Championship thread 25/26! (31 Viewers)

[JeffB]

A team as ridiculously stacked as theirs doesn’t need a helping hand, yet they’ve had the referees in their pockets all season and a bonus point from the EFL.

A team as ridiculously stacked as theirs doesn’t need a helping hand, yet they’ve had the referees in their pockets all season and a bonus point from the EFL.

Totally agree the extra time penalties awarded to them against Preston and Birmingham needed to be seen to be believed.

 

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[alexccfc99]

WBA sticking with Morrison until the end of the season, if they end up relegated they only have themselves to blame

3 novice managers in a season

 

[Lamps]

Ipswich have only a few hard games if you ask me.

Millwall H
Southampton A
Boro H
Norwich A

Boro on the other hand have Millwall H, then the Ipswich game and Wrexham away as there only tricky games I would say. The rest are very "easy" games for them.

The only easy game is Sheffield Wednesday. Hull should have been down there with them as they are under similar restrictions but many on here have sleepless nights over them.

It's the Championship. Oxford struggle against bottom sides but have a very good record against the top sides considering.

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

WBA sticking with Morrison until the end of the season, if they end up relegated they only have themselves to blame

3 novice managers in a season

The fixture difficulty for them, Lesta and Oxfords looks very similar. It’s a tough one to call, Lesta have more quality than the other two so should pull clear of it I think.

 

[Skyblueweeman]

All 3 teams play Sheffield Wednesday in the run-in, which means one less game for them to gain points. If we then win 6 of the other 10 games, both those sides need to win 8.

Probably the best way of looking at it to be fair.

 

[Terry_dactyl]

Or 2 wins away from being 11 points clear with 9 games left. Glass 1/2 full v glass 1/2 empty.

Yeah, I’ll believe it (and be ecstatic) when it happens.

 

[KenilworthSkyBlue]

The fixture difficulty for them, Lesta and Oxfords looks very similar. It’s a tough one to call, Lesta have more quality than the other two so should pull clear of it I think.

The thing is the form table is telling a very different story. If anything Oxford look the most likely from that bunch to stay up.

The Middlesbrough result was pretty encouraging even if they were a bit toothless. Although the game against Norwich not so much, so difficult to actually say if they've turned a definitive corner.

Regardless, Rowett needs to try to find a way to pick up points, even if it's a bit ugly. Their defence is a pretty big problem though so not an easy task by any stretch.

 

[quinn1971]

Ipswich have only a few hard games if you ask me.

Millwall H
Southampton A
Boro H
Norwich A

Boro on the other hand have Millwall H, then the Ipswich game and Wrexham away as there only tricky games I would say. The rest are very "easy" games for them.

After Saturday Ipswich have 4 home games left out of 10 big ask to win the amount of games they’ll need

 

[COVKIDSNEVERQUIT]

We’re potentially 2 defeats from being in 3rd, right?

That's the spirit.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Again, I wouldn't really go as far to say it's absurd. Sure, it's far more probable that they won't both go on a ridiculous run between now and the end of the season.

Us all playing Sheff W is a big help as in theory that should be 3 points all round, plus their game against each other effectively cancels one or both out and allows us at worst to not lose ground to one of the two.

But there's plenty of opportunity for things to change. This last stretch of fixtures is a pressure cooker and I can predict possibly one of the three dropping off by a fair amount. Similar to Sheff U last season when they only picked up 4 wins from their last 10 after winning 11 from 14. Baring in mind they went 5 points clear of Burnley at the end of that ridiculous run.

If a side does drop off we just need to make sure it's not us.

Right, what % would you put that Ipswich and Boro win 80% of their remaining games? Bearing in mind they both play each other, the absolute max for them both is 90%.

I don’t think there’s been a 10 game period where either team have won 8/10 of their games. It’s only us who’ve done it from Leicester (a) to Charlton (h) where our record was 11-1-1. Boro and Ipswich draw a lot of games. This is why we’re top…

It is mathematically possible, but it’s low probability. It’s ironic that you discount Millwall’s chances but not Ipswich/Boro when our buffer is larger than theirs.

 

[Terry_dactyl]

That's the spirit.

Haha…yeah. Although, while I’m obviously a super fan, I don’t think it’ll be my cautious outlook that will make the difference.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Just seen this View attachment 49621

Thankfully, our toughest games are at home which is a huge advantage for us. I don’t back us to lose to anyone else this season.

I’d rather take our fixtures to be honest. There’s a lot of the same fixtures, Swansea (a), Sheff W (h), Blackburn (a), Bristol City (h) and we swap the order of Watford and Wrexham. The big one for me is that a) their home form is inferior to ours and b) they play Ipswich away. Fuck that.

 

[COVKIDSNEVERQUIT]

Haha…yeah. Although, while I’m obviously a super fan, I don’t think it’ll be my cautious outlook that will make the difference.

What's a super fan?

 

[Jamesimus]

Right, what % would you put that Ipswich and Boro win 80% of their remaining games? Bearing in mind they both play each other, the absolute max for them both is 90%.

I don’t think there’s been a 10 game period where either team have won 8/10 of their games. It’s only us who’ve done it from Leicester (a) to Charlton (h) where our record was 11-1-1. Boro and Ipswich draw a lot of games. This is why we’re top…

It is mathematically possible, but it’s low probability. It’s ironic that you discount Millwall’s chances but not Ipswich/Boro when our buffer is larger than theirs.

All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.

 

[Sky_Blue_Dreamer]

What's a super fan?

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.

They hinge on us winning 6 games out of 10.

 

[Evo1883]

All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.

Have to factor in that no matter what , ipswich and boro one of or both will drop atleast 2 points against eachother

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

All these percentages hinge on us maintaining decent form though.

Not even, it’s maintaining our record whereas the ask for Boro and Ipswich is to outperform it significantly. They play each other one or both of them will lose points on that day. We have 6 games at home where our win record is 13-3-1, we ought to win at least 4 of the remaining games.

It’s not a neck and neck right now, 5 points clear is quite comfy for this stage of the season.

 

[Jamesimus]

Not even, it’s maintaining our record whereas the ask for Boro and Ipswich is to outperform it significantly. They play each other one or both of them will lose points on that day. We have 6 games at home where our win record is 13-3-1, we ought to win at least 4 of the remaining games.

It’s not a neck and neck right now, 5 points clear is quite comfy for this stage of the season.

Keep posting, I am erect.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Keep posting, I am erect.

I’ll go one step further, there’s just no good reason to suggest that both Ipswich and Boro will go onto to overtake us.

One, maybe. Both of them, it’s just not a likely outcome.

 

[Terry_dactyl]

What's a super fan?

I am!

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

I’ll go one step further

 

[shmmeee]

One, maybe.