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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (32 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:13 PM
  • #50,576
shmmeee said:
Taking the emotion out of it all the data is on my side. Fertility rates started dropping in the sixties. Are we really saying that was peak living for everyone?
Click to expand...
For freedom from oppression absolutely.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:14 PM
  • #50,577
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Economically it might have been.
Click to expand...

What metric would you like to use here? Disposable income? Average weekly wage?

Like if you’re a housing theory of everything by kind of guy it should correlate with house price to wage ratio and it doesn’t.
 
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Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:23 PM
  • #50,578
shmmeee said:
Taking the emotion out of it all the data is on my side. Fertility rates started dropping in the sixties. Are we really saying that was peak living for everyone?
Click to expand...
It was better than the 50's but contraceptive pills and the tendency to marry later might have had something to do with it.

I'm fairly sure their are multiple reasons, there is likely no simple explanation.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:26 PM
  • #50,579
Captain Dart said:
It was better than the 50's but contraceptive pills and the tendency to marry later might have had something to do with it.

I'm fairly sure there are multiple reasons, there is likely no simple explanation.
Click to expand...

I mean whatever it is has to apply to all these places at once:

 

Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:32 PM
  • #50,580
shmmeee said:
I mean whatever it is has to apply to all these places at once:

View attachment 43039
Click to expand...
Some countries must have experienced a real boom in births since world population increased from 2.5 bn in 1950 to 8.2 bn now.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:34 PM
  • #50,581
Captain Dart said:
Some countries must have experienced a real boom in births since world population increased from 2.5 bn in 1950 to 8.2 bn now.
Click to expand...

Some of the starting points are very high in Asia and Africa. Even though they’ve come below replenishment recently they were well above for decades before.
 
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:40 PM
  • #50,582
On a wide scale kids are insurance against old age and illness. Have lots of kids, more chance one of them grows up well off enough for you to live off when you’re old and decrepit. The better either the state looks after you or you can provide for yourself the less you need lots of kids for economic reasons and the more your life becomes about kids as self actualisation and wanting to provide a better childhood for them than you had. Which as a parent in 2025 is basically impossible. I earn way more than my parents ever did and couldn’t dream of giving my kids the upbringing I had. I think that’s what people like BSB are referencing. But to say it’s impossible or you have to put your kids into poverty is just hyperbolic nonsense. Plenty of people raise kids perfectly well on meagre salaries.
 
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wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:41 PM
  • #50,583
The early sixties it was booming for us new car's furniture op, one of 4 at the time,and increased to seven by decades end,bet my dad wasn't on.much more than £20-22.Masseys.in around 62, Irish immigrant married local girl , incentives to start a family.
 
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:53 PM
  • #50,584
shmmeee said:
On a wide scale kids are insurance against old age and illness. Have lots of kids, more chance one of them grows up well off enough for you to live off when you’re old and decrepit. The better either the state looks after you or you can provide for yourself the less you need lots of kids for economic reasons and the more your life becomes about kids as self actualisation and wanting to provide a better childhood for them than you had. Which as a parent in 2025 is basically impossible. I earn way more than my parents ever did and couldn’t dream of giving my kids the upbringing I had. I think that’s what people like BSB are referencing. But to say it’s impossible or you have to put your kids into poverty is just hyperbolic nonsense. Plenty of people raise kids perfectly well on meagre salaries.
Click to expand...
It isn’t what I’m referencing at all.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:44 PM
  • #50,585
shmmeee said:
What metric would you like to use here? Disposable income? Average weekly wage?

Like if you’re a housing theory of everything by kind of guy it should correlate with house price to wage ratio and it doesn’t.
Click to expand...

Income distribution was far more equal in the late 60s than it is today
 
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Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:55 PM
  • #50,586
fernandopartridge said:
Income distribution was far more equal in the late 60s than it is today
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Massively and a desire to limit it too
Blair 1997 changed all that really
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:32 PM
  • #50,587
Sky Blue Pete said:
Massively and a desire to limit it too
Blair 1997 changed all that really
Click to expand...

Thatcher changed it and Blair built on it. Income inequality was highest by Thatcher's last year and highest under Brown by 2007/08.

 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 4:51 PM
  • #50,588
fernandopartridge said:
Thatcher changed it and Blair built on it. Income inequality was highest by Thatcher's last year and highest under Brown by 2007/08.

View attachment 43045
Click to expand...
Thanks for challenging my prejudice with facts
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:07 PM
  • #50,589
The Philosopher said:
It’s important to logic-line through the probability / possibility scenarios.

Worst case:

An oversupply of houses would be an absolute economic disaster, declining birth rate, declining population, reduced demand for housing, house prices fall to a level less than equity (ie negative equity) / debt / mass bankruptcy and repossession, government having to step in - the consequences that follow. Nightmare fuel for the UK economy (so reliant on saddling humans with debt that they are obliged to pay in order to live) is if we have a house price crash to the extent that humans just go bankrupt and demand social housing and the civil unrest that would ensue in such a scenario.

“Build more houses” is a shallow conclusion.

Go to Tile Hill and Canley, see the prefab houses thrown up after the second war. We could do the same quickly and easily if we really wanted to; there are reasons why we don’t.

Never underestimate how politicians are controlled by financiers and foreign lobbyists.
Click to expand...
So basically people that can't get a home can go fuck themselves because some financial institutions might not make money as quickly.
 

The Philosopher

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:33 PM
  • #50,590
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
So basically people that can't get a home can go fuck themselves because some financial institutions might not make money as quickly.
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That’s the harsh reality of how our nation is controlled. A select few believe that they have the divine right to lord it over the little people.
 

Captain Dart

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 7:43 PM
  • #50,591
The Philosopher said:
That’s the harsh reality of how our nation is controlled. A select few believe that they have the divine right to lord it over the little people.
Click to expand...
This is quite an interesting thread on Japan's solution to redevelopment.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • 16 minutes ago
  • #50,592

UK-US trade deal good for West Midlands firms, say experts

The West Midlands-based car manufacturer welcomed the news of reduced tariffs on exports to the US.
www.bbc.co.uk
 
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