Boro (17 Viewers)

TomRad85

Well-Known Member
Yes, you’re right. Apologies.

but, he turned Lati and only had to bend it round Rushworth to score. Our other defenders were not between him and the goal when he shot.

do you think they had really good chances to score another couple of goals?
No not really, as i've been saying over and over :LOL:
 

robbiethemole

Well-Known Member
Yes, you’re right. Apologies.

but, he turned Lati and only had to bend it round Rushworth to score. Our other defenders were not between him and the goal when he shot.

do you think they had really good chances to score another couple of goals?
WHO fucking cares??? you're a long time resident on here, but fuck me mate, you act like a 12 year old kid over this.
 

TomRad85

Well-Known Member
this is the level of discussion you drop down to FFS? When you resort to this, it throws any credibility you may have out the window.
You put a poo emoji on my post, your high ground disappeared at that point. I've simply been putting the facts down to you and have taken the time to look through the chances you describe as clear cut. They aren't and most people don't agree with you. That's the end of it really, not sure why you can't just enjoy a good win.
 

Shannerz

Well-Known Member
It is just semantics but I think most people when they hear ‘through on goal’ think being sent through one v one against the keeper. Even discounting that though, I can’t remember a clear cut chance for them apart from the goal.

Certainly nothing comparable to Tommy Conway’s chance in the reverse fixture.
No, nothing clear cut, but a couple they could have made more of.

They obviously had the shot off the post, and there was one quite late on where it seemed to open up on the edge of the box for one of their forwards, but he hit it straight at Rushworth.

Based on chances / half chances across the game, the score seems about right.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
Whittaker had a header right after the start of the 2nd half that he should have buried. If Haji missed that we would be saying he missed a ‘sitter’

78th minute, Ayling shot straight at rushworth where it was easier to score. Another where if it was Haji, we’d be saying it was a sitter.

McGree 85th minute, good chance, not a sitter

88th minute, Sene, absolute sitter missed 2yds from goal, although It would have been offside.

so, 3 good chances to score, all of which we would have labelled as sitters if it was our strikers missed them.

@fernandopartridge you should take more water with it mate ;)
xG for the Header 0.04
xG for 78th minute chance (Strelec) 0.06
xG for 85th minute chance for McGree 0.05

We had eight efforts with a higher xG than the excluding the penalty
 

olderskyblue

Well-Known Member
why the fuck are you doing this??? WE WON enjoy the feeling ffs!!!
Why one earth do you think I didnt enjoy the feeling??

you can do that and still analyse the game.
 

olderskyblue

Well-Known Member
xG for the Header 0.04
xG for 78th minute chance (Strelec) 0.06
xG for 85th minute chance for McGree 0.05

We had eight efforts with a higher xG than the excluding the penalty
I’ve never bothered to try and understand what xG is or means tbh, I’m not sure how it affects the game I watched, but I have seen comments on here talk about how chances they’ve seen could have such a low/high xG?

however, I didn’t mention the chances we had as I was commenting on how good a team I thought they looked, and how we upped our game to beat them, and need to keep at that level for the rest of the season.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
I’ve never bothered to try and understand what xG is or means tbh, I’m not sure how it affects the game I watched, but I have seen comments on here talk about how chances they’ve seen could have such a low/high xG?

however, I didn’t mention the chances we had as I was commenting on how good a team I thought they looked, and how we upped our game to beat them, and need to keep at that level for the rest of the season.
The numbers are the probability of that goal being scored from that same position based on all the other times someone has been in that position.
 

olderskyblue

Well-Known Member
The numbers are the probability of that goal being scored from that same position based on all the other times someone has been in that position.
Who decides that, the same people who decide on VAR decisions. :D
but thanks for the explanation. So it has nothing to do with the ability of the person, or wither it is an attacker or defender in that position?
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
Who decides that, the same people who decide on VAR decisions. :D
but thanks for the explanation. So it has nothing to do with the ability of the person, or wither it is an attacker or defender in that position?
Well you just gather a whole load of data from all the times someone has been in that position.

For reference, the xG of a penalty is 0.76, which means on average you expect it to be scored about 76% of the time.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
It’s gone down in the last two seasons too
Bit surprised by that, I've generally been very impressed in recent years by the standard in penalty taking in various shootouts. Just goes to show how skilled Mr Wright is at taking them, must be on 90%+ for them here.
 

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