How do you get Lesta so high up the table?
I used this website
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Not quite what I was expecting and obviously you have no week to week context but I'll take it if it happens!
Worth pointing out Boro go top a few times and top 3 desperate dby a few points without around 6 games to go so may well get very nervy
I'm not sure. I guess looking at week to week fixtures I see more they win than loseHow do you get Lesta so high up the table?
Pos Team Predicted Points Status 1 Middlesbrough 90 Champions (P) 2 Coventry City 88 Automatic (P) 3 Ipswich Town 86 Play-offs 4 Hull City 79 Play-offs 5 Millwall 77 Play-offs 6 Wrexham 72 Play-offs 7 Southampton 70 - 8 Derby County 69 - 9 Preston North End 68 - 10 Birmingham City 66 - 11 Bristol City 65 - 12 Watford 64 - 13 Stoke City 62 - 14 Queens Park Rangers 61 - 15 Swansea City 60 - 16 Sheffield United 59 - 17 Norwich City 56 - 18 Charlton Athletic 55 - 19 West Bromwich Albion 51 - 20 Portsmouth 50 - 21 Leicester City 48 - 22 Blackburn Rovers 47 Relegated (R) 23 Oxford United 39 Relegated (R) 24 Sheffield Wednesday 4 Relegated (R)
I used this website
View attachment 49271
View attachment 49270
Not quite what I was expecting and obviously you have no week to week context but I'll take it if it happens!
Worth pointing out Boro go top a few times and top 3 desperate dby a few points without around 6 games to go so may well get very nervy
Snatch their hands off.Based on the current standings as of February 18, 2026, and the latest Opta supercomputer simulations, here is the projected final table.
Predicted Final Table: 2025/26 Season
Note: This projection accounts for current form, games in hand (notably for Ipswich), and statistical simulations.
Rich (BB code):
Pos Team Predicted Points Status 1 Middlesbrough 90 Champions (P) 2 Coventry City 88 Automatic (P) 3 Ipswich Town 86 Play-offs 4 Hull City 79 Play-offs 5 Millwall 77 Play-offs 6 Wrexham 72 Play-offs 7 Southampton 70 - 8 Derby County 69 - 9 Preston North End 68 - 10 Birmingham City 66 - 11 Bristol City 65 - 12 Watford 64 - 13 Stoke City 62 - 14 Queens Park Rangers 61 - 15 Swansea City 60 - 16 Sheffield United 59 - 17 Norwich City 56 - 18 Charlton Athletic 55 - 19 West Bromwich Albion 51 - 20 Portsmouth 50 - 21 Leicester City 48 - 22 Blackburn Rovers 47 Relegated (R) 23 Oxford United 39 Relegated (R) 24 Sheffield Wednesday 4 Relegated (R)
This has Ipswich having only played 45 games and 1 point behind 2nd
I used this website
View attachment 49271
View attachment 49270
Not quite what I was expecting and obviously you have no week to week context but I'll take it if it happens!
Worth pointing out Boro go top a few times and top 3 desperate dby a few points without around 6 games to go so may well get very nervy
Ah right missed thatThis has Ipswich having only played 45 games and 1 point behind 2nd
They forgot to allow for mboros total collapse after we’ve shown everyone how to beat themBased on the current standings as of February 18, 2026, and the latest Opta supercomputer simulations, here is the projected final table.
Predicted Final Table: 2025/26 Season
Note: This projection accounts for current form, games in hand (notably for Ipswich), and statistical simulations.
Rich (BB code):
Pos Team Predicted Points Status 1 Middlesbrough 90 Champions (P) 2 Coventry City 88 Automatic (P) 3 Ipswich Town 86 Play-offs 4 Hull City 79 Play-offs 5 Millwall 77 Play-offs 6 Wrexham 72 Play-offs 7 Southampton 70 - 8 Derby County 69 - 9 Preston North End 68 - 10 Birmingham City 66 - 11 Bristol City 65 - 12 Watford 64 - 13 Stoke City 62 - 14 Queens Park Rangers 61 - 15 Swansea City 60 - 16 Sheffield United 59 - 17 Norwich City 56 - 18 Charlton Athletic 55 - 19 West Bromwich Albion 51 - 20 Portsmouth 50 - 21 Leicester City 48 - 22 Blackburn Rovers 47 Relegated (R) 23 Oxford United 39 Relegated (R) 24 Sheffield Wednesday 4 Relegated (R)
A win at West Brom would be fantasticFootball Web Pages have us winning all our home games left and take note that includes March 11th against our nemesis PNE. Only a point a game away .
