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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (19 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,851
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Same rhetoric as was about for the first lockdown (once they'd dropped the herd immunity nonsense (publically at least)) but we failed to do any of it. It looks like we're going to fail again and are about to make all the same mistakes we did first time round. I'm still clinging to the hope that deaths are staying relatively low compared to cases compared to before, but that could start to change if more people require hospitalisation and health services start to get stretched. I'm not pinning my hopes on a vaccine, as great as that'd be, and effective tracking and tracing isn't going to happen if they're obsessed with ensuring testing contracts go to private industry run by their mates.

Last time it was annoying that they didn't heed what was going on abroad and use it to make their plans. This time they're seemingly not only ignoring the similar trends in Europe like last time but also their own experiences. Except this time I doubt they'll even lockdown.

"Save a grand, not a granny"
Click to expand...

Cases aren’t really comparable to the start when we were only testing those presenting to hospital really. We’re probably picking up 10-20 times more than we were then (numbers from my ass)
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,852
shmmeee said:
Cases aren’t really comparable to the start when we were only testing those presenting to hospital really. We’re probably picking up 10-20 times more than we were then (numbers from my ass)
Click to expand...

Good point.

But the upward trend is still worrying and I fear we'll sleepwalk into another situation whereby people start needing hospitalising as it spreads into the more vulnerable areas, plus as we go into flu season the effect of possibly having two bad respiratory diseases at once, the system becomes stretched and people start dying in greater numbers, At which point Hancock et al will be out blaming the public for (not) doing something. Or the hospital/care workers for (not) following guidelines. Basically anything but their own incompetence and inability to lead.

The reports that care homes are being coerced into taking positive patients are shocking and shows that not only have they learnt nothing, they don't care. If it were a home their own parent/grandparent was in and it was taking in Covid positive patients they'd be the first up in arms about it. Complete lack of empathy, which for me is requirement no.1 to hold public office.
 
Reactions: Ring Of Steel
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,853
shmmeee said:
Cases aren’t really comparable to the start when we were only testing those presenting to hospital really. We’re probably picking up 10-20 times more than we were then (numbers from my ass)
Click to expand...
About 4-5 times from my mine.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,854
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Good point.

But the upward trend is still worrying and I fear we'll sleepwalk into another situation whereby people start needing hospitalising as it spreads into the more vulnerable areas, plus as we go into flu season the effect of possibly having two bad respiratory diseases at once, the system becomes stretched and people start dying in greater numbers, At which point Hancock et al will be out blaming the public for (not) doing something. Or the hospital/care workers for (not) following guidelines. Basically anything but their own incompetence and inability to lead.

The reports that care homes are being coerced into taking positive patients are shocking and shows that not only have they learnt nothing, they don't care. If it were a home their own parent/grandparent was in and it was taking in Covid positive patients they'd be the first up in arms about it. Complete lack of empathy, which for me is requirement no.1 to hold public office.
Click to expand...

Oh yeah totally. That’s my worry is people thinking it’s got milder because the case to death ratio has risen, when really were just a month or so earlier in the process.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,855
fernandopartridge said:
Of course it's relevant, if the scope is so broad that it includes 50% of the population then the 307 number is utterly meaningless. Why are epidemiologists so nervous about it? Why are critical care consultants so worried about it?
Click to expand...
People have had enough of the experts...
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,856
shmmeee said:
Cases aren’t really comparable to the start when we were only testing those presenting to hospital really. We’re probably picking up 10-20 times more than we were then (numbers from my ass)
Click to expand...

tbf, if they decide to put steps in place now to stop it spiralling any more, that would at least be learning from last time. Will also give more of a chance of avoiding such drastic measures again so would be better for the economy...
 
Reactions: shmmeee

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,857
Deleted member 5849 said:
tbf, if they decide to put steps in place now to stop it spiralling any more, that would at least be learning from last time. Will also give more of a chance of avoiding such drastic measures again so would be better for the economy...
Click to expand...

Could we New Zealand it this time? Cut travel out pretty much completely then a short lockdown to stop its spread here? Would people go for that or has the crazy horse bolted now and people won’t be told what to do?
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,858
shmmeee said:
Could we New Zealand it this time? Cut travel out pretty much completely then a short lockdown to stop its spread here? Would people go for that or has the crazy horse bolted now and people won’t be told what to do?
Click to expand...

Community transmission is too high now, even if we cut travel and lockdown it is still likely to spread in food shops and emergency workers.

