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They tell themselves that despite losing to us twice and Ipswich at home. Good outfit, well deserving of their position but we’ve obviously been the best team in the league this season by a mile. To catch us up, we needed to go nearly 3 months without an away win. There’s an only a month of...

My personal prediction is that Millwall draw v Ipswich and beat Boro. Boro have bottled their last 3 home games and that’s where promotion is won or lost. If they fail to beat Bristol City at home, they’re in trouble!

Ipswich, Millwall and Boro aren’t out pointing us from here on out now. Ipswich aren’t good enough away, Boro aren’t good at home and Millwall just aren’t good enough full stop.

We did last year and were soundly the better team in December. There shouldn’t be a a big hang up on playing them.

Lost Lang to PNE though, who is injured for tonight (apparently).

Clearly you don’t because just last week you had written Millwall’s chances. You used the balance of probability to make that judgement. If you agree with the analysis and yourself believe the odds are a low %, it seems rather obtuse to maintain the line that ‘anything can happen’ or ‘there’s a...

Let’s show them the Hirst 2nd yellow card incident and the Wright penalty shout. Then the multiple ‘soft’ penalties they got elsewhere. They can’t have their cake and eat, simultaneously believing you should’ve had a penalty v Leicester but not the Stoke one is just delusional.

Thankfully, facts don’t care about your feelings…

That won’t last but if they can take points from Ipswich and Boro, that’ll do.

We’re projected to hit around Millwall’s max points so it’d be great if they beat Ipswich and Boro back to back. They’re not going to hit 95 points and we’re most likely to hit 94-96 points atm. That’s only giving us 7 points away from home which imo is a low ball, but 14-15 home form may be a...

Against Hull too, they’re not seriously going to go all the way and if they do, great because it won’t impact us. I’d happily have them beat Ipswich and Boro, it pegs back Boro in particular.

It’s possible, just not probable. We did have poorer form. It was when our schedule was lopsided with more away games, our home form remaining constant. We lost to Ipswich and that was it. 60% of our remaining games are at home where under Lampard we’ve lost 3 games and have a 75% win rate...

94 would be by my final best guess. There is a margin of error and feel like 92-96 is our range now and anything outside of that is over/underperforming.

Even Southampton, they’ve lost more away games than they’ve won and their away PPG is 1.27. We’re a 2.47 PPG team at home, we really ought to get 10 points from PNE, Southampton, Derby and Sheff W. Then we have Pompey and Wrexham at home to close out the season at home. Looking at our fixture...

It will be, our averages are higher than the teams around us and we’re looking to get to about 94-96 points based on our current averages. At the current run rate, we should probably hit 14-15 points from the remaining 6 home games and 6-7 points from our 4 remaining away games. That does not...

Strictly speaking, yes if we’re min-maxing the outcome. Our immediate priority is to pull away from Boro and then losing to Millwall in 2 weeks is optimal for us and depending how the results pan out, an Ipswich win v Boro may actually be the day we all but confirm we’ve won the league/prooted...

Best outcome for us is as follows: - Millwall beat Ipswich & Boro - Ipswich best Boro Millwall and now Ipswich max points for the remaining 9/10 games is 95 points. Boro’s is 99 points, 96 is Ipswich beat them. To get to 96 points and all but guarantee we win the league, we need 22 points...

A weird obsession many have with Ipswich. Yes, they have the best squad but they’re yet to actually string together a win streak longer than 4 games. Whereas we’ve hit 3 separate 5 game win streak this season. The idea they were going to win basically all of their remaining 11 games was just...

@KenilworthSkyBlue what do you reckon the % is that Ipswich and Boro both win 80% of their remaining games now? Ipswich have won 0% since we had our conversation. Admittedly, I’d have back them to win both games even despite their horrific record v Leicester and away at Stoke.

No, but things even out and the penalty decision they were crying about on Saturday and today was nothing compared to the Haji incident against us…