I'm starting to think more and more that 85 might do it. I just don't see any of the non-parachute teams getting close.Im looking from point of view of third place team..currently Millwall.
Cant see them getting 1.93 ppg to get to 85 points. Not on their current form.
Everyone else practically 2ppg and above.
Thats not even taking into consideration goal difference.
So basically 1.5ppg will get us to 85 points which will undoubtedly be enough for 2nd spot.
not just that, but all the other teams need to perform at a better PPG (to hit either the 90 or 85 points) than they have to-date. We are the only club that can afford to average less PPG. Incredible!Updated.
Of the 'challengers' all bar Middlesbrough and Millwall need to perform at a minimum of a 99 point season from here on to reach 90 points.
If we believe the bookies, Ipswich are expected to be our biggest challengers. They need 2.17 ppg from here compared with our 1.68 to hit 90.
For those worried about Southampton they'd probably have to win 21/22 of their last 28 to make that milestone.
View attachment 47497
Every team bar us and Middlesbrough need to be knocking out the equivalent of at least a 101 point season from here to reach 90. Ipswich need to be at 103 point form, Southampton at 110. We need to be at 79 point form (equiv. of 13 wins, 4 draws, 8 defeats).
For 85 points everyone bar the top 2 need to be averaging at least 2ppg. We need 1.52 (equiv. of 11 wins, 5 draws, 9 defeats).
View attachment 47707
We can probably afford to lose 7-10 games.Not sure I or anyone for that matter is deeping just how massive it is to have a TWELVE point gap to 3rd - plus our crazy GD.
The sheer number of results we’d need to fuck up and still depend on others to fly is monstrous.
We probably will avoid relegation.So essentially we have a slim chance of making the playoffs still?
This is where I'm at. Whilst it would be nice to win the league, I would have taken yesterdays results at the start of the day knowing Boro win but the chasing pack lost.I obviously want us to win the league if at all possible and it has been saddening me to see our 10 point lead chipped away, the past couple of games, but I have now stopped thinking like that.
The bottom line is we want to be promoted. Only the gap between us and 3rd is important in the grand scheme of things.
We are 13 points clear, taking into account our fabulous plus GD.
That's all we need to focus on. The gap between us and 3rd.
Look at the table this morning. We are in such a fabulous position and yesterday was a fantastic win for us..
I obviously want us to win the league if at all possible and it has been saddening me to see our 10 point lead chipped away, the past couple of games, but I have now stopped thinking like that.
The bottom line is we want to be promoted. Only the gap between us and 3rd is important in the grand scheme of things.
We are 13 points clear, taking into account our fabulous plus GD.
That's all we need to focus on. The gap between us and 3rd.
Look at the table this morning. We are in such a fabulous position and yesterday was a fantastic win for us..
As we approach Christmas.
I have yet to see the City lose & now they are giving us free beer & food !!
Whats going on
Middlesborough will lose a game at some point or draw - it only takes a slightly duff ref decision !
Telling you now that neither Ipswich or Southampton are good enough away from home to maintain that form. Both teams are at 1.2 ppg or below away from home, simply not good enough.Every team bar us and Middlesbrough need to be knocking out the equivalent of at least a 101 point season from here to reach 90. Ipswich need to be at 103 point form, Southampton at 110. We need to be at 79 point form (equiv. of 13 wins, 4 draws, 8 defeats).
For 85 points everyone bar the top 2 need to be averaging at least 2ppg. We need 1.52 (equiv. of 11 wins, 5 draws, 9 defeats).
View attachment 47707
Imagine what they are saying about us. Our home form is better than theirs. Our away form is better than theirs and we put 4 past them at their own place.Middlesborough will lose a game at some point or draw - it only takes a slightly duff ref decision !
Ipswich will be hard in the playoffsThere’s a decent possibility that all 3 promoted teams could be non parachute clubs.
There’s a decent possibility that all 3 promoted teams could be non parachute clubs.
Wouldn't be a surprise to me at all. Both Middlesbrough and ourselves will be difficult to catch. The playoffs are a lottery and that's even if they make it to them. Every side keeps losing unexpectedly like Southampton to Norwich yesterday.There’s a decent possibility that all 3 promoted teams could be non parachute clubs.
There’s a decent possibility that all 3 promoted teams could be non parachute clubs.
This is our chance. Fail, and we could be up against 5 or 6 parachute teams next season. Our moment is now. We have to capitalise on it.There’s a decent possibility that all 3 promoted teams could be non parachute clubs.
True that.The mad thing is 1 point per game gets us to 72 and probably enough for the playoffs. That’s relegation form. Investment in January has never been more important as we will never have this opportunity again
Middlesbrough are in their best form of the season...we are in our little bit off it..but still been good.I obviously want us to win the league if at all possible and it has been saddening me to see our 10 point lead chipped away, the past couple of games, but I have now stopped thinking like that.
The bottom line is we want to be promoted. Only the gap between us and 3rd is important in the grand scheme of things.
We are 13 points clear, taking into account our fabulous plus GD.
That's all we need to focus on. The gap between us and 3rd.
Look at the table this morning. We are in such a fabulous position and yesterday was a fantastic win for us..
This run lol. We have lost away at promotion 2nd favourites Ipswich and drawn away at 3rd place Preston. If this is as bad as it getsMiddlesbrough are in their best form of the season...we are in our little bit off it..but still been good.
So i expect boro to drop off.
Anyway i still expect we will beat boro at home.
Just cant belueve even through this run we still extended our lead to 3rd place.
Their best form was at the start of the season. Won 7 drew 4 first 11 games. We were playing catch-up at that stage.Middlesbrough are in their best form of the season...we are in our little bit off it..but still been good.
So i expect boro to drop off.
Anyway i still expect we will beat boro at home.
Just cant belueve even through this run we still extended our lead to 3rd place.
Well that's a boner contention.Ipswich will be hard in the playoffs
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?