Johhny Blue
Well-Known Member
If we're trying to avenge earlier losses it's a good job our run in consists of mainly "bottom" teams
If we're trying to avenge earlier losses it's a good job our run in consists of mainly "bottom" teamsLooking at our other fixtures, home and away, I’d definitely take a draw v Notts County, and probably a draw at Newport. The optimist in me is hoping Newport’s standards drop now they’re safe from relegation, but too far adrift from playoff contention. We’ve also got to be determined to avenge that loss earlier in the season.
Yup. Spot on.It'd still be in their hands in that instance though as (and I know this may be surprising) they can beat us too.
Spot onSurely if we win our game in hand over Notts County and then beat them at their place, we will be 1 point clear of them - so actually we can finish above them, even if they win all of their other games?
Well Reece be in goal? B-)Yes Swindon score goals. Bit you have to go down to 17th and Yeovil to find a team that have had more goals against. 55 goals against in 37 games.
You're right in saying it's not an impossible task, but it's certainly a difficult one. In the last 3 seasons 3rd place in League Two has been secured by a tally of 85 points. Given that there's 9 games left and we're on 61 points, that's 8 wins out of 9 to guarantee us an automatic spot. Obviously the potential points average for 3rd place is going to be lower this season as the league has been relatively tight throughout. But even so, it's a big ask for a team who have struggled to consistently dominate a game all season.
Our run in doesn't fill me with confidence either, given that we've struggled against lesser sides time and again this season. The Barnet game last Saturday is a prime example. If the gods weren't in our favour on the day we could've easily lost that game 3-0. With 6 teams out of the 9 games to play in the bottom half of the table, we need to make sure we don't repeat the performances of that saw the likes of FGR do the double over us.
I've said the same. 7 wins, plus we need others to fail too.I think we need 81/82 points for autos
That means 20/21 points from last 9 games
Means 7 wins out of 9. Doable but very tough.
pro rata the points from the last 5 games over the remaining games and we'll fall just short, but get nearer to 81 than both County and Wycombe!I've said the same. 7 wins, plus we need others to fail too.
Very, very tough.
Wycombe had just one tactic here and it was lump the ball up to Akinfenwa.How are Wycombe doing so well. They're an awful team, easily comparable to Barnet. I actually think Barnet played some decent football at the Ricoh whereas Wycombe were abysmal.
You need to also look at who teams are playing though of course.pro rata the points from the last 5 games over the remaining games and we'll fall just short, but get nearer to 81 than both County and Wycombe!
That is one hell of a slump there for Wycombe. You have them getting only 8 points from 9 games.I just did it without inputting any results (therefore purely based on the stats) and it came out with:
Pos Team P GD Pts
1 Accrington Stanley 46 +26 89
2 Luton 46 +45 88
3 Mansfield 46 +23 81
4 Exeter 46 +12 79
5 Notts County 46 +24 78
6 Swindon 46 +6 76
7 Coventry 46 +15 75
8 Lincoln City 46 +13 75
9 Wycombe 46 +14 74
Yep, agree. Let them get out of sight and what a success story that would be for them and a great thing for football too in general.Accrington have got
Mansfield A
Notts H
Colchester A
Exeter H
Yeovil A
Wycombe A
Newport A
Lincoln H
Swindon H
We could really do with them picking up as many points as possible.
Be a tough run in that for a normal football team.Accrington have got
Mansfield A
Notts H
Colchester A
Exeter H
Yeovil A
Wycombe A
Newport A
Lincoln H
Swindon H
We could really do with them picking up as many points as possible.
YeahAccrington have got
Mansfield A
Notts H
Colchester A
Exeter H
Yeovil A
Wycombe A
Newport A
Lincoln H
Swindon H
We could really do with them picking up as many points as possible.
My thoughts exactly.
If it comes down to the last game and we need to win while a rival draws then that is the time to consider the automatic places.
At the moment it just doesn't look very feasible and besides, let's just concentrate on our winning 4, 5 or 6 games in a row before anything else, because that is probably what is needed.
Im amazed Luton have hid the skids and blown there lead to Accrington with the huge gap they had developed. I still think they will win it just.
You have to admire Accrington as a club for what they are achieving this season.
We’re sitting quietly coming coming back into contention at the right time picking up results if not hitting form we’d all like to see.
I fear Swindon tho, they look a good side to win the play offs with the goals of Marc Richards. What a January signing he was.
Who’d of thought two sides in Port Vale and Chesterfield would be in the situation they are in at the bottom reaches of the league last summer when all 4 of us got relegated. Port Vale I thought would give the play offs a good go.
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Great chance?Disagree completely, we have a great chance of Automatics and by that I mean 3rd place, although i do agree 1st and 2nd place are long gone!
3rd place is very much up for grabs by anyone up to and including 9th place.
I have a funny feeling the momentum is building just at the right time of the season. (just like I predicted we will go on good run after 3 consecutive defeats). And others were saying no chance we can can turn around our away form or our form in general. Some doubted even play offs! Well heres some news (we have had a complete change of form). Would have been much better had we held on for a deserved 3 points imo vs Luton.
a) Away form (turned it around) 7 points from 3 tough away games!
b) Our longest unbeaten run currently.
I have a feeling 82 points will get 3rd place. which is 6 wins /3 draws or 7 wins and 2 defeats. Either is very possible looking at fixtures.
It may well be much lower than 82 points for 3rd place.
The confidence at some of the clubs above us is really low. Particularly Notts County/Mansfield/Wycombe. still have a lot to do to get to 80 plus points on their current form.
Big game will be Notts County. We will leapfrog them during that game.
I got the feeling everyone above us bar Luton and Accrington are looking over their shoulders very nervously at us.
Great chance?
Really could not possibly disagree with you more. I think just about every single person on here would at least say it's a tough ask.
Fine to be confident we can do it, but, we have a great chance?
We really don't.
We need to win at least 6 out of 9 and hope others fail.
If it were in our own hands there would be cause for optimism, but it isn't. We need Wycombe, Mansfield and Exeter to fail on top of us going on a tremendous winning run.
I think we should just concentrate on beating Grimsby this weekend, and hoping other results go in our favour, before moving on to the next game.
Grimsby at home, ex manager, ex centre back, ex striker and not won in 17
exactly the sort of game we would come bearing gifts in the past...
3 points on sat and go from there
or utterly implodingAccrington have got
Mansfield A
Notts H
Colchester A
Exeter H
Yeovil A
Wycombe A
Newport A
Lincoln H
Swindon H
We could really do with them picking up as many points as possible.
or utterly imploding
That Newport away one is on the Friday. Could really do with a positive result from that game.
Last sentence had me laughing out loudOf all the teams thereabouts, I think Exeter are the weakest. I really hope they can take points off Swindon when they play them at home shortly (but suspect they won't). Of all the others, I fear Notts County least - and I'm not sure I can tell you why - just don't think they are as scary as the others. If Wycombe lose Akinfenwa, they are nothing either (hoping he pulls a season ending hamstring, although that's unlikely, as he'd have to run to do that)
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