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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (21 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,661
Pete may be sniggering but Reeves is viewed as a disaster - no business big or small has any confidence in her whatsoever- she is pitifully out of her depth
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,662
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Not at all, far from breaking up the Union, Brexit was implicitly saved it. The nationalists in Scotland and Wales can’t credibly argue that they’ll join the EU because that would mean hard borders with England. Which is just not realistic.

NI will probably be lost, with or without Brexit.
Click to expand...
It pulled NI and Scotland out of the EU against their wishes and has dragged NI in particular through the ringer. I'd argue that if British governments generally gave more of a shit about NI then it would probably remain for the foreseeable future, but that's a separate issue.

All Brexit has done is have more small c conservative voters in England drag half of the home nations out of Europe against their will. It was a gift wrapped present for Sinn Fein and the SNP in particular. One of the big arguments leading to the Scottish referendum was that independence would take Scotland out of Europe and it'd have to reapply. It wasn't the argument I preferred to use on the doorstep but it was one we were encouraged to go with. Then 2 years later it's dragged out anyway when it voted strongly in favour of remaining.
 
Reactions: duffer

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,663
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It pulled NI and Scotland out of the EU against their wishes and has dragged NI in particular through the ringer. I'd argue that if British governments generally gave more of a shit about NI then it would probably remain for the foreseeable future, but that's a separate issue.

All Brexit has done is have more small c conservative voters in England drag half of the home nations out of Europe against their will. It was a gift wrapped present for Sinn Fein and the SNP in particular. One of the big arguments leading to the Scottish referendum was that independence would take Scotland out of Europe and it'd have to reapply. It wasn't the argument I preferred to use on the doorstep but it was one we were encouraged to go with. Then 2 years later it's dragged out anyway when it voted strongly in favour of remaining.
Click to expand...

Didn’t more Scottish people vote to leave the EU than voted for the SNP?
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,664
Grendel said:
Of course one thing is for certain. If Sir Anthony Charles Lynton Blair was PM he’d be sucking up to The Donald like no tomorrow.

You only have to look how he dribbled over George Dubya Bush to agree with that. Two brain cells meet and unite.
Click to expand...
Do you think using his full name somehow makes him a better or worse politician? We can play the same game with Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson and George Gideon Oliver Osborne if you wish.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,665
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Do you think using his full name somehow makes him a better or worse politician? We can play the same game with Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson if you wish.
Click to expand...

I did two posts above?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,666
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It pulled NI and Scotland out of the EU against their wishes and has dragged NI in particular through the ringer. I'd argue that if British governments generally gave more of a shit about NI then it would probably remain for the foreseeable future, but that's a separate issue.

All Brexit has done is have more small c conservative voters in England drag half of the home nations out of Europe against their will. It was a gift wrapped present for Sinn Fein and the SNP in particular. One of the big arguments leading to the Scottish referendum was that independence would take Scotland out of Europe and it'd have to reapply. It wasn't the argument I preferred to use on the doorstep but it was one we were encouraged to go with. Then 2 years later it's dragged out anyway when it voted strongly in favour of remaining.
Click to expand...

The Brexit debate must of course be very conflicted for you
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,667
Grendel said:
Didn’t more Scottish people vote to leave the EU than voted for the SNP?
Click to expand...
By percentages the SNP usually collect about half of the Scottish vote, but 62% voted to remain in the EU. My wife's constituency was one of the highest Leave-voting areas in Scotland but still didn't get more than half even there.

It is fair to say however that the SNP's traditional heartlands pretty much all kicked them out over their Brexit stance. Some recovery since.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,668
Brighton Sky Blue said:
By percentages the SNP usually collect about half of the Scottish vote, but 62% voted to remain in the EU. My wife's constituency was one of the highest Leave-voting areas in Scotland but still didn't get more than half even there.

It is fair to say however that the SNP's traditional heartlands pretty much all kicked them out over their Brexit stance. Some recovery since.
Click to expand...

That’s not what I asked?
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,669
Grendel said:
That’s not what I asked?
Click to expand...
For the 2017 election about 40,000 fewer votes for the SNP than Brexit in 2016. When you compare the 2015 election, there were about 450,000 more votes for the SNP than Brexit 2016.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,670
Grendel said:
Pete may be sniggering but Reeves is viewed as a disaster - no business big or small has any confidence in her whatsoever- she is pitifully out of her depth
Click to expand...
Not sniggering just smile emoticon
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,671
Sky Blue Pete said:
Not sniggering just smile emoticon
Click to expand...

