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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (70 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,046
Sky Blue Pete said:
They don’t understand risk
Click to expand...

Well no it’s just down to Daddy Trump leading the COVID scepticism
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and stupot07

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,047
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Well no it’s just down to Daddy Trump leading the COVID scepticism
Click to expand...
Half of Americans believe you can pray Covid away. That’s lunacy not faith
 
Reactions: Sick Boy
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,048
Sky Blue Pete said:
Half of Americans believe you can pray Covid away. That’s lunacy not faith
Click to expand...

Well it’s that same % of Americans that believe everything Trump says
 
Reactions: stupot07 and Sky Blue Pete

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,049
Sat waiting after my jab. Amazed by how orderly and efficient it’s all been. We should’ve got the NHS to handle Brexit.
 
Reactions: chiefdave, skyblueinBaku, Deleted member 5849 and 3 others
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,050
clint van damme said:
Israel just released latest data on Pfizer, 95% efficacy after 2 jabs.
Click to expand...
After two. We're talking about removing all restrictions after most people haven't had two.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,051
Deleted member 5849 said:
After two. We're talking about removing all restrictions after most people haven't had two.
Click to expand...

45% of Israelis haven’t had two have they?
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,052
Grendel said:
45% of Israelis haven’t had two have they?
Click to expand...
Pretty irrelevant.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,053
Deleted member 5849 said:
Pretty irrelevant.
Click to expand...

Why? Did Israel lift most restrictions in March?
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,054
Grendel said:
Why? Did Israel lift most restrictions in March?
Click to expand...
Well here's why.

Single-dose Oxford–AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine followed by a 12-week booster

Vaccines to prevent COVID-19 infection are crucial for an effective global pandemic response. In The Lancet, Merryn Voysey and colleagues1 report the updated primary efficacy results for the Oxford–AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine from three single-blind, randomised controlled...
www.thelancet.com

If we're saying that other nations are having issues because of a vaccine efficacy of 50%, then with one dose, we're looking similar. Now, this paper is encouraging, in that it supports the UK government's policy of longer time spans between doses. However, the Oxford efficacy appears to be down at 55.1% if doses given less than six weeks apart. That's also having had two doses, rather than just one. One dose offers no protection against asymptomatic infection, so you can still heartily spread away, although of course not showing symptoms means you're less likely to be coughing in peoples' faces!

So, if you're expecting to remove masks and distancing (and Johnson said just the other day that he expected distancing to go June 21st, all things being equal - then again, this is the same bloke who was off to see his Mum on Mother's Day last year, and that didn't exactly go as he planned!), then many people will be down in the realms of said Chinese vaccine as they won't have received both doses, and many will be on 0% as they won't have received any. Couple that with an efficacy of 81% after two doses 12 weeks apart, and you're looking at spread.

The encouraging thing, is it does seem even if you catch it after being vaccinated, you're pretty unlucky to catch it badly, which is the primary aim (I can't be bothered to check what the comparison with the Chinese vaccine is in that respect), but it's also about reducing spread to squash it, and therefore reduce risk of mutation / cases rising due to increased contact meaning increased transmission.
 
Last edited by a moderator: May 6, 2021

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,055
Single dose AZ is around 70% efficacy for first 90 days
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,056
shmmeee said:
Single dose AZ is around 70% efficacy for first 90 days
Click to expand...
Of getting symptomatic Covid - 76% according to cited trial.

I can see the confusion as it summarises for brevity earlier, but:

A single standard dose had an efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 in the first 90 days of 76·0% (59·3 to 85·9), yet provided no protection against asymptomatic infection (vaccine efficacy −17·2% [–248·6 to 60·6]). Notably, efficacy against any nucleic acid amplification test-positive cases, including symptomatic and asymptomatic or unknown cases, was 63·9% (46·0 to 75·9) after a single standard dose, suggesting the possibility of reducing viral transmission.
Click to expand...

So yes, a single dose may well reduce transmission (probably does! But not tested to be certain yet) but, if you remove masks and distancing, that's quite a leap to compensate for said reduction if you're doing that off the back of some, having one.
 
Last edited by a moderator: May 6, 2021

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,057
Surely if you’re asymptomatic you’re less contagious?

We started seeing a vaccine effect in the data well before second doses start which would suggest whatever the trial data says one dose does prevent spread as well as deaths.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,058
shmmeee said:
Surely if you’re asymptomatic you’re less contagious?
Click to expand...

Already covered that.
Deleted member 5849 said:
One dose offers no protection against asymptomatic infection, so you can still heartily spread away, although of course not showing symptoms means you're less likely to be coughing in peoples' faces!
Click to expand...
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,059
Doesn't appear to be any rhyme of reason to jab booking lately.

