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The EU: In, out, shake it all about.... (16 Viewers)

  • Thread starter jimmyhillsfanclub
  • Start date Jun 8, 2016
Forums New posts

As of right now, how are thinking of voting? In or out

  • Remain

    Votes: 23 37.1%
  • Leave

    Votes: 35 56.5%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 3 4.8%
  • Not registered or not intention to vote

    Votes: 1 1.6%

  • Total voters
    62
  • Poll closed Jun 15, 2016.
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,601
Astute said:
It was a joint thing between Smith making the Labour party good again and policies from the Tories. Once people saw through him he got out.
Click to expand...

Think it was more the economy being about to collapse
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,602
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Social attitude surveys show very little difference between England and Scotland
Click to expand...

And when was the last time the UK had a true left wing government?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,603
Grendel said:
No I was quoting a source I can quote others if you wish

I don’t think Mr Corbyn took action against the story did he?
Click to expand...

I also only see right wing papers covering it 4 years ago and not a word since. Curiously nothing against Margaret Hodge though she was used to compare Corbyn to the Nazis by Sky
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,604
Sick Boy said:
And when was the last time the UK had a true left wing government?
Click to expand...

That isn’t the point people vote against their own self interests for reasons well established. For what it’s worth, probably not since 1945
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,605
Brighton Sky Blue said:
So why do the Tories get away with it every cycle

Because nobody reads the manifesto and believes the poshos
Click to expand...
Every cycle? We are on a run of Tory Govts which started with a coalition and has ended with something similar. Before that we had the Blair Govts which commanded huge majorities. what is it 12 Tory Govts vs 9 Labour since WW2? Hardly conclusive
People have far greater access to manifestos and information due to internet, social media etc. than at any time in our history. Been more than enough
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,606
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Seems to me like the whole bundle of policies is popular. More to the point they are mainstream in some parts of Europe.

Throw that against Tory pledges to deny teachers a pay rise, reinstate a 3 tier education system, grant above inflation increases to military funding etc
Click to expand...
So how do they not win an election? The swing vote is there.
Is Labour so wholly untrustworthy that it isn't to be believed? Nonsense we've had modern Labour Govts.
Is Corbyn so unpopular that he negates all the policy appeal? Can't be.
Maybe the rumours of him being ousted if there was a Labour win at the last election were off-putting? Doubtful.
Last 3 elections show the Tories were there for the taking so why couldn't it be done?
 
Reactions: Astute

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,607
tisza said:
So how do they not win an election? The swing vote is there.
Is Labour so wholly untrustworthy that it isn't to be believed? Nonsense we've had modern Labour Govts.
Is Corbyn so unpopular that he negates all the policy appeal? Can't be.
Maybe the rumours of him being ousted if there was a Labour win at the last election were off-putting? Doubtful.
Last 3 elections show the Tories were there for the taking so why couldn't it be done?
Click to expand...

Labour's No.1 problem is losing Scotland at the moment. It makes an outright majority very difficult as it stands. There is a big proportion of swing voters, but it only impacts if they are in marginal seats. Having swing voters in safe seats has no impact.
 
Reactions: shmmeee and tisza

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,608
Have to applaud Speaker telling MPs that they are not traitors and are voting with their consciences.
Maybe the way forward is to properly remove the whip system completely to allow free votes on all issues. But maybe only when they can repair the perceived disconnect between politicians and their voters.
 
Reactions: bezzer

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,609
tisza said:
Have to applaud Speaker telling MPs that they are not traitors and are voting with their consciences.
Maybe the way forward is to properly remove the whip system completely to allow free votes on all issues. But maybe only when they can repair the perceived disconnect between politicians and their voters.
Click to expand...

Agreed, they should also vote based on their actual beliefs and principles rather than clinging to power.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,610
Ian1779 said:
Labour's No.1 problem is losing Scotland at the moment. It makes an outright majority very difficult as it stands. There is a big proportion of swing voters, but it only impacts if they are in marginal seats. Having swing voters in safe seats has no impact.
Click to expand...
But surely the Blair majorities showed there are enough swing voters to make a big difference? Took an 8% ?? swing to get him in and even 2 notable swings away in next 2 elections still saw him hold big majorities.
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,611
TUC and CBI in full agreement. Maybe it is a new dawn.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,612
tisza said:
But surely the Blair majorities showed there are enough swing voters to make a big difference? Took an 8% ?? swing to get him in and even 2 notable swings away in next 2 elections still saw him hold big majorities.
Click to expand...

It is worth pointing out that he achieved a big swing after being 'endorsed' by the UK's biggest selling newspaper at the time.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,613
Sick Boy said:
And when was the last time the UK had a true left wing government?
Click to expand...