She is the big problem and needs to go.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,672
Grendel said:
Didn’t more Scottish people vote to leave the EU than voted for the SNP?
Click to expand...
There's more options in elections and lower turnout.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,673
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
There's more options in elections and lower turnout.
Click to expand...
In 2015 450,000 more voted for the SNP anyway. Hence he’s gone a bit quiet
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,674
Brighton Sky Blue said:
In 2015 450,000 more voted for the SNP anyway. Hence he’s gone a bit quiet
Click to expand...

Surely it would have strengthened post then not gone down?
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,675
this is quite an interesting read

Who supports Reform and why? The charts that show who favours Farage’s party

Based on largest poll of supporters, these charts and maps show five distinct groups that could hand Reform a majority
www.theguardian.com
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, Mucca Mad Boys and CCFCSteve
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,676
chiefdave said:
this is quite an interesting read

Who supports Reform and why? The charts that show who favours Farage’s party

Based on largest poll of supporters, these charts and maps show five distinct groups that could hand Reform a majority
www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...

The ‘working right’ sound like old school traditional Labour voters to me
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,677
CCFCSteve said:
The ‘working right’ sound like old school traditional Labour voters to me
Click to expand...
Find it interesting to see the divide between those who prioritise cost of living and immigration.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,678
Summoning @TomRad85 to the politics thread. That’s @TomRad85 to the politics thread, thank you.

 
Reactions: wingy, TomRad85 and mmttww

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,679
The problem with Reeves is that she only sees the economy through the eyes of the city and / or her Thatcherite philosophy on government spending.

She has no clue about the real world impact of any decisions on people or businesses.
 
Reactions: wingy and Sick Boy

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 13, 2025
  • #58,680
fernandopartridge said:
The problem with Reeves is that she only sees the economy through the eyes of the city and / or her Thatcherite philosophy on government spending.

She has no clue about the real world impact of any decisions on people or businesses.
Click to expand...
Do you think maybe we ought to start looking at the real world record of the economics put forward over the last few decades and suggest that the main proponents behind them ( like PPE and LSE Economics) are actually at best massively flawed and at worst rubbish.
 
Reactions: chiefdave

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,681
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Find it interesting to see the divide between those who prioritise cost of living and immigration.
Click to expand...
These are the people that are in competition with low income migrants so they’ve put 2+2 together and made the link between mass immigration and cost of living.

CCFCSteve said:
The ‘working right’ sound like old school traditional Labour voters to me
Click to expand...
Indeed. The Labour Party and indeed wider trade union movement had generally been “right wing” on immigration by today’s standards. Blair changed that fabric and social liberalism is so entrenched in the party it’s chased away of working class voters.

The labels used by this article is a bit patronising too. For example, ‘Contrarian Youth’. Overall, Gen Z voters are surprisingly a lot more right wing than previous generations, specifically on immigration. My expectation is that this is because they’re the first generation who grew up in the era of mass migration but that’s conjecture. In Germany, the AfD polled surprisingly well among young male voters but even its standing among female voters was unexpectedly high.

In any case, Reform and Greens do v well with Gen Z voters so rather than being “contrarian”, UK politics is changing in a v fundamental way.

UK politics has been realigning since Brexit and for a moment, the Tories had ‘won’ momentarily but because of its betrayal on immigration, faced annihilation. The findings on the article are interesting but unsurprising. I’d expect v similar results if prospective Green voters were polled.
Many Labour voters share a similar disgust to this Labour government as was the case with Tory voters and the last Tory one.

The main parties can no longer gaslight the electorate by saying “Vote Reform, get Labour” or “Vote Green, get Reform”. The electorate is rightly washing their hands of a decrepit ancien régime until they offer policies they actually want.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,682
Mucca Mad Boys said:
These are the people that are in competition with low income migrants so they’ve put 2+2 together and made the link between mass immigration and cost of living.
Click to expand...
No, my point was some have a top priority of cost of living and for others it’s immigration. Low income migrants aren’t the reason behind high living costs anyway, but that’s the Reform grift summed up quite neatly anyway.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,683
The problem with Reform is that they don’t really have anything apart from going on about immigration. Their councils seem to be a shambles; I’m no longer convinced they’ll maintain the momentum for the GE - maybe we’ll end up with a coalition of all parties!
 
