SkyBluePower
Well-Known Member
It seemed like an absolute age to get to last Friday and now suddenly it’s all but done and promotion at the earliest point anyone really expected.
They were poor yesterday2bf - West Brom have picked up under James Morrison. Like you I expect Millwall to win but it’s not a given anymore
They were poor yesterday
I mean they’re harder to beat now. There’s a bit more fightThey were poor yesterday
They have to get the points though, and it's 7 fixtures in 3 weeks. By no means a given whatsoever.A bit of me does wonder if them and Boro know the autos are over and will save themselves for the POs a bit now. Seems mad to say but Ipswich with two games in hand and their squad just seem unassailable to me.
Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.Can come from us gaining points or Ipswich dropping points so:
Sat 11th April
City v Sheffield Wed
Norwich v Ipswich
(Min 4 points to title if both go our way - 7 if we both win)
Tuesday 14th April
Portsmouth v Ipswich
(Min 1 point to title)
Friday 17th April
Blackburn v City
(Earliest we could win title)
Sun 19th April
Ipswich v Boro
Tuesday 21st April
City v Portsmouth
Wednesday 22nd April
Charlton v Ipswich
Saturday 25th April
WBA v Ipswich
Sunday 26th April
City v Wrexham
When do you reckon we win it?
Pompey at home for me.
Not really, Boro play Ipswich and Ipswich have back to back away games v Southampton and Norwich who are the form teams of 2026 so far.A bit of me does wonder if them and Boro know the autos are over and will save themselves for the POs a bit now. Seems mad to say but Ipswich with two games in hand and their squad just seem unassailable to me.
Not really, Boro play Ipswich and Ipswich have back to back away games v Southampton and Norwich who are the form teams of 2026 so far.
Millwall just don’t have the quality to see the job through imo. If they don’t lose to Pompey or Blackburn, their position in 2nd is much stronger.
Wrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or awayIpswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.
Probably never played them before this season anywayWrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or away
Thast what I was thinkingProbably never played them before this season anyway
Yeah last Friday was pivotal.It seemed like an absolute age to get to last Friday and now suddenly it’s all but done and promotion at the earliest point anyone really expected.
That's evenThast what I was thinking
And won't have the chance again this season. Us and Boro play them, Ipswich don't.Wrexham is a bit of an odd one - apparently they’ve never beaten Wrexham home or away
Pity that linesman flagged no goal when Birmingham made it 2-2 yesterday .The ball was never over the line before it was pulled back the lino just guessed.And won't have the chance again this season. Us and Boro play them, Ipswich don't.
Thought we had them in a cup game?Probably never played them before this season anyway
I think you're being generous with that interpretationPity that linesman flagged no goal when Birmingham made it 2-2 yesterday .The ball was never over the line before it was pulled back the lino just guessed.
Ipswich are in pole position, but they’re level on points with Millwall and Boro. The former have got a couple of things going against them:I reckon Ipswich have got 4 fairly routine wins of the seven left. That leaves Boro needing four wins from five to match them then needing more points than Ipswich manage in the other three. It’s a big ask.
I would make Norwich strong favourites for the game Saturday myselfIpswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.
He was on about IpswichThought we had them in a cup game?
For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.So unless they catch us they can’t catch us. We aren’t likely to lose all our games and then win them anyway but over 5 games a 22 goal difference is under 5 goals a game so a 2-0 loss and a 3-0 win which is hardly unachievable.
Win Saturday and its job done.For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.
So it's 22 GD over 4 matches which is about a 6 goal swing per match. Could happen for one match but it's not happening 4 games in a row.
For 4 matches not 5, if we win Saturday we're on 87 and can only be caught on GD with 4 matches remaining.
So it's 22 GD over 4 matches which is about a 6 goal swing per match. Could happen for one match but it's not happening 4 games in a row.
Just pointing out you were wrong in your goal swing calculations.Us losing every game from there and then winning isn’t happening either. But mathematical is mathematical.
Just pointing out you were wrong in your goal swing calculations.
Norwich have an outside shout of playoffs. Putting aside the obvious incentive to win a rivalry game, they need the points to stay in the mix for playoffs.Ipswich have some tough fixtures, Norwich who certainly won't want to do them any favours, Boro. Southampton. Wrexham.
I think 7 guarantees title
More than the rest of the top 6 put together. What a season.Fun fact: we've created more unique threads discussing end of season permutations of points and games than we have scored goals all season.
I think 5 surely?I think 7 guarantees title
It’s still on for Saturday but Millwall (away at WBA) and Boro (home v Pompey) need to drop points which isn’t likely imo.Portsmouth pencilled in for me, we needed to win last night for it to be against Sheffield Wednesday I think
It’s still on for Saturday but Millwall (away at WBA) and Boro (home v Pompey) need to drop points which isn’t likely imo.
We could confirm the title v Blackburn if we beat them and Ipswich drop 4 points v Norwich, Pompey and Boro.
Unlikely but we best start supporting Pompey on the side if we want to wrap this up asap!
If Leicester can’t beat Sheffield Wednesday, who can they beat?There's also their relegation tussle with Leicester as a good reason to be cheering Portsmouth on.
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