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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (16 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,111
CCFCSteve said:
Shmmeee, whoever brought up the original comparison with Italy was wrong, this isn’t some kind of competition. The fact that it’s consistently brought up every time there is bad news about the UK figures is just as bad though in my book.

The fact is all countries will end up suffering badly from this, possibly at different times (different waves etc). If asked though, would I rather be here than Italy, Spain, France etc (as it keeps being sarcastically mentioned by various posters - appreciate this is probably aimed at whoever made the comparison to start with) my answer would be yes. Both for fact that we have remained within our hospital bed and ICU capacities (so far) and the lockdown, which whilst difficult, is no doubt more relaxed than various other countries which will have ultimately have benefited the wider population in unquantifiable ways. In addition I am hoping the furlough scheme will save many businesses from going bust and many hundreds of thousands losing their jobs. Fingers crossed anyway.

Yes, we might have higher spikes of case and death figures but until we know the proportions of the populations that’s had it, whether it can be caught again and until the virus has been dealt with (or better controlled internationally), comparisons are almost irrelevant.

Have we breached ICU capacities which would have caused additional unnecessary deaths ? no. In actual fact we’ve run at a high spare capacity throughout and there are plenty of countries/regions that haven’t been as lucky (outside of Europe I’ve read of japan turning patients away and New York has consistently reached if not breached, capacity)

Finally, and in answer to the earlier, ‘look how bad our actual deaths are’ post, people are forgetting that this is likely to be the same problem across pretty much every badly hit country ie figures will be initially understated everywhere. An example of this was reflected in the WSJ earlier in the month. I didn’t feel it was appropriate to post at the time for the reasons given above but as there appears to be more focus on our inaccurate (understated) numbers I thought it would be useful to share something to show that every badly hit country will be facing exactly the same problem as ourselves.

Italy’s Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported

Anyway, this isn’t a ‘look at how great we are’ post, more a ‘we’re all in this same shit situation together’. We know there have been many issues and challenges, some of which we have not dealt with well, however, this is the early stages of a worldwide pandemic of a totally new virus and I expect a majority of countries will unfortunately have similar challenges/issues either now or in the future. Let’s just hope we can find a vaccine or at least all find a way to deal with it as well as possible

ps I hope everyone can enjoy at least some of the last good weather for a few days (suppose were were due some dodgy days). It’s certainly kept the spirits up over the last few weeks
Click to expand...
Chill Steve. It’s just gallows humour. As the people who started the “would you rather live in Italy” line would tell you. I’m sure.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,112
skybluetony176 said:
Chill Steve. It’s just gallows humour. As the people who started the “would you rather live in Italy” line would tell you. I’m sure.
Click to expand...

Haha, noted. The other points remain though ; )
 
Reactions: skybluetony176

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,113
CCFCSteve said:
Shmmeee, whoever brought up the original comparison with Italy was wrong, this isn’t some kind of competition. The fact that it’s consistently brought up every time there is bad news about the UK figures is just as bad though in my book.

The fact is all countries will end up suffering badly from this, possibly at different times (different waves etc). If asked though, would I rather be here than Italy, Spain, France etc (as it keeps being sarcastically mentioned by various posters - appreciate this is probably aimed at whoever made the comparison to start with) my answer would be yes. Both for fact that we have remained within our hospital bed and ICU capacities (so far) and the lockdown, which whilst difficult, is no doubt more relaxed than various other countries which will have ultimately have benefited the wider population in unquantifiable ways. In addition I am hoping the furlough scheme will save many businesses from going bust and many hundreds of thousands losing their jobs. Fingers crossed anyway.

Yes, we might have higher spikes of case and death figures but until we know the proportions of the populations that’s had it, whether it can be caught again and until the virus has been dealt with (or better controlled internationally), comparisons are almost irrelevant.

Have we breached ICU capacities which would have caused additional unnecessary deaths ? no. In actual fact we’ve run at a high spare capacity throughout and there are plenty of countries/regions that haven’t been as lucky (outside of Europe I’ve read of japan turning patients away and New York has consistently reached if not breached, capacity)

Finally, and in answer to the earlier, ‘look how bad our actual deaths are’ post, people are forgetting that this is likely to be the same problem across pretty much every badly hit country ie figures will be initially understated everywhere. An example of this was reflected in the WSJ earlier in the month. I didn’t feel it was appropriate to post at the time for the reasons given above but as there appears to be more focus on our inaccurate (understated) numbers I thought it would be useful to share something to show that every badly hit country will be facing exactly the same problem as ourselves.

