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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (13 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 9:59 PM
  • #58,556
Sky Blue Pete said:
Cause it’s not as bad but it is bad and completely unnecessary I agree
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I could definitely David Lammy coming out with something like this.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:06 PM
  • #58,557
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Did somebody say Singapore-on-Thames?!

A lot of people felt this about Meloni in Italy and so far, it’s gone reasonably well for them.
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How's it gone over in Argentina?
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:22 PM
  • #58,558
Brighton Sky Blue said:
How's it gone over in Argentina?
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Pretty well I’d say.

Argentina elections: Javier Milei and his 'chainsaw' austerity win big - BBC News

Milei's radical spending cuts have won favour with Donald Trump, but also attracted widespread criticism.
www.bbc.com

Inflation was 211% when Milei entered office, it’s now 1.5%.

Their economic growth figures are projected to be 5.2% in 2025. Poverty did peak as but is decreasing significantly over the last year.
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:23 PM
  • #58,559
Mucca Mad Boys said:
Pretty well I’d say.

Argentina elections: Javier Milei and his 'chainsaw' austerity win big - BBC News

Milei's radical spending cuts have won favour with Donald Trump, but also attracted widespread criticism.
www.bbc.com

Inflation was 211% when Milei entered office, it’s now 1.5%.

Their economic growth figures are projected to be 5.2% in 2025. Poverty did peak as but is decreasing significantly over the last year.
Click to expand...
Overlooking that Trump held $40 billion over the Argentinian electorate's head then.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:30 PM
  • #58,560
Brighton Sky Blue said:
If you're on about my singing ability, Peter Capaldi is probably more accurate
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Or Jim Capaldi who I've just found out was the drummer in Traffic,which I should have guessed but didn't, knowing him from his solo work in possibly 80's
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:32 PM
  • #58,561
Mucca Mad Boys said:
The FCS guarantee up to 31.7k for people and firms at that time. Which isn’t a lot for small business, but financial system collapses if people can’t do basic transactions or simple things like wages being paid. Bailing out the banks was a lesser of two weevils.

To find common ground, people probably should’ve went to jail for this.
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That's awful if we have a weevil problem infesting.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:35 PM
  • #58,562
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Overlooking that Trump held $40 billion over the Argentinian electorate's head then.
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All roads lead to Trump…

The has got inflation down from 221% to 1.5% and despite “chainsaw” austerity, they’re growing at 5.2%. The turnaround is impressive whichever way you look it.

If it’s sustainable, and there’s good reasons to question that in the long term, Argentina could quickly become a model to follow.

wingy said:
That's awful if we have a weevil problem infesting.
Click to expand...

 
Reactions: chiefdave and wingy

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:38 PM
  • #58,563
Mucca Mad Boys said:
All roads lead to Trump…

The has got inflation down from 221% to 1.5% and despite “chainsaw” austerity, they’re growing at 5.2%. The turnaround is impressive whichever way you look it.

If it’s sustainable, and there’s good reasons to question that in the long term, Argentina could quickly become a model to follow.



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Yeah I mean all he did was fire tens of thousands of people, gut public services and so on...and we'll ignore Trump bribing a country to keep his mate in power.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:43 PM
  • #58,564
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Yeah I mean all he did was fire tens of thousands of people, gut public services and so on...and we'll ignore Trump bribing a country to keep his mate in power.
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They still get to sell them to China too, soya beans that is,at the possible expense of American farmers who may or may not be happy about things.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:49 PM
  • #58,565
wingy said:
They still get to sell them to China too, soya beans that is,at the possible expense of American farmers who may or may not be happy about things.
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A good point. Trump has betrayed his own farmers to prop up mates of his abroad.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 10:58 PM
  • #58,566
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Yeah I mean all he did was fire tens of thousands of people, gut public services and so on...and we'll ignore Trump bribing a country to keep his mate in power.
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Argentina was a genuine basket case, what even is your point in bringing up Milei?

You’ve chosen a terrible example to use here because even poverty of all things is lower now than it was when Milei entered office. The main criticism of Milei’s reforms was the initial spike in poverty and destitution that had reached record levels.

By any metric, Argentina is making progress under Milei. The pertinent question is whether or not it is sustainable or not.
 
Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 11:30 PM
  • #58,567
Mucca Mad Boys said:
By any metric, Argentina is making progress under Milei. The pertinent question is whether or not it is sustainable or not.
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How about the value of the peso?

Is it sustainable for a country to rely on a $20 billion bailout every few years from a friendly US administration?
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 11:37 PM
  • #58,568
CCFCSteve said:
The whole financial system was about to collapse. The banks don’t have the cash if everyone wants to withdraw their money so there would’ve been civil unrest before the government could’ve got control of the situation

senior bankers should’ve punished for what happened though, it was a disgrace nobody was
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Isn't the whole premise of financial systems and capitalism that you let the market decide? So by their own rules if they're going to collapse they should be left to do so and whoever remains gets to fight over the scraps. If that system is going to collapse unless it gets bailed out by another one, then it's a system that doesn't work and needs to be put in the bin anyway.

Yes, there would have been pain but long run it'd have been much better for everyone overall. We're now over 20 years on and the same shit is still happening just at an even bigger scale. Until we realise it's doing more harm than good then we've got no chance and we're just slowly marching to our own inevitable demise.
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Yesterday at 11:51 PM
  • #58,569
Mucca Mad Boys said:
The FCS guarantee up to 31.7k for people and firms at that time. Which isn’t a lot for small business, but financial system collapses if people can’t do basic transactions or simple things like wages being paid. Bailing out the banks was a lesser of two weevils.

