Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
Thanks for checking I was going to check my own assertion cause I wasn’t sure what happened if it missed. Makes sense
Match Thread Southampton - Coventry City Match Thread - Saturday 20th Dec (41 Viewers)
- Thread starter Nick
- Start date
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
No and the Top 4 was v much established between Leicester, Ipswich, Leeds plus Southampton and despite the bumps in the road for all those teams, that Top 3 was unchanged. Ipswich and Leicester had an impeccable 52 and 55 point tally after 22 games.
You can't underestimate just how far off the back most teams are at this stage of the season. For context, PNE in 3rd place are closer to Swansea (19th) than us at the top and would've been 6th on last years points tally.
This time last year, Sheff U were top with 47 points, followed by Leeds (42), Burnley (41) and Sunderland (40). It's only ourselves and Boro who have surpassed 40 points by 21 games and even Boro have so far overperformed the xG table quite significantly and my expectation is that they will slow down. The idea that Southampton, Leicester and Ipswich will all overturn a 13-17 point deficit with 25 games remaining is just not plausible.
That's a 5-6 game swing and that presumes they will win each and every game we slip up.
Robinshio
Well-Known Member
would only happen if we collapse - another 40 points will be enough for us
SkyBluePower
Well-Known Member
Winning 14 games out of 17 (before Ipswich)really put the dagger in. A third of the season and we won virtually everything with other teams getting nowhere near that form.
The shock and awe of those big wins that piled up the GD probably is not repeatable but doesn’t need to be. Maintain Playoff form now for the rest of the season and we will make the automatics.
Even a pessimistic take of our games up till end of March sees us around 80 points ( win majority at home, couple of draws /defeats and draw/lose majority away with a couple of wins)
In April we have 4 out of 6 “should win” games which will see us over the line. We have just not to drop clangers on some of those should win games and this season so far we haven’t.
The shock and awe of those big wins that piled up the GD probably is not repeatable but doesn’t need to be. Maintain Playoff form now for the rest of the season and we will make the automatics.
Even a pessimistic take of our games up till end of March sees us around 80 points ( win majority at home, couple of draws /defeats and draw/lose majority away with a couple of wins)
In April we have 4 out of 6 “should win” games which will see us over the line. We have just not to drop clangers on some of those should win games and this season so far we haven’t.
robbiethemole
Well-Known Member
How very dare you start being sensible this close to Christmas????? are you trying turn us all into believers, or what???
Mucca Mad Boys
Well-Known Member
I’m a believer of the cause. We’re going up this year! Get a few signings in Jan just to shore up the squad and keep plugging away and win our home games.
We’ve got 13 home games left and if we can win 8-10 of those, we’ve done the heavy lifting required for the points tally.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
W13 D1 L11
Even if 3rd or 4th average 2 points a game for the rest of the season they would be a couple of points behind and so far they're averaging 1.66 points a game.
It really is starting to look as though we could confirm promotion with several games to go. Just winning our remaining home games is starting to look enough.
robbiethemole
Well-Known Member
the goal difference is making sure of this
Captain Dart
Well-Known Member
The calendar year performance is meaningless in the grand scheme of things, all that matters is the games in each season.
Then don't play a high flat line be a bit staggered and don't even try the offside trap.
Hobo
Well-Known Member
Norwich have been an improving side without the results. I saw the game and think Southampton should have put it to bed. It’s a tough game for both sides. High scoring maybe, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it was tight.
If we lose I won’t wet the bed, but a win would be fantastic.
Hobo
Well-Known Member
I always sing:
We will drag you down
We will drag you down now
and yes I do know the lyrics.
Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
We haven’t had a three game week
Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
Thomas had one surprisingly fast sprint back on Saturday
I’ve seen that from him before. Out of nowhere, he can eat up the ground vs someone you thought was quicker. But not that often.
SkyBlueMatt
Well-Known Member
You're right, Mr Pedantic. I'm glad this game is the first rather than the third game over 8 days.
Sent from my M2101K6G using Tapatalk
shepardo01
Well-Known Member
Does that tell the story of us to,it doesn't seem to q?
skybluecam
Well-Known Member
Bazunu is just bad
skybluecam
Well-Known Member
Off topic but does anyone else think they meant to say “haggard” in the second line?
StrettoBoy
Well-Known Member
I assumed they meant "haggard" but if you listen to The Enemy's recording it does sound as if it could be "haggled".
skybluecam
Well-Known Member
Yes all the lyrics have it down as haggled. Just wondering if the enemy themselves got it wrong - haggard makes more sense than haggled to me.
Ccfcisparks
Well-Known Member
and that 3/4 could easily turn to 6/7
Brighton Sky Blue
Well-Known Member
We’ll be going to Watford needing a win to get to 50 points won’t we. Really hope there’s 3 worse teams.
don’t agree with that, nearly half way through the season and we’ve only lost 2 games, Some signings in January and we’ll be even better, we’re top for a reason,
Lamps
Well-Known Member
We've had very good GK's against us the last 3 games. That doesn't suddenly make us poor up front.
Is there a run of 4 games coming up you're worried about? Is our home form suddenly going to change?
I get you. We're Coventry City. We're not used to winning most of the time. But there's nothing to suggest we could easily lose 4 on the bounce when we've played most of our hardest games of the season and have still only lost 2 out of 21. From a very difficult November and December we've W6 D1 L1 so far. In 1 of the 2 games we lost most of our defence was missing.
Warwickhunt
Well-Known Member
Apparently their GK is not in the best of form according to their forum! Bet he has an effing stormer against us
robbiethemole
Well-Known Member
We really don't manage being top of the League too well, do we??
I don't remember Ipswich or Scumderland fans being so negative or antsy when they were at the top, I understand it's cos we're Coventry init, but come on lads, enjoy this moment it has been a fucking long time coming.
I don't remember Ipswich or Scumderland fans being so negative or antsy when they were at the top, I understand it's cos we're Coventry init, but come on lads, enjoy this moment it has been a fucking long time coming.
Lamps
Well-Known Member
It's worse than that. They have the equivalent of Collins and Wilson as their GK's. They got promoted with the same GK last time but they had a better defence. They might have got away with it again but they started with Will Still as manager and gave the other sides a head start.Apparently their GK is not in the best of form according to their forum! Bet he has an effing stormer against us
I am enjoying it just as being a long time city fan just waiting for it to all go wrong. Obviously we are all hoping that it continues,I think we need a fee strong signings in January to help us over the line as we seen what happens when you get a few out in the same game (Wrexham) I don't think Ipswich were that great and hopefully we reverse the score in a week or so.All the players and staff have done great so far need another 20+ games with the same intensity.
Hobo
Well-Known Member
First thing is, yes I would like to see a couple of players added to the squad in January.
But signings don't automatically make you better. Things don't always work like they should on paper.
Yes we have only lost 2 games. But the second half of the season won't necessarily mirror the first half. It will be hard to improve on it. There is more chance of us dropping more points second half.
But I still think we should be good enough to get the job done.