1970’s went really well
 

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,614
Ian1779 said:
It is worth pointing out that he achieved a big swing after being 'endorsed' by the UK's biggest selling newspaper at the time.
Click to expand...
Slightly ironic as it was the day Blair came out with his opposition to a European superstate and single currency that The Sun switched sides
 
Reactions: Ian1779

SIR ERNIE

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,615
shmmeee said:
driving the country off the cliff
Click to expand...
shmmeee said:
I want to remain. I want close trading ties with our closest neighbours. The whole thing is madness.
Second best is being in the customs union, because no amount of trade deals with fucking Timbuktu will make up for the size of the lost market.
Waaaaaaay down the list is a no deal that makes us butt buddies to the US and china.
Click to expand...

You see this is what people who've never negotiated a deal don't get. They swallow Guardian garbage like 'cliff edge' and 'crash out' without understanding that the best way to get a great deal, a close trading relationship, is to walk away.

No deal = great deal.
 
Reactions: Grendel, westcountry_skyblue and dutchman

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,616
Brighton Sky Blue said:
You avoided it because you assumed I wouldn’t engage. I can and will
Click to expand...
Wrong. Have had enough of the idiots that don't want a debate but constantly post crap.
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,617
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Think it was more the economy being about to collapse
Click to expand...
Sounds like you don't have a clue about John Smith and what he did for Labour. This is what we should be looking for. Corbyn wasn't even fit to clean the shoes of the man.

John Smith would have led us to a decent world | John McTernan

So what do you think of the man now?
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,618
Astute said:
Wrong. Have had enough of the idiots that don't want a debate but constantly post crap.
Click to expand...

More like those who don’t agree with you or call you out.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,619
tisza said:
UKIP's level of support at last GE showed what people thought of their politics once they moved from basically a single issue party to a far right agenda 1.8% of votes cast.

I'd like to see some data about these polls that show how popular they are but aren't so much when voters are told they belong to the Labour Party.
Why is it people like the policies but not the party? Surely good policies is what swings votes. The current UK swing vote is around 40% and on a steady increase. It's certainly what helped put New Labour in.
what do you mean by "socially liberal" or is it the American "socially liberal, fiscally conservative"?
Click to expand...

Socially liberal/identity politics/SJW crap focusing on “social justice” rather than economic justice. Being anti-police and anti-military. Left wing social authoritarianism stuff. The Dems in the states have a similar problem.

UKIP collapsed because of the referendum. Before that, there was quite a debate in the party over stuff like privatising the NHS for example. They’re an alt-right meme party now not a serious party so pretty irrelevant.

As for polls: How popular are the parties’ manifesto policies? | YouGov

First result on google. Last elections policies. Take out the immigration stuff and all the economic stuff (even from the Tories) that’s popular is left wing (more money for NHS, raise NMW etc) and there’s a good argument the left wing position economically on immigration should be against it.

Here’s another from a couple of months ago on Corbyns policies specifically: Eurotrack: Corbyn’s policies popular in Europe and UK | YouGov


And an older article on Green Party policies;
If people voted for policies, the Green Party would win the next
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,620
Astute said:
So how about as far back as yesterday when he walked out of a very important meeting because an ex Labour MP was invited?

It isn't bad press. It is bad decisions.
Click to expand...

I wouldn't sit in a room with ummana he's a snake.
 
Reactions: Ian1779

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,621
clint van damme said:
I wouldn't sit in a room with ummana he's a snake.
Click to expand...
Even if you were the leader of the Labour party and wanted to put your views and thoughts ahead on Brexit?

Of course you would.
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,622
Astute said:
Even if you were the leader of the Labour party and wanted to put your views and thoughts ahead on Brexit?

Of course you would.
Click to expand...

The meeting was a waste of time as confirmed by Vince cable.
The independents are a bunch of ego maniacs who should have had the bollocks to resign when they quit their parties.
I get the general point your driving at but like I say, I'd be quite happy to have another leader with the similar policies but is there a candidate?
 

Astute

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,623
clint van damme said:
The meeting was a waste of time as confirmed by Vince cable.
The independents are a bunch of ego maniacs who should have had the bollocks to resign when they quit their parties.
I get the general point your driving at but like I say, I'd be quite happy to have another leader with the similar policies but is there a candidate?
Click to expand...
Starmer has been the one for me for a long time. He had a successful career before going into politics. He isn't in politics for the money or to have a career. He always worked to help people in need as a barrister. And he was also DPP and Head of the Crown Prosecution Service.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,624
Astute said:
Starmer has been the one for me for a long time. He had a successful career before going into politics. He isn't in politics for the money or to have a career. He always worked to help people in need as a barrister. And he was also DPP and Head of the Crown Prosecution Service.
Click to expand...

I’m here for Kier, but he’s pretty bland and has no real policy platform to speak of. Also he’s been pretty anonymous on Brexit (though partly because of Corbyns strategy TBF).

There really is a talent drought in politics at the moment. I voted Corbyn because I align with his politics (and the rest were as inspiring as a talk on data protection methods), then I voted Smith because Corbyn is a fucking terrible leader and the good policies aren’t even his babies (he’s all about mental foreign policy). If it wasn’t for the baggage I’d go for McDonnell for his politics, but I doubt he’d do any better than Corbyn with voters.