Horse was well and truly bolted
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,859
shmmeee said:
Could we New Zealand it this time? Cut travel out pretty much completely then a short lockdown to stop its spread here? Would people go for that or has the crazy horse bolted now and people won’t be told what to do?
Click to expand...
I think we lost our chance of that, when we opened up a couple of weeks too early, before we'd squashed it fully flat. Think our best hope is indeed keep it manageable. I fear end October could be bad though - tbf it seems government are at least listening to experts just atm, at least... we'll see if the message is remotely intelligible this time around!
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,860
Where is 60-70% of transmission happening then Hancock?
Not in the workplace .
Not in education.
30% from young folk socialising.
Most people being admitted to hospital 45 -55 so parents of this generation.
Mortality Will remain low while in this demographic.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,861
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,862
shmmeee said:
Could we New Zealand it this time? Cut travel out pretty much completely then a short lockdown to stop its spread here? Would people go for that or has the crazy horse bolted now and people won’t be told what to do?
Click to expand...
Remember when we weren't supposed to travel to Greece and the prime minister's own father found a loophole around it and laughed his cock off at the rest of us? Some people hold that sort of behavior up as inspirational it seems.
 

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,863
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-54201656

Why wait until Tuesday FFS?.....This weekend will now be like NYE in most northern cities & towns.
 

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,864
Israel having a 3 week national lockdown
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,865
Earlsdon_Skyblue1 said:
Well, you can stop being so dramatic with point number two. In fact, I'm not even going to answer that it is such a ridiculous thing to say.
Click to expand...
It may not be meant that way but when we're in the middle of a pandemic and there's a highly contagious, potentially deadly virus you must be able to see why people would have issue with what can come across as screw the vulnerable, lets just open everything up and hope for the best.

I don't see that we can realistically open things up while protecting the vulnerable. You're not just talking about people who were told to shield, you're talking about a huge percentage of the population. Ignoring any mental health issues if you've got the rest of the country back to something approaching normal while they are locked up at home how does it work financially?

Most people with underlying conditions wouldn't qualify for a sick note for a day off let alone any sort of disability benefits. Do you extend furlough, if so who makes the call on who is vulnerable. Can you weigh yourself and self certify?

It makes a great soundbite, 'protect the vulnerable and everyone else can get back to normal', but once you drill down into what would actually be required it quickly unravels.
Earlsdon_Skyblue1 said:
If it is true, and only 307 'healthy' people have died then that is extremely far from the notions that have been put out.
Click to expand...
Where is that figure from mate? Tried googling it and not seeing anything come up.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,866
Evo1883 said:
Israel having a 3 week national lockdown
Click to expand...

And their 2nd wave started a few weeks ago approximately a fortnight after schools went back. Very worrying
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,867
Deleted member 5849 said:
tbf, if they decide to put steps in place now to stop it spiralling any more, that would at least be learning from last time. Will also give more of a chance of avoiding such drastic measures again so would be better for the economy...
Click to expand...

It's mostly window dressing though isn't it. Like shmmeee or someone else said previously. There was a quid pro quo to the first lockdown:

The public comply with lockdown measures
The government implement measures to avoid the need for a future lockdown (testing capacity, effective track and trace, hospital capacity, coordinated financial support for people effected by local lockdowns etc)

As I see it, the public kept its side of the bargain but the government has failed on its side, yet tries to blame the public for it.
 
Reactions: djr8369, Sky_Blue_Dreamer and clint van damme

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,868
Listening to matt Hancock on sky news, he's given 3 stages before national lockdown... So the answer to you all who want a new Zealand style approach... Is that as before it will go too far by the sounds of it.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,869
fernandopartridge said:
It's mostly window dressing though isn't it. Like shmmeee or someone else said previously. There was a quid pro quo to the first lockdown:

The public comply with lockdown measures
The government implement measures to avoid the need for a future lockdown (testing capacity, effective track and trace, hospital capacity, coordinated financial support for people effected by local lockdowns etc)

As I see it, the public kept its side of the bargain but the government has failed on its side, yet tries to blame the public for it.
Click to expand...
Yeah, tbf I was trying to be positive!

I agree with your second paragraph btw, that is what the deal should have been.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,870
Sky Blue Pete said:
Yep I suppose it’s what is covered by underlying health conditions. Asthma? Diabetes? Obesity?
Click to expand...
fernandopartridge said:
Have you seen the scope of 'underlying health conditions'? it's massive and includes a big 'other' group which is the non obvious stuff.
Click to expand...
shmmeee said:
Do you know how many people are overweight, or smoke, or have asthma, or have a bowel disease? It's most of the population. Even young people at the peak of fitness might have heart or lung issues undiagnosed.
Click to expand...
Completely agree with these posts. People talk about underlying conditions like it refers to people already at deaths door. I'd be classed as having, at least, two underlying conditions yet nothing that impacts my day to day life. I've had two days sick off work in the last 15 years and that was to go into hospital for an op!
 
Reactions: wingy, shmmeee, Sky Blue Pete and 1 other person

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,871
fernandopartridge said:
I just don't understand what the Nightingale is for. My understanding from colleagues who worked on it was that it was for step down care for people coming out of hospital. This just suggests it was a complete gimmick.
Click to expand...
I'd suggest you are correct that it was a PR exercise. Seems when hospitals that were overflowing tried to transfer patients there they were told it wasn't possible as there was no staff.

