Are you sure there's not a scenario whereby when Millwall play Gillingham that they can BOTH lose. I'm sure there is. Come on Otis, if anyone can find an answer, you can.
I admire the optimism chaps. Not for me...as someone else pointed out...too little too late.
If we win our remaining games, then TM has gone someway to curtailing my calls for him to go. A shocking period between Nov-April though cannot be ignored...
If we win our remaining games, then TM has gone someway to curtailing my calls for him to go. A shocking period between Nov-April though cannot be ignored...
no it isn't as most play each other, points will be dropped just look at the sequence of fixtures. they cant ALL get max points. That is why there is a chance, a good chance
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I tried to put all that into an IF THEN ELSE loop Otis, but it blew my computer up
Strange things do happen, but if we somehow sneaked into the plays offs at this stage, wow I can't imagine the odds of that. With 3 games still to go, we need to win them all and rely on too many other variables. This would supersede virtually all the relegation fights we've ever had.
You know, I've said a while back I couldn't see us winning 2 out of 3 games in the play offs, so I wasn't going to get excited....but if the above DID happen, I'd even believe Allah is wearing sky blue.
Maybe the Wall will smash up a pub where the CCTV is working and the FA doc them 10 points.
I've tried and I've tried, Torch. I know there is a way, but I just can't find it.
Couldn't sleep last night trying to figure out the conundrum.
Sorry to disappoint you.
Improbable because Barnsley have been on an excellent run and even though they have had a bit of a wobble after something like 1 defeat in 14 games, their last 10 games have resulted in 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats
It is improbable because you would fully expect them to get 4 points from 3 matches. Just 1 win and 1 draw would do it for them.
1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat wouldn't be great form, but would still be enough.
And their failure to secure 4 points would then also have to come in tandem with us winning all 3 games and Gillingham also failing to secure 4 points.
Yep, improbable I think sums it up very well indeed.
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There is an outside chance Millwall and Gillingham could play each other on the last day both with 72 points... Our goal difference will be better than both if we go into the last game on 69 points.
We've probably got a 2-3% chance of the playoffs
We've probably got a 2-3% chance of the playoffs
otis if its maths and probability that you like join a maths club. leave football for those who love it.
I was indeed going to join a maths club, but the membership was so expensive it was out of the equation.
Been on the Prediction calculator and if CCFC win all remaining games and the others take points of each other then it looks like this
http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-league-one/
That didnt work oh bollox never mind click on the URL and do your own predictions and see what you get
http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-league-one/
| 8 |
|
| 8 |
| | | | | | | | |
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That sounds spot on.Been on the Prediction calculator and if CCFC win all remaining games and the others take points of each other then it looks like this
http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-league-one/
8
8 Barnsley FC 46 21 8 17 67:56 11 71
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Wigan Athletic[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]80:43[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]90[/TD]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Burton Albion[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]25[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]56:39[/TD]
[TD]17[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Walsall FC[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]23[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]65:45[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Millwall FC[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]22[/TD]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]68:49[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]77[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Bradford City[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]49:41[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]75[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Coventry City[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]20[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]66:47[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]72[/TD]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-logo"][/TD]
[TD="class: wfb-tabcalc-standing-team"]Gillingham FC[/TD]
[TD]46[/TD]
[TD]19[/TD]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]69:53[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]71[/TD]
I think.
| 1 |
| Wigan Athletic | 46 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 79:41 | 38 | 90 |
| 2 |
| Burton Albion | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 56:38 | 18 | 85 |
| 3 |
| Walsall FC | 45 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 66:44 | 22 | 84 |
| 4 |
| Millwall FC | 46 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 71:48 | 23 | 81 |
| 5 |
| Bradford City | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 75 |
| 6 |
| Barnsley FC | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 66:53 | 13 | 73 |
| 7 |
| Coventry City | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 66:47 | 19 | 72 |
| 8 |
| Rochdale AFC | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 72 |
| 9 |
| Gillingham FC | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 69:53 | 16 | 70 |
| 10 |
| Sheffield United | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 66:57 | 9 | 69 and thats me being pretty generous. |
Well that's the ideal scenario. Sheff Utd beat Barnsley, we beat Doncaster and then we beat Sheff Utd.
edit: read the thread lol this weekend will be interesting indeed if we win and barnsley lose and gills ohh be a tense last 2 games.
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A win for us on Saturday will all but relegate Doncaster on Saturday, even if other results go their way.
They are 5 points away from safety. We beat them and even with others results in their favour they would then have to win their last 2 games to have any chance whatsoever of survival.
Massive game for them against us, so we really need to be at our best. They pretty much have to win.
They are 5 points away from safety. We beat them and even with others results in their favour they would then have to win their last 2 games to have any chance whatsoever of survival.
Massive game for them against us, so we really need to be at our best. They pretty much have to win.
We play two at the bottom end so nothing from those fixtures, however nothing would please me more than to exact some revenge for Bramall lanegate and deny Shef U any chance of a play off place should they find themselves in with a shout.
Doncaster will probably beat us and end all this nonsense about the play-offs. The play-offs as a realistic possibility evaporated weeks ago.
Whats good about this game is they have to come out and attack to get the goals they need to win, CCFC always play better when a team gives them room to play touch wood it works in our favour
Doncaster pretty much have to win. They will have to attack. Hopefully we can cause damage on the counter.
It's pretty frustrating, as we may get closer than I thought a few weeks ago.
This is a rubbish division, full of rubbish teams. This was the season to get out of it. With the Conference teams coming down, I think its going to be a whole lot tougher next season. All we can hope is that TM has laid down some proper foundations & with the experience he now has of Division 1, he can get us up.
This is a rubbish division, full of rubbish teams. This was the season to get out of it. With the Conference teams coming down, I think its going to be a whole lot tougher next season. All we can hope is that TM has laid down some proper foundations & with the experience he now has of Division 1, he can get us up.
How? whether you believe it or not, there is still a very real chance of play offs - FACT
whether we make it or not is uncertain, but what the hell is wrong with taking the positivety of the last 2 games and enjoying it.
Their is not a very realistic chance of playoffs, their is however a very realistic chance of not making them, too little too late.