Italy’s Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported

Anyway, this isn’t a ‘look at how great we are’ post, more a ‘we’re all in this same shit situation together’. We know there have been many issues and challenges, some of which we have not dealt with well, however, this is the early stages of a worldwide pandemic of a totally new virus and I expect a majority of countries will unfortunately have similar challenges/issues either now or in the future. Let’s just hope we can find a vaccine or at least all find a way to deal with it as well as possible

ps I hope everyone can enjoy at least some of the last good weather for a few days (suppose were were due some dodgy days). It’s certainly kept the spirits up over the last few weeks
Click to expand...

Chill out, I just thought it was funny. I wasn’t trying to make some wider point.

There is a point to make about how the rest of the world views our situation compared to how we do, but this was just referencing an in joke here with an appropriate headline. I don’t think the actions of one Italian mayor means anything.

I’d also note I’ve consistently said you can’t compare strategies until it’s all over.
 
Reactions: Astute and CCFCSteve
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,114
shmmeee said:
Chill out, I just thought it was funny. I wasn’t trying to make some wider point.
Click to expand...

No worries, half the post responding to Fernandos post rather than yours mate. Will edit to reflect that
 
Reactions: shmmeee
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,115
fernandopartridge said:
This is appalling, I believe the rest of the world is looking on in horror whilst our media worry about that utter fucking c**t Johnson

Click to expand...

What concerns me is seeing some countries start to reopen when we have no effective treatment or vaccine and the virus remains active with question marks over immunity for those who’ve had it.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve and Deleted member 5849
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,116
clint van damme said:
It doesn't make sense.
I'm not sure he's thought it through.
Click to expand...

It’s taking woke pandering to a whole new level. Plus if he cheats nobody will know
 
Reactions: clint van damme

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,117
Brighton Sky Blue said:
What concerns me is seeing some countries start to reopen when we have no effective treatment or vaccine and the virus remains active with question marks over immunity for those who’ve had it.
Click to expand...

If that really is the case though - no immunity - then what realistically are the options
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,118
Grendel said:
If that really is the case though - no immunity - then what realistically are the options
Click to expand...

If there’s no immunity and it isn’t seasonal like the flu then we would need an anti viral. You would then probably need the lower risk groups to go back to work while maintaining whatever distancing could be realistic
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,119
Grendel said:
If that really is the case though - no immunity - then what realistically are the options
Click to expand...

Interesting comment I overheard on the radio earlier was that standard Covid virus immunity is around 79% (I think this what was said) for around 3 years for most people. So I presume it will need quite a bit of testing in relation to re-contagion to understand if there is immunity for at least some (hopefully most) people
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,120
Is somebody sponsoring @CCFCSteve per word? :smuggrin:
 
Reactions: SkyBlueCharlie9, clint van damme and CCFCSteve
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,121
CCFCSteve said:
Interesting comment I overheard on the radio earlier was that standard Covid virus immunity is around 79% (I think this what was said) for around 3 years for most people. So I presume it will need quite a bit of testing in relation to re-contagion to understand if there is immunity for at least some (hopefully most) people
Click to expand...

We just don’t know enough at this point it seems. A quick diagnostic test must be close I’d think
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,122
chiefdave said:
Is somebody sponsoring @CCFCSteve per word? :smuggrin:
Click to expand...

The government if you believe some people

ps just trying to minimise number of posts so once I start, struggle to stop sometimes ! (Like Pringles)
 
Reactions: Moff

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,123
Brighton Sky Blue said:
We just don’t know enough at this point it seems. A quick diagnostic test must be close I’d think
Click to expand...
Is there any reliable data on what percentage of people who get it actually experiencing symptoms and to what level of severity? Would have thought that was a fairly important thing to establish when working out how to move forward.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,124
chiefdave said:
Is there any reliable data on what percentage of people who get it actually experiencing symptoms and to what level of severity? Would have thought that was a fairly important thing to establish when working out how to move forward.
Click to expand...

