to 1.3% or 1.4%.

But I bet the headlines tomorrow will be 40% increase
 
Reactions: SkyBlueCharlie9 and wingy

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,644
To sum it up, stay as it is.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,645
Some very mixed messages today
 
Reactions: wingy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,646
Philosorapter said:
They're just going through it now
Click to expand...

I'll be honest I don't watch them anymore they're just soul destroying
 
Reactions: skybluetony176 and Deleted member 5849

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,647
Sidestepped the question about the vaccine working against the "Mutant"

All it takes now is another mutant that isnt bothered by the vaccine, back to this time last year.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,648
jordan210 said:
Having had a look at some figures and others views it appears.

10/1000 60 year old - mortality rate

13-14/1000 60 year olds - mortality rate *new*

So an increase in mortality from 1% to 1.3% or 1.4%.

But I bet the headlines tomorrow will be 40% increase
Click to expand...
Vallance just backtracked on it there
 

Liquid Gold

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,649
Do they not plan these press conferences? Just go out and stay whatever you like lads.
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,650
"Get the levels down so it doesnt take off again"

They really are thick as fuck, they had people going to football matches in London and then on the train FFS. It was no surprise to anybody it "took off".
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,651
Does the mortality rate for non-covid respitory deaths go up in the winter?

Have that got data that compares mortality for recent weeks between those with the existing variant and those with the new variant?
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,652
Nick said:
"Get the levels down so it doesnt take off again"

They really are thick as fuck, they had people going to football matches in London and then on the train FFS. It was no surprise to anybody it "took off".
Click to expand...

We're at the point where we're going to have to wait for those 9 groups to get two jabs
 
Reactions: wingy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,653
chiefdave said:
Does the mortality rate for non-covid respitory deaths go up in the winter?

Have that got data that compares mortality for recent weeks between those with the existing variant and those with the new variant?
Click to expand...

That's the data I'd like to see
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve and wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,654
chiefdave said:
Does the mortality rate for non-covid respitory deaths go up in the winter?

Have that got data that compares mortality for recent weeks between those with the existing variant and those with the new variant?
Click to expand...
Apparently the data provided from hospital's does not support this
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,655
wingy said:
Vallance just backtracked on it there
Click to expand...

yeah vallance did say hospital data shows mortality is the same but other data may indicate a slightly higher mortality rate

not as trailed by Boris
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,656
Brighton Sky Blue said:
We're at the point where we're going to have to wait for those 9 groups to get two jabs
Click to expand...

2023
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,657
David O'Day said:
yeah vallance did say hospital data shows mortality is the same but other data may indicate a slightly higher mortality rate

not as trailed by Boris
Click to expand...
Did Nervetag interpret the data inspite of it?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,658
Nick said:
2023
Click to expand...

Getting up to 400k jabs a day, live in hope
 

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,659
We cant unlock to go out but people can still fly abroad on holiday.....
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,660
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Getting up to 400k jabs a day, live in hope
Click to expand...
If you it ends up only 30% effective it's going to fool many people into dropping their guard.
It's going to take month's to determine the efficacy and that will have to be outside of lockdown.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,661
Nick said:
We cant unlock to go out but people can still fly abroad on holiday.....
Click to expand...

Anyone booking holidays now is plain daft
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,662
wingy said:
If you it ends up only 30% effective it's going to fool many people into dropping their guard.
It's going to take month's to determine the efficacy and that will have to be outside of lockdown.
Click to expand...

Two jabs needed before any conclusions can be made
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and wingy

Nick

Administrator
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,663
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Anyone booking holidays now is plain daft
Click to expand...

They are still happening....
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,664
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Anyone booking holidays now is plain daft
Click to expand...
Not if you book in Cornwall that’s sensible

Sandy Toes Cornwall. Holiday home. St Eval, Padstow, Cornwall

Gorgeous family holiday house. Padstow and Newquay, and close to beaches, walking trails and cornwall's greatest attractions. Garden, well equipped kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, pets welcome. Perfect for holiday getaway. Sandy Toes Cornwal www.SandyToesCornwall.com
www.sandytoescornwall.com
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,665
chiefdave said:
Does the mortality rate for non-covid respitory deaths go up in the winter?

Have that got data that compares mortality for recent weeks between those with the existing variant and those with the new variant?
Click to expand...
You may get an increase just from the fact the system has become overwhelmed I guess,but to reiterate the data from hospital's hasn't suggested this .
But even that needs to be interpreted as treatment has improved between first wave and this.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,666
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Two jabs needed before any conclusions can be made
Click to expand...


this is the issue with their messaging, people think you get the full wack straight off the bat

also the headlines are painting the picture the new variant is super deadly as boris fucked the press conference
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge and wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,667
Are they suggesting that the increase is solely down settings outside of the NHS.
Care homes, private dwelling?
Any others?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,668
David O'Day said:
this is the issue with their messaging, people think you get the full wack straight off the bat

also the headlines are painting the picture the new variant is super deadly as boris fucked the press conference
Click to expand...
Let's see how it goes weeks after enough people have had two jabs. People have to wait for good data rather than demand unreliable data quickly
 
Reactions: SBAndy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,669
Sky Blue Pete said:
Not if you book in Cornwall that’s sensible

Sandy Toes Cornwall. Holiday home. St Eval, Padstow, Cornwall

Gorgeous family holiday house. Padstow and Newquay, and close to beaches, walking trails and cornwall's greatest attractions. Garden, well equipped kitchen, 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, pets welcome. Perfect for holiday getaway. Sandy Toes Cornwal www.SandyToesCornwall.com
www.sandytoescornwall.com
Click to expand...

Prefer Sussex by the Sea. All together now...
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Jan 22, 2021
  • #40,670
chiefdave said:
This isn't very clear at all, and then they wonder why people don't understand the information they are given!

Johnson comes out and says the new variant is linked to higher mortality followed by Vallance saying the data they have from hospitals is that the mortality is the same. There is other unspecified uncertain data that indicates it may increase mortality 3 to 4 per 1,000. Surely that's the sort of thing you check and ensure is correct before the PM starts a press conference with it.
Click to expand...
They've got data on 8% of deaths only to make that determination, dreadful fear mongering
 
Reactions: wingy
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