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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (10 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,656
dubed said:
Wingy, I don't think this is correct. By region, China's mortality rates range from 1.4% to 3.6% overall. What's interesting to me is the 0.2% mortality rate in Germany, as they are also a country that has undertaken a large amount of testing for the virus, and which increases the denominator when calculating mortality rates. The UK Gov't own estimate is a 1% mortality rate, which is close to that for Swine flu. Italy's mortality rate is currently 2%. As has been recognised, just as important, if not more, is the % infected.
Click to expand...
We may be at cross purposes .
It was a small sample from early on .
Both the lower age groups were running around double the over,80's ?
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,657
CCFCSteve said:
Appreciate that, but I was pointing out that the constant abuse he/the government gets on here isn’t necessarily reflective of the wider population.

I’ve got a mix of mates (with various political persuasions) and haven’t heard many moans, not because I think anyone thinks the governments approach has been perfect, but because they understand these are unprecedented times
Click to expand...

I'd probably suggest as a country we've been battered into submission
 
Reactions: peace ndlovu

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,658
Brighton Sky Blue said:
So he hasn’t said who counts as protected workers. Thanks mate
Click to expand...
Believe there is a list available but also been told by someone who is on that list that her family doesn’t count as only her job is on the list so unless both parents are on the list or you’re a single parent your children can’t go into school still.
 

cc84cov

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,659
shmmeee said:
Guys. You didn’t have coronavirus last year. If you did we’d currently be in the middle of a mass outbreak as opposed to the start. One person restarted the outbreak in Korea, similarly our good tracking suppressed the first outbreak here. You weren’t running around Cov with coronavirus believe me, it genuinely was man flu.
Click to expand...
Any chance on a graph to back this up mate ?
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,660
Astute said:
The first 100 is the same as the next 400. And so on. It flattens out even when the cases go up by hundreds a day. They then use this to say how ours is shooting up yet the others are not. But that is not the reality.
Click to expand...

Good grief. Absolutely no one is saying this. No one.

You've missed the point quite spectacularly.
 
M

Monners

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,661
djr8369 said:
You can mention what you want. Half of this thread is people arguing about the graph so pretty sure it can be mentioned!

Yes, that's how a log scale works. It will flatten out while cases are going up by hundreds a day further up the curve BUT if the increase continues to be exponential it will continue to be a straight line. If the curve begins to flatten you might still have hundreds of cases per day but if you're further up the scale those hundreds might be a small percentage and so it will mean the growth rate is slowing. No matter how high up the scale you are eventually you the gradient will get shallower and level off to a horizontal line once there are no new cases/deaths.
Click to expand...
Thank you. Always good to have someone that understands how to read a graph and what a log scale is!

I shall now remove myself from tethers end
 
Reactions: wingy and PVA
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,662
dubed said:
Wingy, I don't think this is correct. By region, China's mortality rates range from 1.4% to 3.6% overall. What's interesting to me is the 0.2% mortality rate in Germany, as they are also a country that has undertaken a large amount of testing for the virus, and which increases the denominator when calculating mortality rates. The UK Gov't own estimate is a 1% mortality rate, which is close to that for Swine flu. Italy's mortality rate is currently 2%. As has been recognised, just as important, if not more, is the % infected.
Click to expand...

"I don't think this is correct" then supplying a reasonable explanation? That's not how it works here, son. You're supposed to reply with dripping condescension and then spend your time telling people the other person is an idiot and sneering at every post they make.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 4439, BornSlippySkyBlue, NortonSkyBlue and 1 other person

Nick

Administrator
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,663
djr8369 said:
"I don't think this is correct" then supplying a reasonable explanation? That's not how it works here, son. You're supposed to reply with dripping condescension and then spend your time telling people the other person is an idiot and sneering at every post they make.
Click to expand...
Nah it's all about graphs now.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 4439
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,664
Monners said:
Thank you. Always good to have someone that understands how to read a graph and what a log scale is!

I shall now remove myself from tethers end
Click to expand...

I'm going for tea, not waiting to see this hand grenade go off.
 
M

Monners

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,665
Nick said:
Nah it's all about graphs now.[/QUOT

Good God
Click to expand...
 
M

Monners

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,666
djr8369 said:
I'm going for tea, not waiting to see this hand grenade go off.
Click to expand...
Me too.
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,667
"I had a fever, a headache and my eyes were burning. I already had symptoms during the night, shivering for cold"

Corona hit footballer said above

Sounds like you had coronavirus @hill83
 
Reactions: Otis

Nick

Administrator
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,668
Yeah I keep seeing people mention eyes burning.

Hopefully if he does have it he will piss it out soon
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,669
Feeling a bit better at the moment. Still got a cough but it’s not a dry cough now. Went for a walk round the block with my lad on his scooter. Knackered me out but I feel like it did me good. Didn’t see a single car driving about.