I have a strong feeling that % is quite low but without an effective ‘who’s had it’ test we can only speculate.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,125
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I have a strong feeling that % is quite low but without an effective ‘who’s had it’ test we can only speculate.
Click to expand...

It’s bound to be very low and though I’m not in anyway a conspiracy theorist I do think the deaths versus lockdown actions do not match up and you do wonder if the immunity issue is causing these actions
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,126
Grendel said:
It’s bound to be very low and though I’m not in anyway a conspiracy theorist I do think the deaths versus lockdown actions do not match up and you do wonder if the immunity issue is causing these actions
Click to expand...

I’m inclined to agree but we’re missing a few pieces of the jigsaw to justify a return to some kind of normality. We need to reliably know how many have had it and how many have gone on to have moderate or worse symptoms and to also know if there is seasonality and what the immunity is if any
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,127
Surely if there was a high percentage of asymptomatic people it’d show in the South Korean data as they test everyone in contact regardless of symptoms? I’ve not seen any indication that’s the case. Something like 30% asymptomatic in the SK data compared to original WHO estimates of low single digits. So more than WHO thinks but nothing to suggest there’s hundreds of thousands of people who have had it and not known in the U.K. Seems like wishful thinking to me TBH.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,128
Interested to know what those who were defending the government saying it was pointless quarantining anyone flying into the UK think of this news?
All passengers flying into UK airports set for 14 days of quarantine | Metro News
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,129
CCFCSteve said:
Shmmeee, whoever brought up the original comparison with Italy was wrong, this isn’t some kind of competition. The fact that it’s consistently brought up every time there is bad news about the UK figures is just as bad though in my book.

The fact is all countries will end up suffering badly from this, possibly at different times (different waves etc). If asked though, would I rather be here than Italy, Spain, France etc (as it keeps being sarcastically mentioned by various posters - appreciate this is probably aimed at whoever made the comparison to start with) my answer would be yes. Both for fact that we have remained within our hospital bed and ICU capacities (so far) and the lockdown, which whilst difficult, is no doubt more relaxed than various other countries which will have ultimately have benefited the wider population in unquantifiable ways. In addition I am hoping the furlough scheme will save many businesses from going bust and many hundreds of thousands losing their jobs. Fingers crossed anyway.

Yes, we might have higher spikes of case and death figures but until we know the proportions of the populations that’s had it, whether it can be caught again and until the virus has been dealt with (or better controlled internationally), comparisons are almost irrelevant.

Have we breached ICU capacities which would have caused additional unnecessary deaths ? no. In actual fact we’ve run at a high spare capacity throughout and there are plenty of countries/regions that haven’t been as lucky (outside of Europe I’ve read of japan turning patients away and New York has consistently reached if not breached, capacity)




Finally, and in answer to the earlier, ‘look how bad our actual deaths are’ post, people are forgetting that this is likely to be the same problem across pretty much every badly hit country ie figures will be initially understated everywhere. An example of this was reflected in the WSJ earlier in the month. I didn’t feel it was appropriate to post at the time for the reasons given above but as there appears to be more focus on our inaccurate (understated) numbers I thought it would be useful to share something to show that every badly hit country will be facing exactly the same problem as ourselves.

Italy’s Coronavirus Death Toll Is Far Higher Than Reported

Anyway, this isn’t a ‘look at how great we are’ post, more a ‘we’re all in this same shit situation together’. We know there have been many issues and challenges, some of which we have not dealt with well, however, this is the early stages of a worldwide pandemic of a totally new virus and I expect a majority of countries will unfortunately have similar challenges/issues either now or in the future. Let’s just hope we can find a vaccine or at least all find a way to deal with it as well as possible

ps I hope everyone can enjoy at least some of the last good weather for a few days (suppose were were due some dodgy days). It’s certainly kept the spirits up over the last few weeks
Click to expand...

Looking from the outside, I’m very concerned about the situation in the UK and the way it’s being handled in general, especially with the lockdown. Bars and restaurants will reopen in 18days here, which is testament to the plans put in place over the last month.