To find common ground, people probably should’ve went to jail for this.
Click to expand...
Actually there was a 100% guarantee for retail savings at failed banks during the crisis to prevent panic.

And aren't we taught to not put all our eggs in one basket? So if you had over £30k in one bank, start using another one and spread your risk and guarantee more of your money.

As you're so worked up about the public sector, if the public sector acted in the same reckless manner and needed the same levels of bailouts and support would you be happy for the government to give it them? Or would you be outraged, say they should be refused and demand massive changes to make them more responsible and accountable?

No magic money tree unless you act irresponsibly in a sector that pays out huge dividends and bonuses, then suddenly a whole forest appears.
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:00 AM
  • #58,570
SBT said:
How about the value of the peso?

Is it sustainable for a country to rely on a $20 billion bailout every few years from a friendly US administration?
Click to expand...

What of it? It’s a currency has experienced 8 collapses since the 1950s. The pesos value pre-Milei, collapsed 99% versus the dollar… for context, Syria’s currency dropped 98.5% over the same period. If you really want to go down this route, it makes Argentina’s left wing economic policies look pretty disastrous.

Milei’s big policy idea is abolish Argentina’s central bank and adopt the US Dollar as its currency. Which eliminates the need for a stable Peso because it wouldn’t exist. This is why the Trump administration has stepped in to support Milei’s government.

Anyway, if you want to tell the full story to this episode, the bond markets reacted harshly to significant political defeats to Milei in local elections and the markets worried about his reforms being undone. The peso is a currency that has proven to be inherently unstable.
 

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:03 AM
  • #58,571
I'm pretty sure you lot use AI on both sides of the argument. I mean I know we have experts on many topics here on SBT, but the inner running and financial details of Argentina are certainly a new one. I consider myself reasonably well read, and I couldn't even tell you who was in power let alone so much parliamentary and economic detail.
 
Reactions: wingy

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:04 AM
  • #58,572
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Actually there was a 100% guarantee for retail savings at failed banks during the crisis to prevent panic.

And aren't we taught to not put all our eggs in one basket? So if you had over £30k in one bank, start using another one and spread your risk and guarantee more of your money.

As you're so worked up about the public sector, if the public sector acted in the same reckless manner and needed the same levels of bailouts and support would you be happy for the government to give it them? Or would you be outraged, say they should be refused and demand massive changes to make them more responsible and accountable?

No magic money tree unless you act irresponsibly in a sector that pays out huge dividends and bonuses, then suddenly a whole forest appears.
Click to expand...
You say this with zero irony and it’s quite funny.

Simple question, would you have let Northern Rock and other banks fail?
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:12 AM
  • #58,573
SBT said:
How about the value of the peso?

Is it sustainable for a country to rely on a $20 billion bailout every few years from a friendly US administration?
Click to expand...
Double that.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:20 AM
  • #58,574
Mucca Mad Boys said:
You say this with zero irony and it’s quite funny.

Simple question, would you have let Northern Rock and other banks fail?
Click to expand...
Interesting question that, obviously at the time we we're, well some of us were arguing if the bailout should Go to the public who held the debt to pay down those dodgy mortgages two bangs for one buck, experience of COVID has made me feel probably against that now, not as some uncaring person but I know probably hold a different position, for me now I see inflation as nothing more than a filter upwards to the top that let's them attain even more assets?
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:32 AM
  • #58,575
rob9872 said:
I'm pretty sure you lot use AI on both sides of the argument. I mean I know we have experts on many topics here on SBT, but the inner running and financial details of Argentina are certainly a new one. I consider myself reasonably well read, and I couldn't even tell you who was in power let alone so much parliamentary and economic detail.
Click to expand...
Milei is a case study many fiscal conservatives are watching closely. He’s a thoroughly entertaining politician if anyone takes the time to watch his interviews (with sub titles). Clearly a well read eccentric and he comes out with pretty mental things.

We’ve got to keep an eye on Argentina just incase they feel brave enough for Round 2 in the Falklands…

wingy said:
Interesting question that, obviously at the time we we're, well some of us were arguing if the bailout should Go to the public who held the debt to pay down those dodgy mortgages two bangs for one buck, experience of COVID has made me feel probably against that now, not as some uncaring person but I know probably hold a different position, for me now I see inflation as nothing more than a filter upwards to the top that let's them attain even more assets?
Click to expand...
QE is the real evil here. It’s lead to massive transfers of wealth because cheap credit and inflating asset prices is a toxic mix. Asset rich people can leverage their assets to buy more assets and so on. Meanwhile, if you happened to not have assets during this boom in prices, the price of admission is ridiculous.

Most ordinary Brits are now spending about 50% of their income on managing a household bills. This is historically unprecedented and means that modest increases in interest rates to say, 7-8% would be catastrophic for many people.
 
Reactions: wingy

rob9872

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:49 AM
  • #58,576
I'd love to take you all down the pub, no phones, no Google and choose a random topic over a pint to see what uou do all actually know. Think it could be quite fascinating.
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:30 AM
  • #58,577
Would it be too simplistic to say that the days for education are numbered as there will be no need for it or am I just anti technology?
Well modern at least?
 
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