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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (20 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #15,996
fernandopartridge said:

Why's he going on about Tiverton as if Labour won that seat?
Click to expand...
More bollocks from Keith.
 

Alan Dugdales Moustache

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #15,997
David O'Day said:
Are people actually claiming Tiverton was a bad result for Labour?
Click to expand...
No, it was a fantastic result wasn't it ? No one voted for them.
 
Last edited: Jun 26, 2022
Reactions: Grendel
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #15,998
fernandopartridge said:
Imagine being as stupid as to think that the liberal democrats are part of some sort of 'progressive' alliance


Get to fucking fuck
Click to expand...

At least the hippie master Ed Davey puts his pronouns in the bio
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #15,999
David O'Day said:
Click to expand...

If they’re like the prick who defected in Bury they can stay where they are
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,000
David O'Day said:
Click to expand...
I really don’t think it’s a good look for labour to taking them.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,001
stupot07 said:
You'd think being a marketing guru at Jaguar/Land Rover, he'd know wasting all your effort and marketing budget on a customer base who is unlikely to buy one of the your cars is not clever.

The same goes with Politics, always has done. Even in the general election all parties will focus more effort on a winnable seats than one thats needs a large swing and not likely to vote for you.

They had likely done a bit of canvassing and focus groups in the area and got the sense people were leaving towards the Lib dems, and so concentrated on getting the red wall back.

Its not like the Tories didn't have a pact with the brexit party who pulled their candidates.

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
What a silly comparison though consistent with the 'voting as brand loyalty' vibes you see on here. To take your analogy further why would you bother standing a candidate?
 
Reactions: Grendel

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,002
skybluetony176 said:
I really don’t think it’s a good look for labour to taking them.
Click to expand...
Maybe, maybe not but it's a fucking terrible look for the tories if it happens.

Be interesting to see where they are mps for if this is true

Likely Red Wall which tells you what they think of their chances of getting re-elected as tories
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,003
David O'Day said:
Oh Grenners, that weird old soak

Block him
Click to expand...

Frankly if we could somehow put to the U.K. you as the voice of the Labour Party it would really be the end wouldn’t it - how’s the Marstons pub that you buy supplies from the guy with the nasty podcast going? He’s banned from Twitter now I see.

I actually also find it very curious you used David O Day as your name. It’s clearly a made up name but who is he? I am genuinely curious.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,004
stupot07 said:
You'd think being a marketing guru at Jaguar/Land Rover, he'd know wasting all your effort and marketing budget on a customer base who is unlikely to buy one of the your cars is not clever.

The same goes with Politics, always has done. Even in the general election all parties will focus more effort on a winnable seats than one thats needs a large swing and not likely to vote for you.

They had likely done a bit of canvassing and focus groups in the area and got the sense people were leaving towards the Lib dems, and so concentrated on getting the red wall back.

Its not like the Tories didn't have a pact with the brexit party who pulled their candidates.

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Just for clarity - did you see who came second in Tiverton in 2019?
Whilst the idea to have this informal pact in this by-election was probably not the worst given what would be a lower turnout - but that’s going to hold up come a GE.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,005
fernandopartridge said:
What a silly comparison though consistent with the 'voting as brand loyalty' vibes you see on here. To take your analogy further why would you bother standing a candidate?
Click to expand...

The day Labour and the Tories decide not to is the end of politics. It’s pathetic - at least Corbyn and thatcher had conviction and had belief. At least Corbyn did in 2017 before he was watered down

If Corbyn won an election at least he stands for something. Thatcher stood for something. Since then it’s been a watered down mush. Starmer really is a disaster - utterly hopeless - who would actually want to vote for him as him - it’s truly pathetic
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,006
skybluetony176 said:
I really don’t think it’s a good look for labour to taking them.
Click to expand...

I'd imagine they'll feel right at home
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,007
Ian1779 said:
Just for clarity - did you see who came second in Tiverton in 2019?
Whilst the idea to have this informal pact in this by-election was probably not the worst given what would be a lower turnout - but that’s going to hold up come a GE.
Click to expand...

Yes Labour finsihed 2nd in 2019 but massively 2nd i.e almost 40 points behind so yes Labour not even trying in thsi election and their support voting for the best placed party to beat the tory is a good thing.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,008
David O'Day said:
Maybe, maybe not but it's a fucking terrible look for the tories if it happens.

