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The run of 7 to christmas (12 Viewers)

  • Thread starter Ccfcisparks
  • Start date Sunday at 8:38 AM
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clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 9:05 PM
  • #71
skybluecam said:
5 or 6 teams are averaging better than that
Click to expand...

Who?
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 9:12 PM
  • #72
shepardo01 said:
No idea what this is.....but we aren't top!!
Click to expand...
It also says we’ve had some of the hardest fixtures.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 9:13 PM
  • #73
WLDLDWW

What’s that? 11 points?
 

baldy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 9:17 PM
  • #74
shmmeee said:
WLDLDWW

What’s that? 11 points?
Click to expand...

Well figure it out yourself - yes
 
Reactions: Skyblueweeman

Joe King

Fairly well known member from Malvern
  • Yesterday at 9:30 PM
  • #75
shmmeee said:
WLDLDWW

What’s that? 11 points?
Click to expand...
Looks like a Welsh village to me!
 
Reactions: wingy and blunted

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:06 PM
  • #76
covcity4life said:
"Frank lampard will be a disaster mark my words"

Optimist?
Click to expand...
Be careful or i’ll cry to the mods like a certain teacher who’s always rigjt
 

blunted

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:23 PM
  • #77
skybluecam said:
5 or 6 teams are averaging better than that
Click to expand...
Every team has a purple patch then trail off (see QPR).
We started like a rocket, but even our tail off has been really good.
Lies damn lies and statistics.
 
Reactions: wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:43 PM
  • #78
shepardo01 said:
No idea what this is.....but we aren't top!!
Click to expand...
That's basically Philosorators graph in tabular form, talking of him,where is he,miss those graph's, hope he's alright.
 

Robinshio

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:47 PM
  • #79
We’ve won 8 in 9 on the back of 10 points in 6. 1.8 points per game will put us in the autos or pretty damn close
Ipswich need 2.1
In fact every team needs to do at least 10per cent better than us to catch up
 

itsabuzzard

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:52 PM
  • #80
It's a generation since we fell out of the PL and this moment has been a long time coming. In the firm belief that whatever I say won't make the blindest bit of difference, and assuming Rudoni will be back in action, I'm going for an unbeaten run to Christmas. Maybe a bit over-optimistic to go for maximum points, so I'll chuck in a couple of draws.
 
Reactions: Joe King
S

StrettoBoy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 11:42 PM
  • #81
tom88 said:
I look at that gap too.
Click to expand...

Always important to look at the gaps.

Only 15 games in and we are already 24 points clear of The Blades in the final relegation place.

Our goal difference is 42 better than theirs!

 

skyblueeyesrevisited

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 11:54 PM
  • #82
WWWWWWW
 
Reactions: CovRes and wingy

Robinshio

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 8:27 AM
  • #83
Win the next 2 and the gap could be 10 points. A big ask but very possible
 

skybluecam

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:22 AM
  • #84
clint van damme said:
Who?
Click to expand...
Over the season so far, Ipswich, Birmingham, Blackburn, Southampton and Watford. Obviously we don’t need to worry about some of those specific teams but it’s far from title winning performance.
 
Reactions: Ccfcisparks

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:38 AM
  • #85
shmmeee said:
WLDLDWW

What’s that? 11 points?
Click to expand...
W
L
A
D
T
T
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:43 AM
  • #86
What are the actual results of those 6 games, I'll tell you 5,the table is just projection not actual.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:44 AM
  • #87
skybluecam said:
our expected stats have dipped quite sharply, I posted a graph the other day.

Since Sheff Weds we've only averaged around +0.2 xGD per game, previously it was over 1.
Click to expand...

The second best xGD per game in the Championship last season was Burnley on +0.38 behind Leeds with +0.88.

The recent tail off coincides with Rudoni being missing and also Torp being in and out of the team a bit. While I don't think it was ever going to be likely to go through a season with >+1xGD per game I am hopeful that it'll improve back towards where it was.
 
Reactions: Hincha, cov87! and Sky Blue Pete

skybluecam

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:50 AM
  • #88
fernandopartridge said:
The second best xGD per game in the Championship last season was Burnley on +0.38 behind Leeds with +0.88.

The recent tail off coincides with Rudoni being missing and also Torp being in and out of the team a bit. While I don't think it was ever going to be likely to go through a season with >+1xGD per game I am hopeful that it'll improve back towards where it was.
Click to expand...
What’s that sourced from?

