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Do you want to discuss boring politics? (23 Viewers)

  • Thread starter mrtrench
  • Start date Jun 14, 2020
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Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 9:47 AM
  • #56,141
It’s not looking good for this government. The budget will be make or break for Starmer & Reeves.


Andy Burnham has set up a campaign group that is also backing Lucy Powell for deputy leader…
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:17 AM
  • #56,142
Mucca Mad Boys said:
It’s not looking good for this government. The budget will be make or break for Starmer & Reeves.


Andy Burnham has set up a campaign group that is also backing Lucy Powell for deputy leader…
Click to expand...
I'm sure I see how a government with a term set to run until 2029 gets broken, what are you expecting to happen?

Absolute worse case scenario for Labour is a leadership election but even that seems fairly unlikely at the moment.

If the budget goes to absolute shit Starmer throws Reeves under the bus and draws a line under it.

We didn't get an election off the back of Truss' budget or any of the numerous changes of PM with the last government, why would it be different now?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:24 AM
  • #56,143
Mucca Mad Boys said:
It’s not looking good for this government. The budget will be make or break for Starmer & Reeves.


Andy Burnham has set up a campaign group that is also backing Lucy Powell for deputy leader…
Click to expand...
It has the murmurings of a leadership challenge doesn't it.
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys and Sick Boy

Nick

Administrator
  • Today at 10:31 AM
  • #56,144
Glad to see be the bubbly popping new world is going well.
 

mmttww

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:32 AM
  • #56,145
Brighton Sky Blue said:
has the murmurings of a leadership challenge.
Click to expand...

Is any of the chat that Burnham would run in it?
 
Reactions: Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:37 AM
  • #56,146
chiefdave said:
I'm sure I see how a government with a term set to run until 2029 gets broken, what are you expecting to happen?

Absolute worse case scenario for Labour is a leadership election but even that seems fairly unlikely at the moment.

If the budget goes to absolute shit Starmer throws Reeves under the bus and draws a line under it.

We didn't get an election off the back of Truss' budget or any of the numerous changes of PM with the last government, why would it be different now?
Click to expand...

There is definitely movement to remove Starmer
 
Reactions: Mucca Mad Boys

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:37 AM
  • #56,147
mmttww said:
Is any of the chat that Burnham would run in it?
Click to expand...

How?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:44 AM
  • #56,148
mmttww said:
Is any of the chat that Burnham would run in it?
Click to expand...
Well he clearly can't run in it, he's not an MP.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:50 AM
  • #56,149
Sky Blue Pete said:
What do you do when there’s no money?
Click to expand...

Well you don’t pay £300k a year to a private enterprise taking 22% profit!
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:52 AM
  • #56,150
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It has the murmurings of a leadership challenge doesn't it.
Click to expand...

There’s no route to Burnham as leader. What he’s playing at god knows but the man didn’t stand out next to Yvette Cooper and Liz Kendall. There’s no potential leader and the membership wouldn’t take kindly to it.
 

mmttww

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:53 AM
  • #56,151
Grendel said:
How?
Click to expand...

Don't think it's law that he has to be an MP at the point of being elected leader but if he did - read up on it quickly and answers are inconsistent - just curious about what his angle is and what his involvement would be if he's stirring things behind the scenes.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:53 AM
  • #56,152
shmmeee said:
There’s no route to Burnham as leader. What he’s playing at god knows but the man didn’t stand out next to Yvette Cooper and Liz Kendall. There’s no potential leader and the membership wouldn’t take kindly to it.
Click to expand...
I'm not suggesting that, but the impression I get is of people getting their ducks in a row to get rid of a man and dim-witted accomplice who is completely tanking the party.
 
Reactions: duffer

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 10:57 AM
  • #56,153
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I'm not suggesting that, but the impression I get is of people getting their ducks in a row to get rid of a man and dim-witted accomplice who is completely tanking the party.
Click to expand...

Just can’t see it happening. And appoint who exactly who is going to magically solve all the problems Starmer and Reeves are facing? Just seems like wishcasting on all sides. No one can even name a challenger.
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

mmttww

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:02 AM
  • #56,154
shmmeee said:
No one can even name a challenger.
Click to expand...

