Yes. Especially if the answer is playing Simms instead.Is it inconceivable to leave Haji out?
Yes. Especially if the answer is playing Simms instead.
You have to remember that Robins has worked with most of these players and I think he would set out a plan in how to handle Simms. Wright is so much more unpredictable and hard to plan against. He can change a game in an instance.
I would stick with Wright.
Having a Quick Look at the xG for their last few games they’ve overperformed it while oppo has been wasteful, so rings true that they’ve been a bit lucky.I've been talking to my Stoke supporting mate, and he says that he'd be very happy with a draw. His point was that they've been a bit lucky so far, they've been giving up chances but opponents haven't been taking advantage. (To be honest, I've felt the same about us more than once!)
He thinks we're a lot more clinical and should win.
He did say that he's very happy with Robins, and in true football fan fashion, he's delighted that they're 18 points above the relegation zone!
I know that outlook only too well; I'm very used to calculating exactly what it will take to stay ahead of the teams just below us, I'm just not used to seeing no one above us. It feels... weird. I like it.
One for the data heads but what is it saying on Stoke? I know all underlying numbers have us exactly where we should be, which is great are we're outputting the numbers and have the mental fortitude to also turn that into real points.
My feeling is Stoke are overperforming but I could be wrong. I know Boro were massively and it's catching up to them already.
One for the data heads but what is it saying on Stoke? I know all underlying numbers have us exactly where we should be, which is great are we're outputting the numbers and have the mental fortitude to also turn that into real points.
My feeling is Stoke are overperforming but I could be wrong. I know Boro were massively and it's catching up to them already.
Pretty much what I thought, thanks. We can definitely go there and create chances, we just need to take them which they've been relatively fortunate with so far.Just a quick Ai search says this. (GSE bodes well as it appears teams are creating chances against them and not scoring. We will see to that)
- Actual Position vs. Expected Position: While second in the actual table, statistical models and analysts' predictions, based on underlying data, place them lower, often in a playoff position (3rd-6th) rather than an automatic promotion spot.
- Actual Goal Difference vs. xG Difference: Stoke has an impressive actual goal difference of +12 (21 goals for, 9 against). In contrast, their expected goal difference (xG Diff) is only +0.7 (18.1 xG for, 17.4 xGA against), indicating they have been much more efficient at converting chances and preventing goals than the quality of those chances would typically predict.
- Goal Scoring Efficiency: They are currently scoring more goals per match (1.5) than their xG per match (1.41), and conceding fewer goals per match (0.64) than their xG against per match (1.32). This high level of efficiency in both attack and defense is a key factor in their current high standing.
Yes. Especially if the answer is playing Simms instead.
You have to remember that Robins has worked with most of these players and I think he would set out a plan in how to handle Simms. Wright is so much more unpredictable and hard to plan against. He can change a game in an instance.
I would stick with Wright.
What I'm getting is that despite a relatively small points gap, we're actually a fair bit better. Let's do this boys!
Chuck in the long throws. Nothing more poetic than scoring a long throw vs Stoke, which I believe we did last season.Thing for me is it’s away and if we go three at the back we’re going longer. I think a 343 works better with a focal points and the other two forwards coming closer and going past the number 9. Even more so if we went 532. 424 or 4231 I’d go Haji. Just feel we’ll be a lot more direct here.
13th in the expected goals forOne for the data heads but what is it saying on Stoke? I know all underlying numbers have us exactly where we should be, which is great are we're outputting the numbers and have the mental fortitude to also turn that into real points.
My feeling is Stoke are overperforming but I could be wrong. I know Boro were massively and it's catching up to them already.
XG Home and away the same? That cant happen very oftenHere is a broad range of our statistics:
View attachment 46993
I think it's fair to say that we are doing very well on most metrics
Not that we needed these figures to prove it
You keep posting stuff like this trying to ridicule the pro robins posts. There’s not a single Cov fan that would rather see Robins do well at our expense. A lot of us have said we’d like to see him be the next best after us, it’s really not that weird.Even if we lose this one, it's a win. I'd love to see Mark with a smile on his face.
Pretty much what I thought, thanks. We can definitely go there and create chances, we just need to take them which they've been relatively fortunate with so far.
No I agree, you have to actually play the points out and not just put up numbers but when the 2 largely match up its a very good sign.Though I'd take that table with a certain amount of caution given where blues and particularly Southampton are.
Though we're clearly where we should be.
Wish I understood all these statsPretty much what I thought, thanks. We can definitely go there and create chances, we just need to take them which they've been relatively fortunate with so far.
We're really good. Stoke may or may not fall away.Wish I understood all these stats
Plus the BTA of Lampard is a totally different beast to the BTA of Robins, he will run them ragged.Yes. Especially if the answer is playing Simms instead.
You have to remember that Robins has worked with most of these players and I think he would set out a plan in how to handle Simms. Wright is so much more unpredictable and hard to plan against. He can change a game in an instance.
I would stick with Wright.
Maybe try The Bricklayers Arms in Sharnford?? someone on here said the landlord was a City fan ( or his son is), try ringing them ????Sold my ticket as mate couldn't get one....then he tells me yesterday that he has managed to get oneI don't have a stick to watch it on, but know that there will probably be a pub in Cov that I could go and watch it. If anyone in the SBT community knows of one could you DM me please...even better if in Leicestershire
They're all just modern bullshit mumbo-jumbo, the only thing that has ever mattered, is how many time you fucking score a goal!!!!Wish I understood all these stats
They're all just modern bullshit mumbo-jumbo, the only thing that has ever mattered, is how many time you fucking score a goal!!!!
The stats only work in a controlled environment, but footy, as we all know, isn't an exact scieince.
They're all just modern bullshit mumbo-jumbo, the only thing that has ever mattered, is how many time you fucking score a goal!!!!
The stats only work in a controlled environment, but footy, as we all know, isn't an exact scieince.
it's not though, while the goals actually scored is the most important stat xg can over a period of time show you how likely a team is to maintain a run of formThey're all just modern bullshit mumbo-jumbo, the only thing that has ever mattered, is how many time you fucking score a goal!!!!
The stats only work in a controlled environment, but footy, as we all know, isn't an exact scieince.
but surely, they are arbitrary figures, who decides what is a hard chance and what isn't?it's not though, while the goals actually scored is the most important stat xg can over a period of time show you how likely a team is to maintain a run of form
xg for example is just the expected amount of goals scored for the quality of chance you have created and it is pretty good at shwing the likely hood of teams carrying on in the way they are. If you scoring more than xg says then unless you have a world class striker then you are likely to stop scoring every hard chance and your actual goals will trend back toward your xg
they are not though, for example the closer to goal the higher the xgbut surely, they are arbitrary figures, who decides what is a hard chance and what isn't?
Here's a strange one on the subject of lifts......................... in Rugby Centre, there's a lift that only goes to the top floor of the carpark, but it has BRAILLE on the buttons!!!!! WTF?
Hope Rudoni makes a 15-20 min cameo appearance and gives everyone a lift.
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