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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (17 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,541
jordan210 said:
What the gov needs to do. Is open up the bookings to 30+ to keep numbers high.


The whole EU vs AZ thing doest sit right with me. Almost as if its being played out to drum up business for vacancies that cost a damn site more and will make someone a lot of money.
Click to expand...

EU is fine with it. It’s random countries in the EU plus a few elsewhere vs AZ it seems.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,542
Deleted member 5849 said:
As I said, happy for the risk averse approach, especially when something's new. The numbers do seem *very* small though so, you'd expect it to resume in a few days. Radio 2's news has not been a good start to the day the past few days, however!
Click to expand...

Its not risk averse. It’s very very risky to pause vaccine rollout for anything you’re not 100% of. More will die and be disabled from COVID than any of these side effects even if true.

I’m not one for nationalism, but I can’t help but feel other countries have got this very very wrong. FWIW I don’t think we got it right intentionally, it’s just this decision lined up with our own childish need to press ahead regardless and open the economy.
 
Reactions: SBAndy and Sky Blue Pete

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,543
Deleted member 5849 said:
As I said, happy for the risk averse approach, especially when something's new. The numbers do seem *very* small though so, you'd expect it to resume in a few days. Radio 2's news has not been a good start to the day the past few days, however!
Click to expand...

Its not risk adverse it’s just illogical
 
Reactions: shmmeee, Sky Blue Pete and xcraigx

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,544
This doesn't look good. Study showing the UK variant to be around 55% more lethal. As we already know its also more transmissible.

Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 - Nature

Analysis of community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 indicates that the B.1.1.7 variant is not only more transmissible than pre-existing variants, but may also cause more severe illness, and is associated with a higher risk of death.
www.nature.com
 

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,545
Pedantic point of order......No such thing as the UK variant. Its simply the B.1.1.7.

Happy for it to be known as the UK variant provided Sars-cov-2 is re-named as the Wuhan virus.

As you were.
 
Reactions: wingy

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,546
shmmeee said:
Saw reports of people in the U.K. asking questions of nurses about blood clots and the like, slowing down the throughput having to be reassured if nothing else.

Bloody statistically illiterate idiots are going to cost lives.
Click to expand...


the odds on getting a clot are something ridiculous like 1 in 420,000.

The odds of dying in a car crash in the UK are something like 1 in 20,000

Bit of common sense needed
 
Reactions: SomersetSB, shmmeee and Saddlebrains

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,547
chiefdave said:
This doesn't look good. Study showing the UK variant to be around 55% more lethal. As we already know its also more transmissible.

Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 - Nature

Analysis of community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 indicates that the B.1.1.7 variant is not only more transmissible than pre-existing variants, but may also cause more severe illness, and is associated with a higher risk of death.
www.nature.com
Click to expand...

QUOTE from that article

This corresponds to the absolute risk of death for a 55–69-year-old male increasing from 0.6% to 0.9%
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,548
Evo1883 said:
the odds on getting a clot are something ridiculous like 1 in 420,000.

The odds of dying in a car crash in the UK are something like 1 in 20,000

Bit of common sense needed
Click to expand...

And that 1 in 420,000 multiplied up to 17 million makes for about 40 cases which is what was reported. It’s a total non story
 
Reactions: Terry Gibson's perm, SomersetSB, shmmeee and 2 others

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,549
Evo1883 said:
QUOTE from that article

This corresponds to the absolute risk of death for a 55–69-year-old male increasing from 0.6% to 0.9%
Click to expand...
It can be framed in ways that make it sound much worse than it is.
 
Reactions: Evo1883

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,550
Evo1883 said:
QUOTE from that article

This corresponds to the absolute risk of death for a 55–69-year-old male increasing from 0.6% to 0.9%
Click to expand...

Another 3k deaths per million is nothing to be sniffed at TBF.

Does it matter though? I thought all vaccines were effective against that strain? Obviously sucks if you’re in the third world (or Europe as it’s known ), but shouldn’t change much for us.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Evo1883

SomersetSB

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,551
Surprise surprise up yours EU!!