Almost had thoughts of having a beer a minute ago but I won’t.
 
Reactions: GaryMabbuttsLeftKnee, RegTheDonk, mr_monkey and 2 others

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,670
hill83 said:
Feeling a bit better at the moment. Still got a cough but it’s not a dry cough now. Went for a walk round the block with my lad on his scooter. Knackered me out but I feel like it did me good. Didn’t see a single car driving about.

Almost had thoughts of having a beer a minute ago but I won’t.
Click to expand...
Are you not supposed to stay indoors for 14 days?
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,671
covcity4life said:
Are you not supposed to stay indoors for 14 days?
Click to expand...

You are allowed out to exercise but need to stay 2 metres away from people. I didn’t see anyone.
 
Reactions: covcity4life and Sky Blue Pete

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,672
How come only 66 more cases please?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,673
Sky Blue Pete said:
How come only 66 more cases please?
Click to expand...
We don't test the vast majority so will never know how bad it is.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,674
Astute said:
We don't test the vast majority so will never know how bad it is.
Click to expand...
We were told they were testing 7500 today
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,675
Sky Blue Pete said:
How come only 66 more cases please?
Click to expand...
? It's gone up by about 600 since yesterday
Yesterday 2,626
Today 3,269

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,676
Someones keeping a really good tracker of them.

Fuck know why it wont let me link it.
 

Rusty Trombone

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,677
Sky Blue Pete said:
We were told they were testing 7500 today
Click to expand...
If you're believing this stuff Pete maybe someone else should do the meetings with Joy and Duggins (insert some kind of banterish emoji).
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and PVA
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,678
School provision from Monday will be for those up to Year 9 (13-14 yo), and for supervision only in completing work set remotely. Key workers appear to be those from pre-existing definition and both parents must fit into the category or be a single parent. It has still not been decided who is staffing the supervision but I am pleased to see some commonsense being used at school level.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve, wingy and Sky Blue Pete

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,679
Sky Blue Pete said:
We were told they were testing 7500 today
Click to expand...
8360 tests since yesterday's figure, results are usually a couple of days behind, so those will likely be part of Saturdays figures


Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,680
here

I think that links working now if not you can type out the address

Some good graphs, etc.
 
Last edited: Mar 19, 2020
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,681
hill83 said:
Feeling a bit better at the moment. Still got a cough but it’s not a dry cough now. Went for a walk round the block with my lad on his scooter. Knackered me out but I feel like it did me good. Didn’t see a single car driving about.

Almost had thoughts of having a beer a minute ago but I won’t.
Click to expand...

I was down Cheylsemore high street early and seemed as busy as normal. The Turkish barbers have been struggling though so if any of you use it I'm sure they'd be grateful for the business.

Glad to hear you're perking up.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,682
stupot07 said:
? It's gone up by about 600 since yesterday
Yesterday 2,626
Today 3,269

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Sorry was looking at incorrect data thanks
 
Reactions: stupot07
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,683
stupot07 said:
8360 tests since yesterday's figure, results are usually a couple of days behind, so those will likely be part of Saturdays figures


Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

The proportion of positive tests has been rising the last few days.
 

Attachments

  • positive tests.GIF
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Reactions: stupot07

usskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,684
cc84cov said:
Any chance on a graph to back this up mate ?
Click to expand...

Yes m8

 
Reactions: Somerset Sky Blue, cc84cov, Astute and 5 others

BackRoomRummermill

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,685
I must remember to sort out my dangleberries if I am going for a corona test
 

BornSlippySkyBlue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,686
BackRoomRummermill said:
I must remember to sort out my dangleberries if I am going for a corona test
Click to expand...
It’s a throat swab mate not a rectal examination.
 
Reactions: Astute, Sky Blue Pete, wingy and 1 other person

usskyblue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,687
BornSlippySkyBlue said:
It’s a throat swab mate not a rectal examination.
Click to expand...

Flicked up ...

Anyone want the volley ?
 
Reactions: wingy

You'll Never Beat McPake

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,688
UK latest coronavirus figures
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot_20200319-191640_Samsung Internet.jpg
    190.9 KB · Views: 24

MalcSB

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,689
Ring Of Steel said:
Yep, hence based on recorded cases.
Click to expand...
It all depends on what cases are recorded, which depends on which people are tested. UK are only testing people admitted to hospital which, by definition will be the patients who are most ill. The most ill are more likely to die. People who are less ill stay at home are not being tested. The mortality rate for the UK based on reported cases will be artificially high than is the actual case for all those infected.
 
Reactions: Astute and CCFCSteve

RegTheDonk

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 19, 2020
  • #4,690
BornSlippySkyBlue said:
It’s a throat swab mate not a rectal examination.
Click to expand...
Shame, I could have killed two birds with one stone.
 
Reactions: BornSlippySkyBlue
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