Reactions: chiefdave

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,684
Brighton Sky Blue said:
No, my point was some have a top priority of cost of living and for others it’s immigration. Low income migrants aren’t the reason behind high living costs anyway, but that’s the Reform grift summed up quite neatly anyway.
Click to expand...
Agreed. However, there is one massive exception where immigration is absolutely increasing costs: housing provision.

The average cost of a house is 9x the average salary. You’d have to go back to the 19th century to find a time it was less expensive.

It’s not all about immigration, but when housebuilding targets are premised on 300k net migration and not only are the targets not met, net migration is significantly higher than 300k.

Reform isn’t grifting the electorate. The Tories and Labour grifted the electorate when continually promising to lower migration but delivering the exact opposite. The Greens don’t have a winning message imo, but they are unashamedly pro-immigration and don’t see a need to reduce migration.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,685
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Agreed. However, there is one massive exception where immigration is absolutely increasing costs: housing provision.

The average cost of a house is 9x the average salary. You’d have to go back to the 19th century to find a time it was less expensive.

It’s not all about immigration, but when housebuilding targets are premised on 300k net migration and not only are the targets not met, net migration is significantly higher than 300k.

Reform isn’t grifting the electorate. The Tories and Labour grifted the electorate when continually promising to lower migration but delivering the exact opposite. The Greens don’t have a winning message imo, but they are unashamedly pro-immigration and don’t see a need to reduce migration.
Click to expand...
Guess that's where we'll have to agree to disagree really, I just see the people in charge of Reform as snake oil selling charlatans.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, chiefdave and Sky Blue Pete

mmttww

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,686
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Reform isn’t grifting the electorate.
Click to expand...

a platform which amounts to 'the foreigners are the problem' and a leader that spreads stories about immigrants killing and eating swans from Royal parks instead of talking about how they'll get houses built, services and infrastructure sorted and long term quality jobs secured feels like a bit of a grift to me.

You're talking about a party selling Reform football kits while dodging VAT, with a track record of focusing their hours in office on making and maintaining alliances with far right nutters around the world and paving the way for their rich pals to stay rich and get more rich. Oh, and flags. I forgot flags.
 
Reactions: wingy, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Sick Boy and 4 others

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,687
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Agreed. However, there is one massive exception where immigration is absolutely increasing costs: housing provision.

The average cost of a house is 9x the average salary. You’d have to go back to the 19th century to find a time it was less expensive.

It’s not all about immigration, but when housebuilding targets are premised on 300k net migration and not only are the targets not met, net migration is significantly higher than 300k.

Reform isn’t grifting the electorate. The Tories and Labour grifted the electorate when continually promising to lower migration but delivering the exact opposite. The Greens don’t have a winning message imo, but they are unashamedly pro-immigration and don’t see a need to reduce migration.
Click to expand...
Labour have significantly reduced immigration
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,688
mmttww said:
a platform which amounts to 'the foreigners are the problem' and a leader that spreads stories about immigrants killing and eating swans from Royal parks instead of talking about how they'll get houses built, services and infrastructure sorted and long term quality jobs secured feels like a bit of a grift to me.

You're talking about a party selling Reform football kits while dodging VAT, with a track record of focusing their hours in office on making and maintaining alliances with far right nutters around the world and paving the way for their rich pals to stay rich and get more rich. Oh, and flags. I forgot flags.
Click to expand...
Effective though
 
Reactions: wingy and LarryGrayson

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,689
mmttww said:
a platform which amounts to 'the foreigners are the problem' and a leader that spreads stories about immigrants killing and eating swans from Royal parks instead of talking about how they'll get houses built, services and infrastructure sorted and long term quality jobs secured feels like a bit of a grift to me.

You're talking about a party selling Reform football kits while dodging VAT, with a track record of focusing their hours in office on making and maintaining alliances with far right nutters around the world and paving the way for their rich pals to stay rich and get more rich. Oh, and flags. I forgot flags.
Click to expand...
That isn’t their platform at all. The polling data shared on here shows that they cut through on other issues.

Comments like yours show just how disconnected many people on the left are in relation to understanding why people support Reform.

Sky Blue Pete said:
Labour have significantly reduced immigration
Click to expand...
Have they? What policies have they implemented that have had an impact?

The last figures were 400k and that was mostly a continuation of the last governments policy. Besides, the electorate consistently wants immigration at 0-100k and that’s been the case since 2010.