Right now, weirdly, the only MP I’d be happy to see in No 10 is Ken Clarke. So often seems like the only adult in the room. Sadly he’s in the mental party.

Jess Phillips has grown on me, would be an interesting outside bet.
 
Reactions: Astute

tisza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,625
shmmeee said:
Socially liberal/identity politics/SJW crap focusing on “social justice” rather than economic justice. Being anti-police and anti-military. Left wing social authoritarianism stuff. The Dems in the states have a similar problem.

UKIP collapsed because of the referendum. Before that, there was quite a debate in the party over stuff like privatising the NHS for example. They’re an alt-right meme party now not a serious party so pretty irrelevant.

As for polls: How popular are the parties’ manifesto policies? | YouGov

First result on google. Last elections policies. Take out the immigration stuff and all the economic stuff (even from the Tories) that’s popular is left wing (more money for NHS, raise NMW etc) and there’s a good argument the left wing position economically on immigration should be against it.

Here’s another from a couple of months ago on Corbyns policies specifically: Eurotrack: Corbyn’s policies popular in Europe and UK | YouGov


And an older article on Green Party policies;
If people voted for policies, the Green Party would win the next
Click to expand...
Missing the point.
Not disputing the popularity (or indeed quality) of some of these policies.
What I fail to see is the evidence in falling popularity of policies just because people found out they are Corbyn's.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,626
Zzz
Astute said:
Sounds like you don't have a clue about John Smith and what he did for Labour. This is what we should be looking for. Corbyn wasn't even fit to clean the shoes of the man.

John Smith would have led us to a decent world | John McTernan

So what do you think of the man now?
Click to expand...

You're being a dick even when people are trying to agree with you.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and martcov

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,627
SIR ERNIE said:
You see this is what people who've never negotiated a deal don't get. They swallow Guardian garbage like 'cliff edge' and 'crash out' without understanding that the best way to get a great deal, a close trading relationship, is to walk away.

No deal = great deal.
Click to expand...
Based on what?
 
Reactions: bezzer
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,628
skybluetony176 said:
May has refused point blank to renegotiate her red lines either with our sovereign parliament or the EU. Where’s her negotiation?
Click to expand...
Maybe she did that because the EU made it absolutely clear their red lines were absolutely unmoveable...so she said & did the same?

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,629
SkyblueBazza said:
Maybe she did that because the EU made it absolutely clear their red lines were absolutely unmoveable...so she said & did the same?

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

It’s got more to do with pandering to a minority in her party I would think. She was up against prominent leavers in the leadership contest who all pulled out leaving her to take the job unchallenged. I don’t know but I suspect that the red lines were agreed as part of that process. It certainly explains why she won’t negotiate them with parliament or the more centralist elements in her own party.
 
Last edited: Mar 21, 2019

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,630
SkyblueBazza said:
Maybe she did that because the EU made it absolutely clear their red lines were absolutely unmoveable...so she said & did the same?

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Their red lines are written into a series of treaties that form the basis of the EU that cannot just be undone.

May's red lines are a mixture of pet projects of hers and pandering to various factions in the Tory party.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy and skybluetony176

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,631
SIR ERNIE said:
You see this is what people who've never negotiated a deal don't get. They swallow Guardian garbage like 'cliff edge' and 'crash out' without understanding that the best way to get a great deal, a close trading relationship, is to walk away.

No deal = great deal.
Click to expand...
You're conflating a political negotiation with somebody trying to buy something in an open market, nonsensical tbh.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,632
 
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,633
skybluetony176 said:
It’s got more to do with pandering to a minority in her party I would think. She was up against prominent leavers in the leadership contest who all pulled out leaving her to take the job unchallenged. I don’t know but I suspect that the red lines were agreed as part of that process. It certainly explains why she won’t negotiate them with parliament or the more centralist elements in her own party.
Click to expand...
Or maybe pandering to the noisy minority remain vote camp

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
 
S

SkyblueBazza

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,634
fernandopartridge said:
Their red lines are written into a series of treaties that form the basis of the EU that cannot just be undone.

May's red lines are a mixture of pet projects of hers and pandering to various factions in the Tory party.
Click to expand...
They have foind it easy enough to change things & allow an extension when the chips are down...so I feel sure it can actually be easily undone

Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
 

dancers lance

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 21, 2019
  • #33,635
fernandopartridge said:
Their red lines are written into a series of treaties that form the basis of the EU that cannot just be undone.

May's red lines are a mixture of pet projects of hers and pandering to various factions in the Tory party.
Click to expand...
I'm not sure what the final outcome will be, but I know the EU have had to play a very hard line, they can't afford to show any weakness to the UK because that would undermine the whole project. I do know that (even though they are trying to hide it well) that the EU is considered to be on the brink of recession by leading financial experts with Germany considered to go very soon. A no deal brexit would be disastrous for them so I think some last minute concessions will be made to force through an agreement.
 
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