Shameless Italy and France admit ban on safe AstraZeneca vaccine is political as EU ‘sulks’ over Brexit

Italy & France resume AstraZeneca rollout after admitting ban was political

ITALY and France will “quickly” resume giving out the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine once the European regulator gives the all-clear. They were among 20 European countries to suspend the us…
www.thesun.co.uk
 
Reactions: eastwoodsdustman

covmark

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,552
Deaths down by over half on last Tuesday. Cases seem to have levelled off somewhat.

Sent from my SM-G960F using Tapatalk
 
Reactions: SomersetSB

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,553
It’sabatch87 said:
Surprise surprise up yours EU!!

Shameless Italy and France admit ban on safe AstraZeneca vaccine is political as EU ‘sulks’ over Brexit

Italy & France resume AstraZeneca rollout after admitting ban was political

ITALY and France will “quickly” resume giving out the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine once the European regulator gives the all-clear. They were among 20 European countries to suspend the us…
www.thesun.co.uk
Click to expand...
Funniest thing about that is neither of the people who are referenced in the article has said it was about Brexit. The Italian guy said it was political as they were pressured by France and Germany and the French guy said it was specifically about putting pressure on AstraZenica over supply. It also doesn’t explain why Sweden has also halted its use and AstraZenica is a U.K./Swedish company. It’s also not a ban, it’s a suspension.

But hey, when did the Sun ever allow facts to get in the way of their reporting.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, Sky Blue Pete and Brylowes

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,554
Right or wrong, they are fucking stupid to suspend it
 
Reactions: eastwoodsdustman and SomersetSB

AOM

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,555
It’sabatch87 said:
Surprise surprise up yours EU!!

Shameless Italy and France admit ban on safe AstraZeneca vaccine is political as EU ‘sulks’ over Brexit

Italy & France resume AstraZeneca rollout after admitting ban was political

ITALY and France will “quickly” resume giving out the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine once the European regulator gives the all-clear. They were among 20 European countries to suspend the us…
www.thesun.co.uk
Click to expand...

An anti-EU article from the Sun complaining of something being 'political'

Christ... why do people still read this shite?
 
Reactions: Brylowes

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,556
Evo1883 said:
Right or wrong, they are fucking stupid to suspend it
Click to expand...

Not as stupid as the yanks who still haven’t approved it.

None of this shit makes sense. Some very silly short term politics being played here for no obvious benefit.
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, Sky Blue Pete and SomersetSB

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,557
AOM said:
An anti-EU article from the Sun complaining of something being 'political'

Christ... why do people still read this shite?
Click to expand...

Tits and sport and horoscopes.
 
Reactions: Deleted member 5849 and AOM

Evo1883

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,558
shmmeee said:
Tits and sport and horoscopes.
Click to expand...
And dear deidre
 
Reactions: SomersetSB and shmmeee

AOM

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,559
shmmeee said:
Tits and sport and horoscopes.
Click to expand...

Same reasons I signed up to this site actually
 
Reactions: dutchman

LastGarrison

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,560
Me and the Missus both got our texts to book ours through this morning and booked in for tomorrow.

We’re only 41 so looks like they’re really getting through them. Might book a holiday for 12 weeks on Thursday.
 
Reactions: We'll_live_and_die, clint van damme and SomersetSB

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,561
Wow


 
Reactions: jimmyhillsfanclub and shmmeee

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,562
Wanting to sue a not for profit vaccine. Looks like they will do anything to smear AZ

 
Reactions: Terry Gibson's perm and SomersetSB

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,563
jordan210 said:
Wanting to sue a not for profit vaccine. Looks like they will do anything to smear AZ

Click to expand...
France can't sue anybody, the contract is between AZ and the European Commission, France is only a recipient. They had better go back to their lawyers.
 
Reactions: jimmyhillsfanclub

SomersetSB

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 16, 2021
  • #43,564
jordan210 said:
Wanting to sue a not for profit vaccine. Looks like they will do anything to smear AZ

Click to expand...
Their not bitter are they
 
Reactions: dutchman

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,565
The behaviour of countries in the EU has been disgraceful, the games they are playing will cost lives
 
Reactions: Sky_Blue_Dreamer, skybluetony176 and SomersetSB

Brylowes

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,566
eastwoodsdustman said:
Could you imagine the outcry here if the British public could see the French and Germans all getting vaccinated and us not?
Click to expand...
No not really, our government have been getting away with murder since day 1.
No reason to think this would be any different.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and fernandopartridge

Nick

Administrator
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,567
Evo1883 said:
the odds on getting a clot are something ridiculous like 1 in 420,000.