Be interesting to see where they are mps for if this is true

Likely Red Wall which tells you what they think of their chances of getting re-elected as tories
Click to expand...
It’s definitely not a good look for the Tories but I don’t think traditional labour voters will appreciate it either, especially from the current crop of cult Tories.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,009
skybluetony176 said:
It’s definitely not a good look for the Tories but I don’t think traditional labour voters will appreciate it either, especially from the current crop of cult Tories.
Click to expand...
opposition parties will always take government party mps who defect to them.

the optics nationally outweigh the cons

Also the former tories will have to be selected by the CLP if they want to stand again as Labour. The CLP can trigger ballot them if not.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,010
David O'Day said:
opposition parties will always take government party mps who defect to them.

the optics nationally outweigh the cons

Also the former tories will have to be selected by the CLP if they want to stand again as Labour. The CLP can trigger ballot them if not.
Click to expand...

I assume you have an active role in the Labour Party - what is it you do? Cov SW isn’t it?
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,011
fernandopartridge said:

Why's he going on about Tiverton as if Labour won that seat?
Click to expand...
He mentioned Tiverton once, in the context of both the Wakefield and Tiverton results suggest the UK want change away from a tory government.

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,012
stupot07 said:
He mentioned Tiverton once, in the context of both the Wakefield and Tiverton results suggest the UK want change away from a tory government.

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

When was the last time the Tories lost two bi elections in the same week?
 
Reactions: shmmeee

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,013
David O'Day said:
Yes Labour finsihed 2nd in 2019 but massively 2nd i.e almost 40 points behind so yes Labour not even trying in thsi election and their support voting for the best placed party to beat the tory is a good thing.
Click to expand...
I didn’t say it wasn’t a good thing - but if Labour were 40pts behind in 2nd then the Lib Dems were even further behind in 3rd.
What does that look like in a GE is what I am saying. Number of votes will be much larger and even if the pact remains intact is it enough to keep the seat?
 
Reactions: stupot07

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,014
Ian1779 said:
I didn’t say it wasn’t a good thing - but if Labour were 40pts behind in 2nd then the Lib Dems were even further behind in 3rd.
What does that look like in a GE is what I am saying. Number of votes will be much larger and even if the pact remains intact is it enough to keep the seat?
Click to expand...

well no as with most Lib Dem nonsense it’s back where it belonged
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,015
stupot07 said:
He mentioned Tiverton once, in the context of both the Wakefield and Tiverton results suggest the UK want change away from a tory government.

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
The article was about Labour

It also means that while the Tories are focused on sowing division and hoping to feed off the fallout, Labour is now firmly in the centre ground of British politics. That’s not a place of mushy compromise or a halfway house between unpalatable extremes, but a centre ground driven by ethical purpose. It’s a place that is dedicated to answering the clarion call – sounded loudly and clearly in Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton – of all those demanding real change to how our country works and on whose behalf it works. The next Labour government will take on those demands with a restless, reforming zeal. The most urgent mission, the one that will drive our agenda, is to change Britain’s economy so that everyone can contribute to, and benefit from, a new national prosperity.
Click to expand...

Or is just saying vote for us or the Lib Dems it doesn't matter
 

stupot07

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,016
Grendel said:
When was the last time the Tories lost two bi elections in the same week?
Click to expand...
Maggie Thatcher?

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,017
Ian1779 said:
I didn’t say it wasn’t a good thing - but if Labour were 40pts behind in 2nd then the Lib Dems were even further behind in 3rd.
What does that look like in a GE is what I am saying. Number of votes will be much larger and even if the pact remains intact is it enough to keep the seat?
Click to expand...
Yes but it's easier for people who voted tory to switch to the lib dems so if the labour voters tactically vote for the lib dems then they potential ceiling is higher.

There will be plenty of southern seats where Labour finished a distant 2nd but the lib dems have a better chance of beating the tories
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,018
Also the Lib dems where about 3k votes behind Labour in 2019 in tiverton
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,019
stupot07 said:
Maggie Thatcher?

Sent from my SM-G965F using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

no 1991 under John major - even dimwit major managed to win against the odds a year later against someone far better that the wet lettuce Starmer
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,020
David O'Day said:
Yes but it's easier for people who voted tory to switch to the lib dems so if the labour voters tactically vote for the lib dems then they potential ceiling is higher.

