Totally agree the extra time penalties awarded to them against Preston and Birmingham needed to be seen to be believed.
A team as ridiculously stacked as theirs doesn’t need a helping hand, yet they’ve had the referees in their pockets all season and a bonus point from the EFL.
Totally agree the extra time penalties awarded to them against Preston and Birmingham needed to be seen to be believed.A team as ridiculously stacked as theirs doesn’t need a helping hand, yet they’ve had the referees in their pockets all season and a bonus point from the EFL.
The only easy game is Sheffield Wednesday. Hull should have been down there with them as they are under similar restrictions but many on here have sleepless nights over them.Ipswich have only a few hard games if you ask me.
Millwall H
Southampton A
Boro H
Norwich A
Boro on the other hand have Millwall H, then the Ipswich game and Wrexham away as there only tricky games I would say. The rest are very "easy" games for them.
The fixture difficulty for them, Lesta and Oxfords looks very similar. It’s a tough one to call, Lesta have more quality than the other two so should pull clear of it I think.WBA sticking with Morrison until the end of the season, if they end up relegated they only have themselves to blame
3 novice managers in a season
All 3 teams play Sheffield Wednesday in the run-in, which means one less game for them to gain points. If we then win 6 of the other 10 games, both those sides need to win 8.
Yeah, I’ll believe it (and be ecstatic) when it happens.Or 2 wins away from being 11 points clear with 9 games left. Glass 1/2 full v glass 1/2 empty.
The fixture difficulty for them, Lesta and Oxfords looks very similar. It’s a tough one to call, Lesta have more quality than the other two so should pull clear of it I think.
After Saturday Ipswich have 4 home games left out of 10 big ask to win the amount of games they’ll needIpswich have only a few hard games if you ask me.
Millwall H
Southampton A
Boro H
Norwich A
Boro on the other hand have Millwall H, then the Ipswich game and Wrexham away as there only tricky games I would say. The rest are very "easy" games for them.
We’re potentially 2 defeats from being in 3rd, right?
Right, what % would you put that Ipswich and Boro win 80% of their remaining games? Bearing in mind they both play each other, the absolute max for them both is 90%.Again, I wouldn't really go as far to say it's absurd. Sure, it's far more probable that they won't both go on a ridiculous run between now and the end of the season.
Us all playing Sheff W is a big help as in theory that should be 3 points all round, plus their game against each other effectively cancels one or both out and allows us at worst to not lose ground to one of the two.
But there's plenty of opportunity for things to change. This last stretch of fixtures is a pressure cooker and I can predict possibly one of the three dropping off by a fair amount. Similar to Sheff U last season when they only picked up 4 wins from their last 10 after winning 11 from 14. Baring in mind they went 5 points clear of Burnley at the end of that ridiculous run.
If a side does drop off we just need to make sure it's not us.
Haha…yeah. Although, while I’m obviously a super fan, I don’t think it’ll be my cautious outlook that will make the difference.That's the spirit.
Thankfully, our toughest games are at home which is a huge advantage for us. I don’t back us to lose to anyone else this season.Just seen this View attachment 49621
Haha…yeah. Although, while I’m obviously a super fan, I don’t think it’ll be my cautious outlook that will make the difference.
Right, what % would you put that Ipswich and Boro win 80% of their remaining games? Bearing in mind they both play each other, the absolute max for them both is 90%.
I don’t think there’s been a 10 game period where either team have won 8/10 of their games. It’s only us who’ve done it from Leicester (a) to Charlton (h) where our record was 11-1-1. Boro and Ipswich draw a lot of games. This is why we’re top…
It is mathematically possible, but it’s low probability. It’s ironic that you discount Millwall’s chances but not Ipswich/Boro when our buffer is larger than theirs.
They hinge on us winning 6 games out of 10.All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.
Have to factor in that no matter what , ipswich and boro one of or both will drop atleast 2 points against eachotherAll these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.
Not even, it’s maintaining our record whereas the ask for Boro and Ipswich is to outperform it significantly. They play each other one or both of them will lose points on that day. We have 6 games at home where our win record is 13-3-1, we ought to win at least 4 of the remaining games.All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.
Not even, it’s maintaining our record whereas the ask for Boro and Ipswich is to outperform it significantly. They play each other one or both of them will lose points on that day. We have 6 games at home where our win record is 13-3-1, we ought to win at least 4 of the remaining games.
It’s not a neck and neck right now, 5 points clear is quite comfy for this stage of the season.
I’ll go one step further, there’s just no good reason to suggest that both Ipswich and Boro will go onto to overtake us.Keep posting, I am erect.
