Championship 21/22 (3 Viewers)

[Evo1883]

Perfect sense. Thanks.

 

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[SlowerThanPlatt]

WBA and Stoke early leads

 

[Terry_dactyl]

I was invited to go and watch Cardiff v West Brom tonight. I turned it down on the basis that Cardiff are really dull to watch. Glad I did as I’d be sat next to a moaning, shouting father in law…in the rain.

 

[hill83]

No, for exactly the reason you suspect, as the second & third shots come about as an outcome of the first.

In this scenario you instead calculate the chance that a goal wouldn't be scored.

Let's say as an example (I'm making these xG numbers up) the first shot (Ikpeazu?) has an xG of 0.15 then the first rebound is a really tight angle so let's say 0.10 then the 3rd is a really good look at goal (although Moore is positioned well) say 0.50.
Then we'd multiply the chance of each i.e. (1.0 - 0.15) x (1.0 - 0.10) x (1.0 - 0.50)
0.85 x 0.90 x 0.50 = 0.3825 i.e. only a 38% chance that 'Boro don't score from that sequence.

Middlesbrough's xG would then be 0.6175 or, in layman's terms, we'd expect a goal to be scored from that scenario approx 62% of the time.

Make sense?

 

[hill83]

WBA and Stoke early leads

Down to 4th now.

Is Allens all the 5s?

 

[Sky Blue Harry H]

PNE equalise v Stoke. M'Boro 2-0 up v Sheff Utd (happy with that). Blackburn losing. Results going ok so far this evening. Not fussed about WBA, as they are likely to win a lot, and I don't mind them taking points off other mid-table teams.

Hull 1-0 down at home to Blackpool. Reckon McCann will be gone if they lose this?

 

[Happy_Martian]

Have left my Sky screen on the 6 matches in play so I can watch the action on all 6 and just hear one commentary. Bluntly, apart from QPR, I can't see one team tonight that has anything compared to our buzz and energy. Most of the 12 sides playing are the stereotypical blood and thunder teams with little to no idea how to string 3 passes together. Boredom is starting to set in watching these games.

Tried the Luton forum earlier and after my migraine receded (I left that style of post threading when Usenet stopped being popular), they definitely think they're going to win at a canter. Can't wait for 24 hrs time.

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

Down to 4th now.

Is Allens all the 5s?

Back up to 3rd

 

[Sky Blue Pete]

PNE equalise v Stoke. M'Boro 2-0 up v Sheff Utd (happy with that). Blackburn losing. Results going ok so far this evening. Not fussed about WBA, as they are likely to win a lot, and I don't mind them taking points off other mid-table teams.

Hull 1-0 down at home to Blackpool. Reckon McCann will be gone if they lose this?

Blackpool flying

 

[Happy_Martian]

Cracking own goal just scored by Cardiff. Couldn't have been 2 yards out and looks like he smashed the ball into the goal 0-2 WBA leading

 

[Sky Blue Harry H]

Brereton-Diaz again! Glad he'll be missing for the game against us!

then Blackburn concede, and Brereton gets a second for 2-2

Where was this player last season. 9 goals in 10 games?!? They'll sell him for as much as Armstrong at this rate !!

 

[Happy_Martian]

Brereton-Diaz again! Glad he'll be missing for the game against us!

His transformation since he found he had Chilean blood (and added -Diaz) to his name has been remarkable. Good last season alongside Armstrong but this season, he's scoring for fun.

 

[Liquid Gold]

I can’t really get excited at other results are yet as I haven’t got a clue who our rivals for positions are.

 

[Happy_Martian]

And he does it again. Huddersfield 2-2 Blackburn, Brereton-Diaz from the penalty spot.

 

[fernandopartridge]

Fleck looking sloppy for Sheffield United

 

[TomRad85]

I can’t really get excited at other results are yet as I haven’t got a clue who our rivals for positions are.

Only Stoke or Blackburn could take us tonight I think, so would be good if they didn't and we went into the next game still 3rd.

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[TomRad85]

His transformation since he found he had Chilean blood (and added -Diaz) to his name has been remarkable. Good last season alongside Armstrong but this season, he's scoring for fun.

Adding -Diaz to your name is a nailed on way to be better at football.

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[hill83]

I can’t really get excited at other results are yet as I haven’t got a clue who our rivals for positions are.

I don't think I'll be interested about other teams until Christmas at least.

 

[TomRad85]

I don't think I'll be interested about other teams until Christmas at least.

I still like to see the teams that are supposed to run away with it drop points even this early. Opens it up a bit.

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[Sky Blue Harry H]

Hull are doomed is one fairly confident prediction, as will Derby be if they are hit with a second points penalty (and maybe even without) That leaves one place which I think will be Peterborough (although I'd prefer another bigger club to fall.

 

[no_loyalty]

Looks like Mick McCarthy is under pressure, Cardiff now 3-0 down at home to West Brom.

 

[Happy_Martian]

WBA now 4-0 up. McCarthy will not be happy. Cardiff haven't really challenged Albion at all.

 

[Sky Blue Harry H]

Looks like Mick McCarthy is under pressure, Cardiff now 3-0 down at home to West Brom.

Agreed - think he and McCann are in the mire. Also the wheels have started to come off at Birmingham.

 

[Happy_Martian]

I can’t really get excited at other results are yet as I haven’t got a clue who our rivals for positions are.

Fair comment. I said before the season started that I'd be happy with a mid table finish, an improvement on last season. Our start is exceptional this year so it's interesting to see who is beating who and where we can pick up points. I have no doubts that we won't be challenging for the auto spots and we'd have to be lucky to pick up a playoff place. But the season is long and we're only just a quarter through. Anything can happen....

 

[Happy_Martian]

Huddersfield 3-2 Blackburn.

 

[Evo1883]

Huddersfield lead , draw would have been nice tbh

 

[no_loyalty]

Agreed - think he and McCann are in the mire. Also the wheels have started to come off at Birmingham.

Bowyer started well with Charlton in the Championship, it then went downhill rapidly.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Love this

Reminds me of Nigel Pearson vs journalists

 

[Evo1883]

Reminds me of Nigel Pearson vs journalists

It's the way he puffs his chest out and raises his head as he gives his verdict

 

[mark82]

Fair comment. I said before the season started that I'd be happy with a mid table finish, an improvement on last season. Our start is exceptional this year so it's interesting to see who is beating who and where we can pick up points. I have no doubts that we won't be challenging for the auto spots and we'd have to be lucky to pick up a playoff place. But the season is long and we're only just a quarter through. Anything can happen....

Fifth of the way through. Not a quarter for a couple of games yet.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

It's the way he puffs his chest out and raises his head as he gives his verdict

It’s also the ‘I don’t like them’, reminds me of ‘you must be an ostrich’

 

[South West Sky Blue]

Looks like Mick McCarthy is under pressure, Cardiff now 3-0 down at home to West Brom.

Not convinced he’ll have a job this time tomorrow….

 

[mark82]

We can't drop lower than 4th tomorrow. If we win we'll be 6 points clear of 7th place.

 

[Evo1883]

Be lovely to win tomorrow , not just to go potentially joint top .. but to really get people wanting to go Saturday.

Buzzing really, finish work , home , shower ..down to Luton

 

[HuckerbyDublinWhelan]

My West Brom supporting brother in law just told me they’d done their bit, pressures on us now to keep up.

not once in pre-season did I expect that conversation during this season