Fbref has Leeds on +1.30 and Burnley +0.41

xGD is by no means a perfect metric but I think it’s a decent indicator. Yes, I put it down to Rudoni being out, but he might not be fully fit for a while and it’s worrying that 1 player has that big of an impact.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:57 AM
  • #89
skybluecam said:
What’s that sourced from?

Fbref has Leeds on +1.30 and Burnley +0.41

xGD is by no means a perfect metric but I think it’s a decent indicator. Yes, I put it down to Rudoni being out, but he might not be fully fit for a while and it’s worrying that 1 player has that big of an impact.
Click to expand...

FootyStats

I don't think it's all Rudoni, but like I said, I don't think the early season sample was necessarily likely to continue all season even if Rudoni had stayed fit. The automatically promoted teams are usually around the x0.50 level if even that high. Leeds' performance last year was an outlier.
 

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:06 AM
  • #90
Ccfcisparks said:
Be careful or i’ll cry to the mods like a certain teacher who’s always rigjt
Click to expand...
Shit comeback babe
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:09 AM
  • #91
skybluecam said:
What’s that sourced from?

Fbref has Leeds on +1.30 and Burnley +0.41

xGD is by no means a perfect metric but I think it’s a decent indicator. Yes, I put it down to Rudoni being out, but he might not be fully fit for a while and it’s worrying that 1 player has that big of an impact.
Click to expand...

He’s literally our only attacking mid. That’s what happens when you don’t have backup for key positions really.
 
Reactions: skybluecam

skybluecam

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:13 AM
  • #92
fernandopartridge said:
FootyStats

I don't think it's all Rudoni, but like I said, I don't think the early season sample was necessarily likely to continue all season even if Rudoni had stayed fit. The automatically promoted teams are usually around the x0.50 level if even that high. Leeds' performance last year was an outlier.
Click to expand...
I mean I’m not saying it’s a crisis, just I think performances need to improve a bit from our recent level. I’m confident they will once Rudoni is starting again but that could take a while, ideally we’d find another way of achieving it without him.
 
Reactions: fernandopartridge

Ccfcisparks

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:17 AM
  • #93
covcity4life said:
Shit comeback babe
Click to expand...
@Nick @mark82 is this acceptable?
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
S

SkyBlueMatt

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:58 AM
  • #94
Any more than 10/11 points would be a great return. If 6 of those points could come against Boro and Ipswich, even better.

The run up to Christmas is a tough one but as long as we can keep ticking along we should be fine. I've been looking at our rivals run in and they have some tricky games too.

Up to the 26th:

Boro - Cov, Derby (going through a purple patch), Hull (great at home), Charlton & Bristol City (PO chasers - both away)
Stoke - Leicester, Ipswich, Watford (all away). Preston, Charlton, Hull (PO chasers)
Ipswich - Hull (great at home), Cov, Stoke (PO chasing), Leicester & Millwall (away)
Hull - Almost as tough as ours.
Leicester - Almost as tough as ours.
 

WestEndAgro

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:29 PM
  • #95
Martw said:
are they getting a week off?
Click to expand...
Just a couple of day's according to Grimes'y.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:36 PM
  • #96
skybluecam said:
I mean I’m not saying it’s a crisis, just I think performances need to improve a bit from our recent level. I’m confident they will once Rudoni is starting again but that could take a while, ideally we’d find another way of achieving it without him.
Click to expand...
Agreed
 

TomS91

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:38 PM
  • #97
From NTT20





 
Reactions: skybluecam

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:53 PM
  • #98
Ipswich got that big squad consistency.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:35 PM
  • #99
shmmeee said:
Ipswich got that big squad consistency.
Click to expand...

We're currently more consistent than them though.
They're 2nd to us in the last 10 form table but drop to 9th in the last 6 table.
Obviously the big squad could be a factor as the season progresses.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:44 PM
  • #100
clint van damme said:
We're currently more consistent than them though.
They're 2nd to us in the last 10 form table but drop to 9th in the last 6 table.
Obviously the big squad could be a factor as the season progresses.
Click to expand...

? They’re top two in 5/10/15 according to that table?
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:49 PM
  • #101
shmmeee said:
? They’re top two in 5/10/15 according to that table?
Click to expand...

Both the fishy and soccerstats have them 9th last 6
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:53 PM
  • #102
shmmeee said:
? They’re top two in 5/10/15 according to that table?
Click to expand...
That table is xG ratio not form
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • 48 minutes ago
  • #103
fernandopartridge said:
That table is xG ratio not form
Click to expand...

I thought that’s what we were discussing. My bad.
 
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