I am!What's a super fan?
I’ll go one step further
Right, what % would you put that Ipswich and Boro win 80% of their remaining games? Bearing in mind they both play each other, the absolute max for them both is 90%.
I don’t think there’s been a 10 game period where either team have won 8/10 of their games. It’s only us who’ve done it from Leicester (a) to Charlton (h) where our record was 11-1-1. Boro and Ipswich draw a lot of games. This is why we’re top…
It is mathematically possible, but it’s low probability. It’s ironic that you discount Millwall’s chances but not Ipswich/Boro when our buffer is larger than theirs.
It would be a low percentage but not near-on impossible, which is what you've been inferring. Categorically football just isn't as linear as that.
Not really sure it's that ironic? Millwall have yet to play Hull, Ipswich and Middlesbrough and have over the course of the season have proven they struggle against those in the top 6. As mentioned previously, one win and one draw out of 7 games.
They've had a great season, and are on a great run, but that 'micro-form' is what will probably cause them to fall short IMO assuming it continues.
Just throwing it out there, but remember when people were saying;Not even, it’s maintaining our record whereas the ask for Boro and Ipswich is to outperform it significantly. They play each other one or both of them will lose points on that day. We have 6 games at home where our win record is 13-3-1, we ought to win at least 4 of the remaining games.
It’s not a neck and neck right now, 5 points clear is quite comfy for this stage of the season.
Boro’s ppg wasn’t actually that great, they went 4 games without a win around Xmas themselves so they arguably should’ve caught us sooner.Just throwing it out there, but remember when people were saying;
For Boro/Ipswich (anybody) to catch us we'd have to perform at (insert ridiculously low ppg) and X team would have to perform at (insert ridiculously high ppg).
It happened.
After 35 games we're top by 5 points. That's the only form that matters. Don't know why so many are flapping it, i'd rather be us than them.Just throwing it out there, but remember when people were saying;
For Boro/Ipswich (anybody) to catch us we'd have to perform at (insert ridiculously low ppg) and X team would have to perform at (insert ridiculously high ppg).
It happened.
I suspect people who were saying that were talking about the remainder of the season, not the relatively small sample you are using, from the start of the season to today we are still tracking over 2 ppg, and are the only team to do that.Just throwing it out there, but remember when people were saying;
For Boro/Ipswich (anybody) to catch us we'd have to perform at (insert ridiculously low ppg) and X team would have to perform at (insert ridiculously high ppg).
It happened.
Tbf when we played Leicester, most of their fans said it was the best they'd seen them play in months. Then in the next game, the new manager bounce over and they promptly returned to their shitty ways.We've seen it ourselves with Leicester. They can play decent football, but they are toothless up front and Luke Thomas has gone backwards with them. He is costing them a lot of goals. Remember when he got out muscled by Sakamoto
But they are capable of raising their game. It was only a couple of games ago they got a point at Middlesbrough.
And on the GD.....we're against a side who just struggled and lost against the worse side in League One. 120 minutes on a mud pitch. All confidence shattered. It's our chance of extending our GD. Football doesn't always go the way you would think, but if you go with the probabilities it's the perfect time to go away to Bristol City.
Fingers crossed for us both because Ipswich haven’t beaten Leicester in 7 attempts.Tbf when we played Leicester, most of their fans said it was the best they'd seen them play in months. Then in the next game, the new manager bounce over and they promptly returned to their shitty ways.
Anything is possible, but it's hoping in a sense that lightening can strike twice.
Nah I'd much prefer a Leicester win if it's against people we need to drop points.Fingers crossed for us both because Ipswich haven’t beaten Leicester in 7 attempts.
On one hand, I’d like to see Ipswich get a bloodied nose but who wouldn’t want to point and laugh at @hackneyfox if they get back-to-back relegations…
As long as we do our job and beat Bristol, that’s the main thing. Boro, Ipswich or both of them slipping up is a sweet bonus.Nah I'd much prefer a Leicester win if it's against people we need to drop points.
They can go bust after.
7 attempts you say? I do love a good Hoodoo, me.Fingers crossed for us both because Ipswich haven’t beaten Leicester in 7 attempts.
On one hand, I’d like to see Ipswich get a bloodied nose but who wouldn’t want to point and laugh at @hackneyfox if they get back-to-back relegations…
I want promotion confirmed asap so I can plan my fpl teamAs long as we do our job and beat Bristol, that’s the main thing. Boro, Ipswich or both of them slipping up is a sweet bonus.
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?