If you look at the games won so far, by the top teams, the most is 14 , out of approx 24/25 games.
I have been counting down the last few wins for us, the barometer is now at 17 more needed !
That should give us 88 points, which fits in nicely with your maths,, finnish.
One thing , if we ensure that no team takes more than three points off us throughout the season, we should be there, or there abouts.......so far, we have beaten the teams that beat us earlier in the season, so if we keep that up, and at least draw against those that we have already beaten, we should easily get a top six spot. Big ask, I know, but it really is a question of one game at a time, and not getting anxious when we hit an inevitable wobble.
Just my opinion!