There will be plenty of southern seats where Labour finished a distant 2nd but the lib dems have a better chance of beating the tories
Click to expand...

So just by using these figures alone - it would take all Labour & LD voters plus at least 20% of that Tory vote to defect to keep it in the next GE.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,021
fernandopartridge said:
The article was about Labour



Or is just saying vote for us or the Lib Dems it doesn't matter
Click to expand...
It’s just meaningless tosh from start to finish.
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,022
Ian1779 said:
View attachment 25075
So just by using these figures alone - it would take all Labour & LD voters plus at least 20% of that Tory vote to defect to keep it in the next GE.
Click to expand...
Tbf, if that seat changed permanently it'd be a seismic shift so unlikely we're more likely to see Caroline Lucas as next PM
 
Reactions: Ian1779

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,023
Grendel said:
no 1991 under John major - even dimwit major managed to win against the odds a year later against someone far better that the wet lettuce Starmer
Click to expand...
Boris isn’t fit to tie Majors shoe laces though. Non of the current cabinet is fit to tie the shoe laces of any of Majors cabinet and the back benches just voted to remove Boris.

There’s such a thing as the sum of all parts and that’s before you consider this Tory is a cult not the traditional Tory party.

There’s also the not insignificant detail that Major went into that election with a recovering economy. Yours and Boris’ brexit is going to ensure that isn’t a card that Boris will have, according to every economist you care to ask.
 
Reactions: stupot07
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,024
Grendel said:
no 1991 under John major - even dimwit major managed to win against the odds a year later against someone far better that the wet lettuce Starmer
Click to expand...

Is this a swipe at Johnson?
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,025
Mon Soleil said:
Should be a huge labour majority in 2025 then if this thread is right
Click to expand...
I would think a hung parliament is the most likely outcome. It all depends on how much red wall labour can win back and how many seats the Tories lose elsewhere. The Tories losing swathes of seats at the next GE is the only thing I’d put money on at the moment.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,026
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Is this a swipe at Johnson?
Click to expand...

No it’s referencing even Major managed A general election majority against that background. Neil Kinnock was a pretty good Labour leader who did balance the Union demands and recognised aspirations as well. His shadow cabinet especially Hattersley was strong.

A year later after major’s two defeats in a week he still lost. Starmer is pathetic he has nothing. The irony of course is if Corbyn hadn’t allowed Starmer his stupid Brexit fudge - which led to the election catastrophe- and admitted he wanted a hard Brexit and uk Job protectionism- he may have won why he caved in to Starmer and even allowed him in the shadow cabinet ive no idea
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,027
skybluetony176 said:
I would think a hung parliament is the most likely outcome. It all depends on how much red wall labour can win back and how many seats the Tories lose elsewhere. The Tories losing swathes of seats at the next GE is the only thing I’d put money on at the moment.
Click to expand...

The Tories are also simply waiting for the optimal point to replace him with a competent, non-criminal figure
 
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,028
Brighton Sky Blue said:
The Tories are also simply waiting for the optimal point to replace him with a competent, non-criminal figure
Click to expand...

Which is why Labour and others are trying to stick all this shit on the Tories as a party rather than Johnson specifically. Hopefully it works.
 
Reactions: Grendel

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,029
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Is this a swipe at Johnson?
Click to expand...
You can only assume it is.
 
Reactions: Mon Soleil
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 26, 2022
  • #16,030
Grendel said:
No it’s referencing even Major managed A general election majority against that background. Neil Kinnock was a pretty good Labour leader who did balance the Union demands and recognised aspirations as well. His shadow cabinet especially Hattersley was strong.

A year later after major’s two defeats in a week he still lost. Starmer is pathetic he has nothing. The irony of course is if Corbyn hadn’t allowed Starmer his stupid Brexit fudge - which led to the election catastrophe- and admitted he wanted a hard Brexit and uk Job protectionism- he may have won why he caved in to Starmer and even allowed him in the shadow cabinet ive no idea
Click to expand...

Well aside from the twaddle about unions being anti-aspiration I completely agree. Corbyn we all knew was pro Brexit but got caught in the focus group trap, tried to please everyone and ended up angering them instead.

I did go around several picket lines yesterday-no Labour MPs to be seen presumably following Starmer's orders
 
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