Enjoy the ride.
Hope im wrongLeicester get 28 points in 14 games?
For me:
I used this website
View attachment 49271
View attachment 49270
Not quite what I was expecting and obviously you have no week to week context but I'll take it if it happens!
Worth pointing out Boro go top a few times and top 3 desperate dby a few points without around 6 games to go so may well get very nervy
Ipswich going unbeaten between now and the end of the season is very unlikely...
Rank Team Points Title Promotion Promotion P/0 Rel 1 Coventry 86.95 65.44% 90.16% 9.82% 0.00% 2 Middlesbrough 83.59 24.38% 68.38% 31.38% 0.00% 3 Ipswich 79.17 7.92% 28.70% 67.38% 0.00% 4 Millwall 75.44 1.44% 6.60% 76.38% 0.00% 5 Hull 74.15 0.76% 4.92% 69.42% 0.00% 6 Wrexham 69.14 0.02% 0.76% 35.38% 0.00% 7 Southampton 67.18 0.02% 0.12% 22.44% 0.00% 8 Birmingham 66.83 0.00% 0.12% 19.92% 0.00% 9 Derby 66.56 0.02% 0.18% 18.50% 0.00% 10 Watford 65.14 0.00% 0.04% 11.86% 0.00% 11 Preston 65.13 0.00% 0.00% 10.58% 0.00% 12 Bristol City 64.52 0.00% 0.02% 8.66% 0.06% 13 Sheff Utd 63.58 0.00% 0.00% 6.94% 0.08% 14 QPR 63.20 0.00% 0.00% 4.66% 0.06% 15 Stoke 61.61 0.00% 0.00% 3.40% 0.36% 16 Swansea 61.40 0.00% 0.00% 2.66% 0.30% 17 Norwich 57.38 0.00% 0.00% 0.24% 2.76% 18 Charlton 56.39 0.00% 0.00% 0.14% 5.80% 19 Portsmouth 56.15 0.00% 0.00% 0.20% 6.10% 20 Blackburn 53.66 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 16.08% 21 Leicester 50.19 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 36.88% 22 West Bromwich 49.89 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 45.04% 23 Oxford 44.09 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 86.48% 24 Sheff Wed 4.17 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00%
Latest Opta predicted table:
Rich (BB code):
Pos Team Current Pts Projected Pts Status 1 Coventry City 68 88 Champions 2 Middlesbrough 65 87 Automatic Promotion 3 Ipswich Town 54 79 Play-offs 4 Hull City 57 78 Play-offs 5 Millwall 56 73 Play-offs 6 Wrexham 51 71 Play-offs 7 Derby County 48 68 -- 8 Preston North End 48 66 -- 9 Watford 48 65 -- 10 Southampton 47 64 -- 11 Birmingham City 49 64 -- 12 QPR 47 64 -- 13 Stoke City 47 64 -- 14 Bristol City 47 64 -- 15 Sheffield United 42 63 -- 16 Swansea City 45 60 -- 17 Leicester City 33 59 -- 18 Charlton Athletic 40 57 -- 19 Norwich City 39 55 -- 20 Portsmouth 39 54 -- 21 West Brom 34 51 Safe 22 Blackburn Rovers 38 51 Relegated (GD) 23 Oxford United 29 45 Relegated 24 Sheffield Wednesday -7 6 Relegated
They have to play eachother which is great , guaranteed dropped pointsEDIT: table updated manually after posting an AI generated one previously which was incorrect. Mea culpa.