Partner had hers 2 weeks ago. As council arranged spares for teachers. Last week she got a text saying its time to book hers. She is a year younger than me !
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,060
jordan210 said:
Doesn't appear to be any rhyme of reason to jab booking lately.

Partner had hers 2 weeks ago. As council arranged spares for teachers. Last week she got a text saying its time to book hers. She is a year younger than me !
Click to expand...
She got any medical complaints at all? At a different surgery to you? Think texts are the GP way of doing things.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,061
jordan210 said:
Doesn't appear to be any rhyme of reason to jab booking lately.

Partner had hers 2 weeks ago. As council arranged spares for teachers. Last week she got a text saying its time to book hers. She is a year younger than me !
Click to expand...

I got my GP text a week after I’d booked online. How old are you?
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,062
Deleted member 5849 said:
Well here's why.

Single-dose Oxford–AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine followed by a 12-week booster

Vaccines to prevent COVID-19 infection are crucial for an effective global pandemic response. In The Lancet, Merryn Voysey and colleagues1 report the updated primary efficacy results for the Oxford–AstraZeneca ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine from three single-blind, randomised controlled...
www.thelancet.com

If we're saying that other nations are having issues because of a vaccine efficacy of 50%, then with one dose, we're looking similar. Now, this paper is encouraging, in that it supports the UK government's policy of longer time spans between doses. However, the Oxford efficacy appears to be down at 55.1% if doses given less than six weeks apart. That's also having had two doses, rather than just one. One dose offers no protection against asymptomatic infection, so you can still heartily spread away, although of course not showing symptoms means you're less likely to be coughing in peoples' faces!

So, if you're expecting to remove masks and distancing (and Johnson said just the other day that he expected distancing to go June 21st, all things being equal - then again, this is the same bloke who was off to see his Mum on Mother's Day last year, and that didn't exactly go as he planned!), then many people will be down in the realms of said Chinese vaccine as they won't have received both doses, and many will be on 0% as they won't have received any. Couple that with an efficacy of 81% after two doses 12 weeks apart, and you're looking at spread.

The encouraging thing, is it does seem even if you catch it after being vaccinated, you're pretty unlucky to catch it badly, which is the primary aim (I can't be bothered to check what the comparison with the Chinese vaccine is in that respect), but it's also about reducing spread to squash it, and therefore reduce risk of mutation / cases rising due to increased contact meaning increased transmission.
Click to expand...

But by June 21st vulnerable age groups and those vulnerable will have been
Offered two doses won’t they?
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,063
Grendel said:
But by June 21st vulnerable age groups and those vulnerable will have been
Offered two doses won’t they?
Click to expand...
I'll refer you back to the fact that risk of hospitalisation for over 40s is high enough, that if you remove masks, and also distancing, then the risk goes up quite a lot. They also have reclassified a number of people with asthma too, of course. Now, that can be a positive thing (evidence emerges that it's not as much of a risk to them!) but it does show we're a constantly moving feast atm.

Increase transmission, you increase cases. I don't quite understand tbh the resistance to masks inside for a few more weeks, to suppress it properly. Right at the beginning of this, we decided we only had a few cases, nothing to worry about, after all. Why not, having got this far, suppress it all the more and maximise the chances of no restrctions going forward - at all? A few weeks of masks and politely stepping back from people doesn't stop society from functioning.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,064
Deleted member 5849 said:
I'll refer you back to the fact that risk of hospitalisation for over 40s is high enough, that if you remove masks, and also distancing, then the risk goes up quite a lot.

Increase transmission, you increase cases. I don't quite understand tbh the resistance to masks inside for a few more weeks, to suppress it properly. Right at the beginning of this, we decided we only had a few cases, nothing to worry about, after all. Why not, having got this far, suppress it all the more and maximise the chances of no restrctions going forward - at all?
Click to expand...

Hardly anyone has died of the virus under 50 though and one dose diminishes hospitalisation dramatically

Last summer also for whatever reason there was no obvious immediate spread due to the packed beaches etc.

There has to be a cut off point or a lot of unrest will occur. I’m sure some will wear masks anyway. Personally as soon as I don’t have to I won’t
 
Reactions: Deleted member 11652, Earlsdon_Skyblue1, RedSalmon and 1 other person
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,065
Grendel said:
I’m sure some will wear masks anyway.
Click to expand...
The people who aren't a risk to others, yep!
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,066
shmmeee said:
Sat waiting after my jab. Amazed by how orderly and efficient it’s all been. We should’ve got the NHS to handle Brexit.
Click to expand...
The army have taken control of the logistics here. I went to see if there were any spares the other day at the local military base that’s now a vaccination centre and had to speak to a guy carrying a huge machine gun at the entrance.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,067
33 year old colleague has now been offered it. Getting really sick of vaccine envy now
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,068
Deleted member 5849 said:
She got any medical complaints at all? At a different surgery to you? Think texts are the GP way of doing things.
Click to expand...

