Looking at some of scenes of public grieving in Iran it looks like there’s still support in Iran for the Islamic revolution in large numbers, is it as large as those who oppose it I don’t know as both sides clearly have sizeable support. The notion that Israel and the US has a win here as they got the man is premature to say the least, especially as there’s clearly a military willing to carry out revenge attacks on its neighbours.
Not sure there’s much of a plan on what to do next here. At the moment it doesn’t look like there’s even a hint of a revolution coming. Not least because the Islamic government clearly still has a hold on the military.
I’m always reminded at times like this about Rich Hall’s line about the US thinking Bin Laden was the man, get him and you’ve won. Which as he pointed out just because the Colonel’s head is on the bucket it doesn’t mean he’s out back cooking the chicken. It’s likely to be the case that supreme leader is dead, long live the supreme leader. It’s hard to see how that’s going to change without a civil war and I just can’t see that happening, at least not successfully or without a western ground invasion. The latter Trump probably is stupid enough to attempt, I just hope this time we aren’t stupid enough to join them.