Date Coventry Middlesbrough Millwall Ipswich Hull Tuesday 24 February Middlesbrough v Leicester Watford v Ipswich Hull v Derby Wednesday 25 February Sheffield Utd v Coventry Millwall v Birmingham Saturday 28 February Coventry v Stoke Preston v Millwall Ipswich v Swansea Portsmouth v Hull Monday 2 March Birmingham v Middlesbrough Tuesday 3 March Ipswich v Hull Ipswich v Hull Saturday 7 March Bristol City v Coventry Hull v Millwall Ipswich v Leicester Hull v Millwall Sunday 8 March QPR v Middlesbrough Tuesday 10 March Millwall v Derby Stoke v Ipswich Wrexham v Hull Wednesday 11 March Coventry v Preston Middlesbrough v Charlton Friday 13 March Saturday 14 March Coventry v Southampton Middlesbrough v Bristol City Millwall v Blackburn Sheffield Wednesday v Ipswich West Brom v Hull Saturday 21 March Swansea v Coventry Blackburn v Middlesbrough Ipswich v Millwall Ipswich v Millwall Hull v Sheffield Wednesday Friday 3 April Coventry v Derby Middlesbrough v Millwall Middlesbrough v Millwall Southampton v Ipswich Oxford v Hull Monday 6 April Hull v Coventry Swansea v Middlesbrough Millwall v Norwich Ipswich v Birmingham Hull v Coventry Saturday 11 April Coventry v Sheffield Wednesday Middlesbrough v Portsmouth West Brom v Millwall Norwich v Ipswich Sheffield United v Hull Saturday 18 April Blackburn v Coventry Ipswich v Middlesbrough Millwall v QPR Ipswich v Middlesbrough Hull v Birmingham Tuesday 21 April Coventry v Portsmouth Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday Stoke v Millwall Wednesday 22 April Charlton v Ipswich Leicester v Hull Saturday 25 April Coventry v Wrexham Middlesbrough v Watford Leicester v Millwall West Brom v Ipswich Charlton v Hull Saturday 2 May Watford v Coventry Wrexham v Middlesbrough Millwall v Oxford Ipswich v QPR Hull v Norwich Pompey A TBD
How have you set that up?I’ve been running a projection model on the full Championship table, not just naive PPG stuff, but a blended model that factors in recent form, fixture difficulty and games in hand, and I’ve run those factors through 100,000 simulations, these are the results after today’s games:
92.7% probability of automatic promotion
∙ 71.0% probability of winning the title
∙ 100% probability of finishing in the top 6
For context: Middlesbrough only have a 72.5% chance of going up automatically.
My model also had Leicester going down in 55% of simulations, but if they get another point deduction it changes massively - 61% chance of relegation with an extra 1 point deduction and if they got 3 more points deducted their chance of relegation goes up to 73%.
Just a python script with some opinionated inputs - the model blends each team’s season form with their last six results (weighting recent games 60/40), adjusts for remaining fixture difficulty and games in hand and then runs that same set of inputs 100,000 times to produce a probability per position per club. It’s probably not a million miles away from what Opta does for their model.How have you set that up?
Just a python script with some opinionated inputs - the model blends each team’s season form with their last six results (weighting recent games 60/40), adjusts for remaining fixture difficulty and games in hand and then runs that same set of inputs 100,000 times to produce a probability per position per club. It’s probably not a million miles away from what Opta does for their model.
It's the only chance we'd have of beating them. A cursed team.Bristol City playing against us and Boro on the same day is a tough ask for them.
It's the only chance we'd have of beating them. A cursed team.
Oh I don't think we'll get 9 points from those 3, fat chance. I'd be over the moon with 7, ok with 5, indeed 4 points if the win came against Ipswich.We all have some tough games left but i look at you as an opposing fan having to go away to ipswich , blues and wrexham as games i think points will be dropped
Millwall too but at home i think you will beat them
Maybe they are turning on their manager too?Whisper it quietly for the bedwetters but other teams in the top 6 are losing too ….
Whisper it quietly for the bedwetters but other teams in the top 6 are losing too ….
See it as an extra day to prepare while Sheff Utd are preoccupied with relegating their neighbours.It's a shame we don't play till Wednesday as it gives others a chance to apply pressure on our game
However if they shit the bed it could make it a free hit kinda game on the flip side with less pressure
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