Nope both at same surgery.If anything I have more medical than here. Her text was from NHS rather than surgery. Only thing I can think. is if they sent texts to people who had the jab via other means to tick them off as a jab offered.
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,069
shmmeee said:
I got my GP text a week after I’d booked online. How old are you?
Click to expand...

early 30's so not in the right group yet.
 
Reactions: shmmeee

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,070
Brighton Sky Blue said:
33 year old colleague has now been offered it. Getting really sick of vaccine envy now
Click to expand...

My ex got hers a month ago. She’s 33. I’m still waiting. I say waiting, I’m not actually that bothered, but you know what I mean.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,071
hill83 said:
My ex got hers a month ago. She’s 33. I’m still waiting. I say waiting, I’m not actually that bothered, but you know what I mean.
Click to expand...

Well it’s more for my own peace of mind with not long to a wedding.
 
Reactions: hill83

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,072
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Well it’s more for my own peace of mind with not long to a wedding.
Click to expand...

Can’t be much longer now. I’ll be booking mine on the nhs website as I’m not currently registered with a doctor.

Edit: Actually I am. In Wyken, just checked with my ex ha ha. Useless
 
Last edited: May 6, 2021
Reactions: Deleted member 5849
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,073
hill83 said:
Can’t be much longer now. I’ll be booking mine on the nhs website as I’m not currently registered with a doctor.
Click to expand...
Sorry, just being nosy. Surely you're registered somewhere, even if it's from 15 years ago?

For ages my doctor was here, while I lived 200 miles away(!)

Then I started getting middle aged, and needed to start going for aches, pains, and for a man to stick his hand up my bottom to check my prostate...
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,074
Deleted member 5849 said:
Sorry, just being nosy. Surely you're registered somewhere, even if it's from 15 years ago?

For ages my doctor was here, while I lived 200 miles away(!)
Click to expand...

See my edit.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,075
clint van damme said:
Israel just released latest data on Pfizer, 95% efficacy after 2 jabs.
Click to expand...
According to Our World In Data Israel are up to 58.5% fully vaccinated, compared to our 23.4% so any data from there is going to give us a good indicator of what we can expect.

Looks like from 7am today Israel are relaxing their restrictions. The Green Pass mentioned is a vaccine passport, Purple Badge is limited numbers with mandatory social distancing and mask wearing,.
  1. Gathering restrictions increased to 50 people indoors and 500 people outdoors
  2. Gyms, sports facilities, swimming pools and indoor attractions are cleared for operating subject to the Purple Badge requirements
  3. All restrictions, including gathering restrictions, are lifted for establishments that opted to operate subject to the Green Pass requirements. It should be stressed: Only Green Pass holders may enter these establishments.
  4. Occupancy restrictions for all establishments that opted to operate subject to the Purple Badge have been unified, at a ratio of one person per every 7 square meters.
  5. Events (such as shows aimed at children) may be held according to the following conditions: Seated spectating only, outdoors only, up to 500 people, no Green Pass required.
Click to expand...
 
Last edited: May 6, 2021

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,076
Sick Boy said:
The army have taken control of the logistics here. I went to see if there were any spares the other day at the local military base that’s now a vaccination centre and had to speak to a guy carrying a huge machine gun at the entrance.
Click to expand...

Was it a machine gun or was he just pleased to see you?
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,077
SBAndy said:
Was it a machine gun or was he just pleased to see you?
Click to expand...
Hahaha I was going to add it was definitely an actual machine gun.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,078
shmmeee said:
Surely if you’re asymptomatic you’re less contagious?

We started seeing a vaccine effect in the data well before second doses start which would suggest whatever the trial data says one dose does prevent spread as well as deaths.
Click to expand...

Why would you be? Asymptomatic carriers virus are just as contagious.

Studies that show otherwise please
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,079
hill83 said:
Can’t be much longer now. I’ll be booking mine on the nhs website as I’m not currently registered with a doctor.

Edit: Actually I am. In Wyken, just checked with my ex ha ha. Useless
Click to expand...

Got your NHS number? i know someone who had an awful time booking s it wouldn't find him
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • May 6, 2021
  • #45,080
David O'Day said:
Got your NHS number? i know someone who had an awful time booking s it wouldn't find him
Click to expand...

Yeah got my nhs number did he have his?
 
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