Nurse shortage causes Nightingale hospital to turn away patients

Exclusive: Covid-19 patient transfers to new London facility cancelled owing to lack of ICU nurses
www.theguardian.com
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,872
shmmeee said:
Could we New Zealand it this time? Cut travel out pretty much completely then a short lockdown to stop its spread here? Would people go for that or has the crazy horse bolted now and people won’t be told what to do?
Click to expand...

Although there's no one size fits all and NZ will be different to here in terms of density, climate etc you would think it'd be one of the first places you'd look to emulate in future. But we won't because it's not a massive economy and we're obsessed with money and following what they do, regardless of whether the economy is particularly relevant to whatever it is we're looking at.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,873
chiefdave said:
I'd suggest you are correct that it was a PR exercise. Seems when hospitals that were overflowing tried to transfer patients there they were told it wasn't possible as there was no staff.

Nurse shortage causes Nightingale hospital to turn away patients

Exclusive: Covid-19 patient transfers to new London facility cancelled owing to lack of ICU nurses
www.theguardian.com
Click to expand...

Which they should of forseen as they increased the number of ICU beds but not the number of ICU nurses.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,874
Deleted member 5849 said:
I think we lost our chance of that, when we opened up a couple of weeks too early, before we'd squashed it fully flat. Think our best hope is indeed keep it manageable. I fear end October could be bad though - tbf it seems government are at least listening to experts just atm, at least... we'll see if the message is remotely intelligible this time around!
Click to expand...

They're 'listening' because they're not telling them to shut things down.

If it gets to the stage where infections etc are getting ridiculously high and they suggest it, they'll stop listening and just do whatever the hell they please, just like always.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,875

Coronavirus: 'Widespread virus growth across the country'

The R number has risen to between 1.1 and 1.4 as officials warn of "far worse things to come".
www.bbc.co.uk
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,876

New Zealand backs lockdown strategy despite record contraction

Economy shrinks 12.2% but Wellington adamant restrictions will lead to strong recovery
www.ft.com
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,877
Deleted member 5849 said:

New Zealand backs lockdown strategy despite record contraction

Economy shrinks 12.2% but Wellington adamant restrictions will lead to strong recovery
www.ft.com
Click to expand...
So their economy shrank by 12.2% and ours by 20.4%

We’re at 627 deaths per million, their figure is 5.

Thoroughly depressing how much of a mess we’ve made of this from every angle.
 
Reactions: skybluetony176 and Sky Blue Pete
X

xcraigx

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,878
Deleted member 5849 said:

Coronavirus: 'Widespread virus growth across the country'

The R number has risen to between 1.1 and 1.4 as officials warn of "far worse things to come".
www.bbc.co.uk
Click to expand...

I'm surprised that testing is picking up such a high proportion of cases if the 6000 figure is accurate. By the time you take off the asymptomatic cases (20 to 40% depending on which research you use), those who can't get a test who have it and those who think they probably have a cold and don't get a test and so on it's a pretty high %.

4300 odd positives this afternoon.
 
Reactions: shmmeee

tommydazzle

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,879
Hancock being economical with the truth re the 6.4 miles as the average distance travelled for the Covid test. He’s used the median to avoid the skewing upwards
of those folk who may have travelled long distances but more crucially the stat doesn’t include people who were offered the tests perhaps at ridiculous distances and did not take them.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Ian1779, wingy and 1 other person

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,880
tommydazzle said:
Hancock being economical with the truth re the 6.4 miles as the average distance travelled for the Covid test. He’s used the median to avoid the skewing upwards
of those folk who may have travelled long distances but more crucially the stat doesn’t include people who were offered the tests perhaps at ridiculous distances and did not take them.
Click to expand...
He's a disingenuous c**t
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, Sky_Blue_Dreamer, MusicDating and 2 others

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,881
xcraigx said:
I'm surprised that testing is picking up such a high proportion of cases if the 6000 figure is accurate. By the time you take off the asymptomatic cases (20 to 40% depending on which research you use), those who can't get a test who have it and those who think they probably have a cold and don't get a test and so on it's a pretty high %.

4300 odd positives this afternoon.
Click to expand...
Over 20 deaths again too
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,882
fernandopartridge said:
He's a disingenuous c**t
Click to expand...
And many other types of cunts besides.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,883
fernandopartridge said:
He's a disingenuous c**t
Click to expand...
Basically think of any type of c**t. That’s Matt Hancock.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
D

Deleted member 4439

Guest
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,884
It would be nice to think that the guy would be given a minimum of 5 years for this.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2020
  • #31,885
dubed said:
It would be nice to think that the guy would be given a minimum of 5 years for this.
Click to expand...
Complete wanker and interesting not giving a toss about being on cctv
 
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