MusicDating
Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!
Yer, that's interesting. On the (bookies odds) face of it, we've got a nice spread of 'hard' games.
Looking at Watford's start, Rob Edwards might be looking for a new job after 3 games
Yer, that's interesting. On the (bookies odds) face of it, we've got a nice spread of 'hard' games.Interesting view of perceived difficulty of fixtures - @Philosorapter , you might like this (graphic in tweet)
Do people actually go and watch Wrestling?
Would have rather played Sunderland later, I’d imagine their place will be bouncing first game back in the Championship, similar to our game vs Forest last season. Looks a pretty kind start, really need to look to be taking a decent amount of points early on. Reading and Birmingham back to back at home right at the end of the season is nice too.
Interesting view of perceived difficulty of fixtures - @Philosorapter , you might like this (graphic in tweet)
All new teams entering the division get a 1500 rating, old teams keep their ratings. All teams also have their Rating Deviation reset to 350, with the RD getting progressively smaller when more games are played. This will give a decent accurate spread of how new teams are doing against established teams which already have a recognised rating in the league, given the results.
Most teams will lose or gain players between seasons, which means assessing the ratings or places from where a team has finished last year to this year, could be described as a little dubious. You would expect that teams dropping a division would have a higher rating than a team around a top of the division (and vice versa for teams going up a division) but this is not always the case, and can throw off any accuracy when doing ratings.
Six games in should give everyone a better view on the weightings of each team in the division, this should then solidify more around the tenth to fourteenth game.
Think I may do a GIF of this process for the first 12 games to show the process.
Edit - when I talk about 1500 for anything, it is the midway point in the league. Just thought I would throw that in. It is what everything is truly balanced around.
Was there that day stood on the terrace, good old days!!Sheff Utd away Boxing Day brings back memories of Sean Flynn top binner and our last visit there on Boxing Day.
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Ask the kids if they fancy treating her to a day out in BlackpoolI’m pissed at that… it’s Mother’s Day on the Sunday… I’ll be getting divorced if Im not there for that
My first outdoor shit of the season is in Sunderland then, how apt!
Is this one of those 3D pictures that you have to squint at for hours to make out?Interesting view of perceived difficulty of fixtures - @Philosorapter , you might like this (graphic in tweet)
The Sunderland forum is in over drive.
some guy saying he is going to crack some skyblue sculls, others saying it’s an easy fixture as we only finished mid table.
Looks like the Lion mascot from the 2012 Olympic gamesIs this one of those 3D pictures that you have to squint at for hours to make out?
All new teams entering the division get a 1500 rating, old teams keep their ratings. All teams also have their Rating Deviation reset to 350, with the RD getting progressively smaller when more games are played. This will give a decent accurate spread of how new teams are doing against established teams which already have a recognised rating in the league, given the results.
Most teams will lose or gain players between seasons, which means assessing the ratings or places from where a team has finished last year to this year, could be described as a little dubious. You would expect that teams dropping a division would have a higher rating than a team around a top of the division (and vice versa for teams going up a division) but this is not always the case, and can throw off any accuracy when doing ratings.
Six games in should give everyone a better view on the weightings of each team in the division, this should then solidify more around the tenth to fourteenth game.
Think I may do a GIF of this process for the first 12 games to show the process.
Edit - when I talk about 1500 for anything, it is the midway point in the league. Just thought I would throw that in. It is what everything is truly balanced around.
I reckon this should be the starting position for the 2022/23 season
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Not bad but the obvious flaw is the promoted and relegated teams on the same ranking, do you not factor in what leagues they were playing in?
I think it's a great fixture list for us. On paper it looks easy street for the first month or so bar an odd one. I don't think Sunderland will be an immediate force of any kind in their first season back, and will should beat them comfortably on opening day. A good early run sets the season up and I think we will get that. Looking very positive for us this fixture list. of course we are always proven wrong by someone and are surprised by some other teams. But think it's safe to say we will start in the top 6 and remain in the top 6 all season, with the chance of top two. Will Norwich lead the way? Not so sure this time for them.
Let’s not forget either that Sunderland finished 5th in L1. Doesn’t look like they are strengthening too much over the summer and I think the best they can hope for is to survive and build from there. Playing in front of 30K and on Sky will not phase us. At the end of the season we stuffed Fulham & Blues away from home and picked up points against WBA & Stoke who we should have comfortably beat on the last day. We’re a decent, organised side under Robins and Sunderland are in for a shock at how strong this league is. I think we’ll finish top 10, Sunderland will stay up but not higher than 18th.Been on the happy pills again? I'm all for being positive and understand how you might 'hope' we have such a season, but your expectations appear to be beyond the realistic based where we are at right now.
Sunderland will not be the pushover you think they will be either. Playing them first game at their place is the worst possible time as they will become a much softer touch as the season progresses. They will still have the feel good factor from their promotion, urged on by a big crowd who will be vociferous, and on this occasion anyway, that will stick with them. The whole day will be about them, that's why its on TV and I expect there will be only minimal focus on us, which will undoubtedly rise the hackles of a number of posters on here. Obviously still hoping we stick it to them, but its far from being a shoe in.
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