The odds of dying in a car crash in the UK are something like 1 in 20,000

Bit of common sense needed
Click to expand...


What are the odds of dying from COVID?
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,568
Nick said:
What are the odds of dying from COVID?
Click to expand...
About one in 450... so far.

Well, arguably lower (higher?0 than that, as that's a rough and ready out of the population. If you did the number of people who've died after having caught it, we're looking at about every one in 34.
 
Last edited by a moderator: Mar 17, 2021

Brylowes

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,569
Skybluefaz said:
It can be framed in ways that make it sound much worse than it is.
Click to expand...
It can, but there’s no getting away from the fact that it’s mutating in the wrong direction.
I thought it was supposed to lose severity with mutations before eventually petering out.
 
Reactions: Skybluefaz

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,570
Deleted member 5849 said:
About one in 450... so far.

Well, arguably lower (higher?0 than that, as that's a rough and ready out of the population. If you did the number of people who've died after having caught it, we're looking at about every one in 34.
Click to expand...

Also is very heavily depended on age group.


Also taking about age groups anyone 50+ can now book


Book, change, or cancel a COVID-19 vaccination appointment online

Book, change or cancel a COVID-19 vaccination appointment online.
www.nhs.uk
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,571
Brylowes said:
It can, but there’s no getting away from the fact that it’s mutating in the wrong direction.
I thought it was supposed to lose severity with mutations before eventually petering out.
Click to expand...
I don't know about that (mutations) . I wasn't trying to downplay the increase either. Merely that 55% increase in mortality sounds scarier than saying it's gone from 0.6 to 0.9.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,572
Deleted member 5849 said:
About one in 450... so far.

Well, arguably lower (higher?0 than that, as that's a rough and ready out of the population. If you did the number of people who've died after having caught it, we're looking at about every one in 34.
Click to expand...

Think those numbers are way too high NW (as in the risk is far less for a majority of people)

Bit morbid but if anyone’s interested in an approx calculation of their own risk this is quite interesting. If you’re not too old and relatively healthy then risks are very small (based on current variants)...if you’re the opposite then you might not want to use the below

Covid and your heart

Get the latest coronavirus updates from our experts, including what Covid-19 means for you if you have a heart or circulatory condition.
www.bhf.org.uk
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,573
CCFCSteve said:
Think those numbers are way too high NW (as in the risk is far less for a majority of people)

Bit morbid but if anyone’s interested in an approx calculation of their own risk this is quite interesting. If you’re not too old and relatively healthy then risks are very small (based on current variants)...if you’re the opposite then you might not want to use the below

Covid and your heart

Get the latest coronavirus updates from our experts, including what Covid-19 means for you if you have a heart or circulatory condition.
www.bhf.org.uk
Click to expand...
That is the risk in the population though, simple division of deaths by population.

Now, if you wanted to skew it you could do all kinds of things, including acknowledging that the risk is as good as it is because we've all been indoors. But basically, the same as road accidents don't account for slow moving pensioners / blind people / people off their heads on drugs etc. so a general risk in population doesn't go for subtlety or nuance.

I'm assuming Nick's point was that given the choice between risk of blood clot or risk of Covid, you'd head for blood clot every time, which seems reasonable.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,574
Deleted member 5849 said:
That is the risk in the population though, simple division of deaths by population.

Now, if you wanted to skew it you could do all kinds of things, including acknowledging that the risk is as good as it is because we've all been indoors. But basically, the same as road accidents don't account for slow moving pensioners / blind people / people off their heads on drugs etc. so a general risk in population doesn't go for subtlety or nuance.

I'm assuming Nick's point was that given the choice between risk of blood clot or risk of Covid, you'd head for blood clot every time, which seems reasonable.
Click to expand...

Yeah, understand, Covid has a hugely disproportionate effect on certain groups though (unless very unlucky) so the general population calcs are far more scary than the actual risk for most

ps agree 100%, the risk of a clot from the vaccine appears in line with standard unvaccinated figures. Based on current data I’d take the vaccine every time !
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 17, 2021
  • #43,575


Chart shows some info on age ranges
 
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