Brighton Sky Blue said:
Guess that's where we'll have to agree to disagree really, I just see the people in charge of Reform as snake oil selling charlatans.
Click to expand...
Interesting. See, I wouldn’t call Polanski a “snake oil selling charlatan”, his ideas are just wrong and wouldn’t benefit the country.

You know and iirc, have posted about the difficulties of running a household, just how expensive it is to rent/own a home. For the vast majority of people, the highest outgoing is easily their housing costs and there’s significant evidence that immigration has driven us up. For the best part of a decade or two, house building has not kept up with net migration.

There are other economic issues at play, QE has had the unintended impact of transferring assets to wealthy individuals/companies. Home ownership is down 5% from 10-20 years ago which is sad.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,690
fernandopartridge said:
The problem with Reeves is that she only sees the economy through the eyes of the city and / or her Thatcherite philosophy on government spending.

She has no clue about the real world impact of any decisions on people or businesses.
Click to expand...

Thatcherite spending philosophy?! What, trying to grow the economy? (Not sure that’s working so far) Come on FD. They’re already borrowing and taxing £70bn more per year over the parliament (let’s say £300-350bn). I’d imagine tax will increase further this budget. As the party hasnt shown any semblance of ability in even minimising spending increases, we’re already probably paying billions more in servicing debt.

Let’s hope the government spends all this extra cash wisely

ps nobody’s moving to MMT any time soon so let’s not go round all that again
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,691
CCFCSteve said:
Thatcherite spending philosophy?! What, trying to grow the economy? (Not sure that’s working so far) Come on FD. They’re already borrowing and taxing £70bn more per year over the parliament (let’s say £300-350bn). I’d imagine tax will increase further this budget. As the party hasnt shown any semblance of ability in even minimising spending increases, we’re already probably paying billions more in servicing debt.

Let’s hope the government spends all this extra cash wisely

ps nobody’s moving to MMT any time soon so let’s not go round all that again
Click to expand...
I nearly spat out my coffee seeing Rachel Reeves described as “Thatcherite”. Ultimately, this government is in a mess because it’s massively increased spending and borrowing without a plan to pay for it. The tax rises in the last budget was highest tax raids in decades and it’s still not enough.

The gilts are spiking already over the budget because they don’t view UK government spending as sustainable. What FP proposes is fantasy land and the UK would be punished by financial markets.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,692
Mucca Mad Boys said:
I nearly spat out my coffee seeing Rachel Reeves described as “Thatcherite”. Ultimately, this government is in a mess because it’s massively increased spending and borrowing without a plan to pay for it. The tax rises in the last budget was highest tax raids in decades and it’s still not enough.

The gilts are spiking already over the budget because they don’t view UK government spending as sustainable. What FP proposes is fantasy land and the UK would be punished by financial markets.
Click to expand...
Clueless
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,693
Once again MMT is a description of how currency creation works not a policy
 
Reactions: chiefdave

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,694
Mucca Mad Boys said:
That isn’t their platform at all. The polling data shared on here shows that they cut through on other issues.

Comments like yours show just how disconnected many people on the left are in relation to understanding why people support Reform.


Have they? What policies have they implemented that have had an impact?

The last figures were 400k and that was mostly a continuation of the last governments policy. Besides, the electorate consistently wants immigration at 0-100k and that’s been the case since 2010.


Interesting. See, I wouldn’t call Polanski a “snake oil selling charlatan”, his ideas are just wrong and wouldn’t benefit the country.

You know and iirc, have posted about the difficulties of running a household, just how expensive it is to rent/own a home. For the vast majority of people, the highest outgoing is easily their housing costs and there’s significant evidence that immigration has driven us up. For the best part of a decade or two, house building has not kept up with net migration.

There are other economic issues at play, QE has had the unintended impact of transferring assets to wealthy individuals/companies. Home ownership is down 5% from 10-20 years ago which is sad.
Click to expand...

What’s driving the fall in net migration? | National Statistical

blog.ons.gov.uk

no one wants 100k net I don’t think they just want zero small boat crossings
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 14, 2025
  • #58,695
fernandopartridge said:
Clueless
Click to expand...
I’m enjoying that you’re saying this with no irony whatsoever.

If you want to continue believing Reeves is “Thatcherite”, crack on mate. I won’t break that delusion.
 
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