Ten points for the title (10 Viewers)

[SkyBluePower]

It seemed like an absolute age to get to last Friday and now suddenly it’s all but done and promotion at the earliest point anyone really expected.

 

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[Sky Blue Pete]

2bf - West Brom have picked up under James Morrison. Like you I expect Millwall to win but it’s not a given anymore

They were poor yesterday

 

[shmmeee]

They were poor yesterday

A bit of me does wonder if them and Boro know the autos are over and will save themselves for the POs a bit now. Seems mad to say but Ipswich with two games in hand and their squad just seem unassailable to me.

 

[HuckerbyDublinWhelan]

They were poor yesterday

I mean they’re harder to beat now. There’s a bit more fight

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

A bit of me does wonder if them and Boro know the autos are over and will save themselves for the POs a bit now. Seems mad to say but Ipswich with two games in hand and their squad just seem unassailable to me.

They have to get the points though, and it's 7 fixtures in 3 weeks. By no means a given whatsoever.

 

[Skyblue Bangkok]

Can come from us gaining points or Ipswich dropping points so:

Sat 11th April
City v Sheffield Wed
Norwich v Ipswich

(Min 4 points to title if both go our way - 7 if we both win)

Tuesday 14th April
Portsmouth v Ipswich

(Min 1 point to title)

Friday 17th April
Blackburn v City

(Earliest we could win title)

Sun 19th April
Ipswich v Boro

Tuesday 21st April
City v Portsmouth

Wednesday 22nd April
Charlton v Ipswich

Saturday 25th April
WBA v Ipswich

Sunday 26th April
City v Wrexham

When do you reckon we win it?

Pompey at home for me.

Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

A bit of me does wonder if them and Boro know the autos are over and will save themselves for the POs a bit now. Seems mad to say but Ipswich with two games in hand and their squad just seem unassailable to me.

Not really, Boro play Ipswich and Ipswich have back to back away games v Southampton and Norwich who are the form teams of 2026 so far.

Millwall just don’t have the quality to see the job through imo. If they don’t lose to Pompey or Blackburn, their position in 2nd is much stronger.

 

[shmmeee]

Not really, Boro play Ipswich and Ipswich have back to back away games v Southampton and Norwich who are the form teams of 2026 so far.

Millwall just don’t have the quality to see the job through imo. If they don’t lose to Pompey or Blackburn, their position in 2nd is much stronger.

I reckon Ipswich have got 4 fairly routine wins of the seven left. That leaves Boro needing four wins from five to match them then needing more points than Ipswich manage in the other three. It’s a big ask.

 

[HuckerbyDublinWhelan]

Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.

Wrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or away

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Wrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or away

Probably never played them before this season anyway

 

[Skyblue Bangkok]

Probably never played them before this season anyway

Thast what I was thinking

 

[Calista]

It seemed like an absolute age to get to last Friday and now suddenly it’s all but done and promotion at the earliest point anyone really expected.

Yeah last Friday was pivotal.

 

[Skyblue Bangkok]

Thast what I was thinking

That's even

 

[SonofErnie]

Wrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or away

And won't have the chance again this season. Us and Boro play them, Ipswich don't.

 

[Skyblue Bangkok]

And won't have the chance again this season. Us and Boro play them, Ipswich don't.

Pity that linesman flagged no goal when Birmingham made it 2-2 yesterday .The ball was never over the line before it was pulled back the lino just guessed.

 

[wingy]

Probably never played them before this season anyway

Thought we had them in a cup game?

 

[wingy]

Pity that linesman flagged no goal when Birmingham made it 2-2 yesterday .The ball was never over the line before it was pulled back the lino just guessed.

I think you're being generous with that interpretation

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

I reckon Ipswich have got 4 fairly routine wins of the seven left. That leaves Boro needing four wins from five to match them then needing more points than Ipswich manage in the other three. It’s a big ask.

