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Points performance vs last season (2 Viewers)

  • Thread starter SeaSeeEffCee
  • Start date Aug 18, 2021
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JulianDarbyFTW

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 25, 2021
  • #36
I'd just like to keep a healthy gap between us and 3rd from bottom for the season. A ten-ish point gap would be nice for a few months.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete, Briles, ccfcmad1 and 1 other person

BackRoomRummermill

Well-Known Member
  • Aug 26, 2021
  • #37
Johhny Blue said:
Are you absolutely sure we’ve only played 3 games?
Click to expand...
If you look at the date of when I wrote it then you will know the answer
 
Reactions: ccfcmad1

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #38
Updated worm:

 
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PUSB-We_are_going_up

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #39
edgy said:
Updated worm:

View attachment 21645
Click to expand...
Do you have a predicted final points from the worm?
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #40
PUSB-We_are_going_up said:
Do you have a predicted final points from the worm?
Click to expand...
853
 
Reactions: wingy

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #41
PUSB-We_are_going_up said:
Do you have a predicted final points from the worm?
Click to expand...

I'm not savvy enough in Excel for that!

Average PPG is 1.8. 1.8 x 46 = 82.8 which in turn = promotion.
 
Reactions: PUSB-We_are_going_up

Hutch11

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #42
I'd take winning 3 and losing 2 of each batch of 5 games between now and the end
 
Reactions: PUSB-We_are_going_up

JulianDarbyFTW

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #43
I think it was our lord and saviour Aidy Boothroyd who said 1.6 points per game gets you in the playoffs, and 2 points per game the autos.
 

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 1, 2021
  • #44
Manually added a projection (green line), hopefully stays where it is but it will move down & up as we go along.
 
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edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 13, 2021
  • #45
 
Reactions: SleepyGinger and PUSB-We_are_going_up

PUSB-We_are_going_up

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 13, 2021
  • #46
edgy said:
View attachment 21772
Click to expand...
This is a sexy graph (projection of 91 points and progression)
 

lord_garrincha

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 13, 2021
  • #47
Sky Blue Pete said:
853
Click to expand...
Oh bugger! League 1 it is for next season!
 

Sky Blue Harry H

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 13, 2021
  • #48
SeaSeeEffCee said:
Results for those games last season were LLWWWL in that order. Probably benefitted from playing Cardiff at home at a good time, and obviously were very good in both games vs Millwall. Hopefully Millwall still can't handle us as was clearly the case last season.
Click to expand...

We didn't play Posh last season (but we'll hopefully beat them!). Cardiff - I'm hoping the extra day's rest plus running at their back 4 might help get something. Millwall - you'd have to fancy us, unless we get a really weak ref, Luton will be difficult - they are decent (Blues freak result aside)
 

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #49


@Nick ... any chance we can sticky or pin this thread? Struggle to find it.
 

Marty

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #50
edgy said:
View attachment 21819

@Nick ... any chance we can sticky or pin this thread? Struggle to find it.
Click to expand...

Any chance you could add our league one winning season. Think that would be an interesting comparison too.
 
Reactions: edgy
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #51
now targetting 99 points at current rate
Taking home and away separately would be 92

Probably the difference between 1st and 2nd

I notice we are 40/1 for the title and 33/1 for relegation - almost equal chance per the bookies
 
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #52

Latest Betting Odds, News, Guides & Reviews - The Sun

The latest online betting odds, news and previews. Discover the best in-depth bookmaker guides and reviews from The Sun's trusted experts.
www.thesun.co.uk

based on preseason odds, 6 of our 7 games this season have been against teams how were tipped to be top half
All except Blackpool
 
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edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #53
Marty said:
Any chance you could add our league one winning season. Think that would be an interesting comparison too.
Click to expand...

I'll see what I can do. Don't want it becoming too busy.
 
C

CovBrummie94

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 16, 2021
  • #54
Marty said:
Any chance you could add our league one winning season. Think that would be an interesting comparison too.
Click to expand...
 

Attachments

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SeaSeeEffCee

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 18, 2021
  • #55
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-2 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)

+6 on equivalent fixtures from last season. Peterborough (h) next who replace Rotherham’s results so that’s a 3-1 win from last season.
 