I appreciate it wasn’t you but some of the sneering arrogance about how badly other countries were handling it was ridiculous.
 
Reactions: tisza

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,130
chiefdave said:
Interested to know what those who were defending the government saying it was pointless quarantining anyone flying into the UK think of this news?
All passengers flying into UK airports set for 14 days of quarantine | Metro News
Click to expand...

About fucking time - should have happened 3 months ago.
 
Reactions: djr8369

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,131
Anyone still not concerned? Its gone from Cummings wasn't attending to he was attending but observing to he was an active participant and now other members of SAGE expressing concern about his presence and the impact it had on SAGE's ability to advise impartially.

Attendees of Sage meetings worried by presence of Cummings
One attendee of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) said they felt Cummings’ interventions had sometimes inappropriately influenced what is supposed to be an impartial scientific process.

A second Sage attendee said they were shocked when Cummings first began participating in Sage discussions, in February, because they believed the group should be providing “unadulterated scientific data” without any political input.
Click to expand...
 
Reactions: djr8369

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,132
Almost an admission of a mistake
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,133
Just thought I'd mention that there is a growing belief that we've now peaked (or at least the first wave has). In totally unrelated news guess who's back at work tomorrow.......?
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,134
Furloughed workers urged to become fruit pickers

Still a labour shortage then.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,135
chiefdave said:
Anyone still not concerned? Its gone from Cummings wasn't attending to he was attending but observing to he was an active participant and now other members of SAGE expressing concern about his presence and the impact it had on SAGE's ability to advise impartially.

Attendees of Sage meetings worried by presence of Cummings
Click to expand...
If him influencing it were the case, that would put a very different slant on things
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,136
Boris is back!
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,137
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Boris is back!
Click to expand...
Gasp!

#itsokitsgallowshumour
 
T

The Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,138
good to see the BAME are following the guidelines like the rest of us. Updates – Police and medics seal off street after man 'stabbed in chest'
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,139
The Lurker said:
good to see the BAME are following the guidelines like the rest of us. Updates – Police and medics seal off street after man 'stabbed in chest'
Click to expand...
There's no mention of BAME in the article?
Medics and police have blocked off a Smethwick street after unconfirmed reports a man was stabbed in the chest.

Emergency crews – including the Midlands Air ambulance – are currently working in Mallin Street after the unconfirmed reports of the knifing on Sunday, April 26.

Saeed Shamedami, owner of Formula One Pizza, said the drama unfolded following an altercation outside the store at around 4.30pm.

"There were two groups of men arguing just outside the store," he told BlackCountryLive. "And when I got outside one of them was lying on the ground - he had blood pouring from his chest.

"I rang the ambulance straight away but it took 20 minutes for them to arrive."

West Midlands Police has been contacted for more information.
Click to expand...
 
T

The Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,140
chiefdave said:
There's no mention of BAME in the article?
Click to expand...

there is videos on social media of the actual stabbing. i wont put the link on here as its horrible and not nice for the victim or his family but it is BAME
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,141
The Lurker said:
there is videos on social media of the actual stabbing. i wont put the link on here as its horrible and not nice for the victim or his family but it is BAME
Click to expand...

He’s both black and minority ethnic?
 
T

The Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,142
shmmeee said:
He’s both black and minority ethnic?
Click to expand...

? the perpetrators were black and he was of minority ethnicity. your point?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,143
The Lurker said:
? the perpetrators were black and he was of minority ethnicity. your point?
Click to expand...

What’s yours?

What is it about melanin levels you think makes someone stabby exactly?
 
Reactions: djr8369

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,144
shmmeee said:
He’s both black and minority ethnic?
Click to expand...

At least I now know what the term means
 
T

The Lurker

Well-Known Member
  • Apr 26, 2020
  • #19,145
shmmeee said:
What’s yours?

What is it about melanin levels you think makes someone stabby exactly?
Click to expand...

Still didn’t answer my question.

hey? In English please. if you think its fine for certain groups to be stabbing eachother in broad daylight while in lockdown and supposedly helping the nhs and not burdening then god help you. last thing the nhs needs at the minute is going to stabbings. 4 stabbings in Birmingham today, 2 in cov last night. government will no doubt get the blame
 
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