skybluelee
Well-Known Member
1/9 with skybet. Implied probability of 90%.
We will never get another chance like this.
For any remaining non-believers (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter skybluelee
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We will never get another chance like this.
skybluelee
Well-Known Member
But worst case scenario we’d still be effectively 8 clear of third. Which is an astonishing gap.
Sky Blue Pete
Well-Known Member
True dat
Sick Boy
Super Moderator
Safe, say nuffin.
CovValleyBoy
Well-Known Member
Getting to the stage where thinking about buying this seasons team pic , framing it & putting it on the wall.
bigfatronssba
Well-Known Member
At least then if we mess it up you’ll have something to shout at
Saddlebrains
Well-Known Member
This is where I am. Im not getting carried away yet but there's no denying that this is now THE Chance
If we blow it its another rebuild the squad would get ripped apart with offers from other clubs youd imagine
Certs to go would be Rushworth, Milan, Thomas, Rudoni, Torp, Haji
We would have loads of dollar but I genuinely feel that it's now or never
Earlsdon_Skyblue1
Well-Known Member
Weirdly, even on Saturday when we were two down, I expected some sort of reaction. I didn't really feel it was valid to through the toys out the pram. Look what happened.
We are a really fucking good team. Great team spirit, and a management that seems to have full control of what's going on.
I think we have a great chance this season. I'll try to enjoy it the best I can, hopefully everyone else can too.
We are a really fucking good team. Great team spirit, and a management that seems to have full control of what's going on.
I think we have a great chance this season. I'll try to enjoy it the best I can, hopefully everyone else can too.
Eccles pulling one back when he did knocked their confidence. From that point on I thought it would be a draw at worst.
DazzleTommyDazzle
Well-Known Member
On the XG thing, I've seen a few people saying that we're currently over-performing our XG and so statistically can be expected to revert to the mean.
Whilst I don't have the stats (and am clearly too lazy to find them), I wonder how much of our over-performance is due to Torp?
He now has 7 goals and apart from his one against Birmingham (and possibly the free kick against Oxford), I don't think that he'll personally have a very high XG.
In his case is this over-performance from his personal XG a blip, or is this just the fact that he is much better at shooting from the edge of the box than the average player?
Whilst I don't have the stats (and am clearly too lazy to find them), I wonder how much of our over-performance is due to Torp?
He now has 7 goals and apart from his one against Birmingham (and possibly the free kick against Oxford), I don't think that he'll personally have a very high XG.
In his case is this over-performance from his personal XG a blip, or is this just the fact that he is much better at shooting from the edge of the box than the average player?
Brighton Sky Blue
Well-Known Member
We’re over performing on the number of goals scored compared to xG, but not over performing on the ‘xG table’ which is based on xG-xGA.
We have more touches in the opposition penalty area than anyone else which I think should be encouraging for mitigating against any drop off in how clinical we are.
covcity4life
Well-Known Member
Ya which is why I hate seeing posts about what a great league it is and how we will miss it etc
We need the premier league. Generation of kids been dreaming about it and that's before we get started on oldies like us
skybluelee
Well-Known Member
My kids are even starting to get a bit of kudos at school.
Telling them who they support used to lead to dismissive comments, but now they get "Your boys are smashing it, you'll be in the Prem next year" from the plastic scouse and mancs.
A plastic Gooner nearly choked on his sandwich during lunch when my eldest showed him a photo of herself and Vic from a couple of years ago.
She's now known as 'Gyokeres' by the boys in 6th form and she loves it.
A lot of the over performance is due to the QPR game. An xg of 1.27 resulted in 7 goals. In other games we've been closer to the mark.
Brighton Sky Blue
Well-Known Member
My Scouse friends are telling me they’re ditching the CL tonight to watch Cov instead. Glory hunting has gone full swingMy kids are even starting to get a bit of kudos at school.
Telling them who they support used to lead to dismissive comments, but now they get "Your boys are smashing it, you'll be in the Prem next year" from the plastic scouse and mancs.
A plastic Gooner nearly choked on his sandwich during lunch when my eldest showed him a photo of herself and Vic from a couple of years ago.
She's now known as 'Gyokeres' by the boys in 6th form and she loves it.
In that game our xGot was something just under 4, which I think is a much better indicator.
Interestingly a penalty has an xG of 0.7, but if the penalty taker scores he has already overperformed by 0.3, but you can't give a penalty an xG of 1 because they are sometimes missed.
Here is a xG map of that game, you can cycle through each goal and see its xG and its xGot (expected goal on target)
Coventry vs QPR - xG Shot Maps - Football - Sporting Life
Get the form, statistics, line ups and live commentary for Coventry vs QPR
www.sportinglife.com
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I mean, if we completely ignore the fact that KKH has an assistant and a goal, then no, he's done absolutely fuck all!!!
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The point i was making, is its way too early to judge Brau, just as its too early to judge KKH.
Both have been restricted to cameos, some more impressive than others, because of there being clear first choices in front of them.
BinleyMegaSkyBlue
Well-Known Member
Just like it on record thst tonight is where I ticked over to believer
bigfatronssba
Well-Known Member
46 league games under Lampard. 92 points accumulated.
Sky_Blue_Dreamer
Well-Known Member
Not yet. Win midweek at Deepdale and I'm there.