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Everything that is in our favour helps though.

One good thing is we don't play anyone who needs the points to stay up, except possibly (though unlikely) Wimbledon on the last day. Other than that, the lowest teams we play are Shrewsbury and Blackpool, both currently 15 points clear of the drop zone. It's looking like mid 30's will be enough...

Portsmouth are only 2 points behind Peterborough and have 2 games in hand, so in reality are probably higher up the table than Peterborough

I can see the logic in separating out the top 6 as opponents, but Portsmouth and Oxford are as difficult as any other games

Looking at Sunderland's games since Christmas (13 games) the only teams currently in the top 10 they have beaten are Oxford, Wycombe, and Ipswich. They are 11th, 13th, and 14th respectively in the last 12 form table. So I think it's safe to say Sunderland have had a relatively unchallenging run...

That's all we need to do, and maybe a draw or two. It doesn't sound so bad looking at it like that

If it's any help, I was certain we would lose to Portsmouth

You only have to look at Portsmouth to see how easily it can all go wrong. 1 point behind us before we played them having played the same amount of games and on the back of 10 wins in a row in all comps (I think it was 10). now 3 games later, 7 points behind and looking out of contention for...

I think 83 will be enough if we beat either Sunderland or Rotherham (hopefully we will win both). otherwise I think 85 to 86 needed to be reasonably sure

But if Kelly gets injured or hits seriously bad form it's nice to know we have someone who has experience in that role. Otherwise we keep the same team and formation I assume. I thought the conversation was about concern over Kelly's form going forward.

I thought Pask could play in the DM role

Yes, every game until the end of the season will feel like the most important game ever (assuming we stay in contention for an auto spot)

In fact Fleetwood could have a big impact, they play, Portsmouth Sunderland Ipswich Portsmouth (again) Rotherham They are only 2 points off Portsmouth having played the same number of games, and have won the last 4.

This season and last, we have had 5 or 6 attempts at finding the right striker, and laid out good money (apparently). One of the problems has been that we have changed our system.

I agree with that, in my post I was trying to identify some possible reasons why Biamou is more popular than other players with some people. I can't quote individual games without looking back now but I have seen several games this season where Biamou coming on has changed the game in our favour...

So what abut the Bolton game? Did you forget about that one?

Lately Biamou has shown his ability to come into games late on and affect the outcome, either with a goal or to change the game in our favour, in the same way as O'Hare can.

Can the owners inject equity to cover it? or have I misinterpreted the rules

The positive thing about goals scored is in the last 10 league games we have had 9 different players on the score sheet, in the run in that means that if someone loses form and their goals dry up it may not affect us as much as it would a team that relies on 1 or 2 players for their goals

I don't think we will lose but it takes a bit of pressure off