Ipswich are in pole position, but they’re level on points with Millwall and Boro. The former have got a couple of things going against them:
1) fixture congestion
2) 1.44 ppg from their away games - with 5 to play

I’ve backed Ipswich all season for 2nd, but there’s plenty to play for. If Boro beat Ipswich away, it would prove decisive. My personal view is that Ipswich will win that and finish 2nd, unfortunately.

 

[alexccfc99]

Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.

I would make Norwich strong favourites for the game Saturday myself

Ipswich's record in that fixture, particularly at Carrow Road is absolutely dire in recent years and I just think since the turn of the year Norwich have shown themselves to be a better side - If the season was going on a couple of weeks longer they would end up in the play-offs

 

[Brighton Sky Blue]

Thought we had them in a cup game?

He was on about Ipswich

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

So unless they catch us they can’t catch us. We aren’t likely to lose all our games and then win them anyway but over 5 games a 22 goal difference is under 5 goals a game so a 2-0 loss and a 3-0 win which is hardly unachievable.

For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.

So it's 22 GD over 4 matches which is about a 6 goal swing per match. Could happen for one match but it's not happening 4 games in a row.

 

[fatso]

For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.

So it's 22 GD over 4 matches which is about a 6 goal swing per match. Could happen for one match but it's not happening 4 games in a row.

Win Saturday and its job done.

 

[shmmeee]

For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.

So it's 22 GD over 4 matches which is about a 6 goal swing per match. Could happen for one match but it's not happening 4 games in a row.

Us losing every game from there and then winning isn’t happening either. But mathematical is mathematical.

 

[SkyBlue_Bear83]

Us losing every game from there and then winning isn’t happening either. But mathematical is mathematical.

Just pointing out you were wrong in your goal swing calculations.

 

[shmmeee]

Just pointing out you were wrong in your goal swing calculations.

Probably. Just saying 2 or 3 goal wins/losses isn’t any more out there than five game losing streaks.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.

Norwich have an outside shout of playoffs. Putting aside the obvious incentive to win a rivalry game, they need the points to stay in the mix for playoffs.

A draw tonight and it’s game on for them. A win either way probably puts them out of reach realistically.

 

[Saddlebrains]

I think 7 guarantees title

 

[Marty]

Can't wait to buy all the cheap tat that will be released in the club shop.

 

[shmmeee]

I think 7 guarantees title

You think Ipswich win 6 lose 1 of their remaining games?

 

[Mercian In Anglia]

Fun fact: we've created more unique threads discussing end of season permutations of points and games than we have scored goals all season.

More than the rest of the top 6 put together. What a season.

 

[jto123]

I think 7 guarantees title

I think 5 surely?

 

[PUSB-We_are_going_up]

Portsmouth pencilled in for me, we needed to win last night for it to be against Sheffield Wednesday I think

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

Portsmouth pencilled in for me, we needed to win last night for it to be against Sheffield Wednesday I think

It’s still on for Saturday but Millwall (away at WBA) and Boro (home v Pompey) need to drop points which isn’t likely imo.

We could confirm the title v Blackburn if we beat them and Ipswich drop 4 points v Norwich, Pompey and Boro.

Unlikely but we best start supporting Pompey on the side if we want to wrap this up asap!

 

[clint van damme]

It’s still on for Saturday but Millwall (away at WBA) and Boro (home v Pompey) need to drop points which isn’t likely imo.

We could confirm the title v Blackburn if we beat them and Ipswich drop 4 points v Norwich, Pompey and Boro.

Unlikely but we best start supporting Pompey on the side if we want to wrap this up asap!

There's also their relegation tussle with Leicester as a good reason to be cheering Portsmouth on.

 

[Mucca Mad Boys]

There's also their relegation tussle with Leicester as a good reason to be cheering Portsmouth on.

If Leicester can’t beat Sheffield Wednesday, who can they beat?

Looking at their fixtures, they’re gone imo. They’ve got Hull and Millwall at home (two of the best away teams) and they’re away at Pompey and Blackburn.

If they can’t beat Swansea at home who are more or less on the beach (figuratively and literally), where’s their run of wins coming from?