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 19, 2021
  • #56
 
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edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 27, 2021
  • #57
 
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Gibbo

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 27, 2021
  • #58
SeaSeeEffCee said:
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-2 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)

+6 on equivalent fixtures from last season. Peterborough (h) next who replace Rotherham’s results so that’s a 3-1 win from last season.
Click to expand...
6 points off = 11 now, and that would place us notionally around 13th & 14th. Comparing the like for like games is the best way to look at it imho.
 

Mild-Mannered Janitor

Kindest Bloke on CCFC / Maker of CCFC Dreams
  • Sep 27, 2021
  • #59
Mirrors the 39-43 spell we needed to survive, great that we have it at the start this year and does give a far better platform and the fitness/quality of play is streets ahead of last year but the key for me is the game vs game performances which have been encouraging so far.
 
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Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 27, 2021
  • #60
Mild-Mannered Janitor said:
Mirrors the 39-43 spell we needed to survive, great that we have it at the start this year and does give a far better platform and the fitness/quality of play is streets ahead of last year but the key for me is the game vs game performances which have been encouraging so far.
Click to expand...
Key thing for me is the performance
We’ve also removed the mistakes and penalties which is great
 
Reactions: Mild-Mannered Janitor

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 30, 2021
  • #61
Sky Blue Pete said:
Key thing for me is the performance
We’ve also removed the mistakes and penalties which is great
Click to expand...


Don't say anything next time Pete.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete and Sky_Blue_Dreamer

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Sep 30, 2021
  • #62


Healthy
 

edgy

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #63
 
Reactions: CovBrummie94 and PUSB-We_are_going_up

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #64
Is there any chance we can have dotted lines for how much was needed for promotion and play-offs last season?
 
Reactions: PUSB-We_are_going_up
H

HuckerbyDublinWhelan

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #65
SeaSeeEffCee said:
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-2 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)

+6 on equivalent fixtures from last season. Peterborough (h) next who replace Rotherham’s results so that’s a 3-1 win from last season.
Click to expand...
Wouldn’t that Blackpool difference be 0 - we beat the play off winners 2-0 and also beat Blackpool. No points difference
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #66
HuckerbyDublinWhelan said:
Wouldn’t that Blackpool difference be 0 - we beat the play off winners 2-0 and also beat Blackpool. No points difference
Click to expand...

Based on where they finished in the Championship not L1 I think.
 

higgs

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #67
How many points had we after 11 games last season?

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk
 
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #68
from our remaining games
1 ppg = 57 points 2 points more than last season
1.2 ppg (which is what we averaged last season) = 64 points (our best since relegation from the PL = 66 points - so we are in that territory if we now play at last seasons level)
1,5 PPG = 74 points - which should be good enough for play offs
we probably would need to keep on current trajectory for autos
 
S

skybluesam66

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #69
higgs said:
How many points had we after 11 games last season?

Sent from my SM-G930F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
8 points
we were still on 22 points after 20 games
 

SeaSeeEffCee

Well-Known Member
  • Oct 4, 2021
  • #70
Forest (H) - 1-2 to 2-1 (+3)
Barnsley (a) - 0-0 to 0-1 (-1)
Blackpool (a) - 0-1 to 1-0 (+3)
Reading (h) - 3-2 to 2-1 (0)
QPR (a) - 0-3 to 0-2 (0)
Middlesbrough (h) - 0-2 to 2-0 (+3)
Cardiff (h) - 1-0 to 1-0 (0)
Millwall (a) - 2-1 to 1-1 (-2)
Peterbough (h) - 3-1 to 3-0 (0)
Luton (a) - 0-2 to 0-5 (0)
Fulham (h) - 0-2 to 4-1 (+3)

Up to +9 from last seasons equivalent fixtures. Next three are Blackburn away (+1 last season), Preston away (0) and Derby at home (+3).

HuckerbyDublinWhelan said:
Wouldn’t that Blackpool difference be 0 - we beat the play off winners 2-0 and also beat Blackpool. No points difference
Click to expand...
I replaced the relegated/promoted teams with their equivalents from last season based on table positions, so Fulham, who finished 18th in the Prem, swap with Norwich who finish top of Champ. Best relegated team swaps with best promoted team and so on. Blackpool swapped with Sheff. Weds who finished bottom last year, and who we lost to away from home.
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains and HuckerbyDublinWhelan
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