Yeah, it's pretty slim pickings. All a bit grim.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:05 AM
  • #56,155
shmmeee said:
Just can’t see it happening. And appoint who exactly who is going to magically solve all the problems Starmer and Reeves are facing? Just seems like wishcasting on all sides. No one can even name a challenger.
Click to expand...
Maybe at least someone with more charisma and personal appeal.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:12 AM
  • #56,156
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Maybe at least someone with more charisma and personal appeal.
Click to expand...

Oh well just grab one of the fifteen charismatic left wingers off the shelf.

What are the rules on getting Mamdani a seat?
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:13 AM
  • #56,157
shmmeee said:
Oh well just grab one of the fifteen charismatic left wingers off the shelf.

What are the rules on getting Mamdani a seat?
Click to expand...
I mean we have loads of MPs to choose from. Is Starmer really the most able of them all?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:13 AM
  • #56,158
mmttww said:
Yeah, it's pretty slim pickings. All a bit grim.
Click to expand...

When you’re going for two time loser Burnham as your great white hope you know you’re in trouble.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 11:35 AM
  • #56,159
Brighton Sky Blue said:
I mean we have loads of MPs to choose from. Is Starmer really the most able of them all?
Click to expand...

Most of them have been there five minutes.
 
Reactions: SkyBlueDom26

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:24 PM
  • #56,160
Think this is an excellent thread on Starmer and the problems with him. Bush is a brilliant Labour Kremlinologist IMO.

 

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 12:44 PM
  • #56,161
shmmeee said:
When you’re going for two time loser Burnham as your great white hope you know you’re in trouble.
Click to expand...

Which is exactly where Starmer is. In very deep shit, much of which is of his own making. If his selling point was quiet competence and an end to scandal, he's fucked it properly, hasn't he.

Burnham, at least, has a hint of charisma, and might even take forward some of the vaguely left-ish policies which Starmer abandoned as soon he got the leadership of the party. If only he was the son of a toolmaker, eh.

In the next election, it's not going to be about getting rid of the Tories. So it might be an idea for Labour to find someone with a bit of passion who is actually willing take the fight to Reform.
 
Reactions: Sick Boy
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:15 PM
  • #56,162
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Today at 1:25 PM
  • #56,163
PVA said:
Click to expand...
Wtf
 
Reactions: Ccfcisparks

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:26 PM
  • #56,164
lol what is that thing on the right wearing
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 1:46 PM
  • #56,165
duffer said:
Which is exactly where Starmer is. In very deep shit, much of which is of his own making. If his selling point was quiet competence and an end to scandal, he's fucked it properly, hasn't he.

Burnham, at least, has a hint of charisma, and might even take forward some of the vaguely left-ish policies which Starmer abandoned as soon he got the leadership of the party. If only he was the son of a toolmaker, eh.

In the next election, it's not going to be about getting rid of the Tories. So it might be an idea for Labour to find someone with a bit of passion who is actually willing take the fight to Reform.
Click to expand...

There’s no viable route for Burnham. He’s the David Miliband of the Starmer years, the king across the water. And like the right during the Corbyn years there’s no one with a vision who can unite the membership.

Also Labour members really don’t like not giving leaders a chance. I think this is some clumsy opportunism but I can’t see a viable route to a serious challenge.
 
Reactions: SkyBlueDom26

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:01 PM
  • #56,166
Brighton Sky Blue said:
It has the murmurings of a leadership challenge doesn't it.
Click to expand...
100% and Starmer would lose in the event of a challenge. He’s betrayed his mandate to the membership.

chiefdave said:
I'm sure I see how a government with a term set to run until 2029 gets broken, what are you expecting to happen?

Absolute worse case scenario for Labour is a leadership election but even that seems fairly unlikely at the moment.

If the budget goes to absolute shit Starmer throws Reeves under the bus and draws a line under it.

We didn't get an election off the back of Truss' budget or any of the numerous changes of PM with the last government, why would it be different now?
Click to expand...
Plenty of unprecedented things happen. It’s certainly a worrying sign when the government is struggling to fill junior ministerial roles when there’s no shortage of MPs.

It could be the case that Starmer threatens to call a GE to keep a rebellion in line, for example, on cutting welfare which Starmer seems to want a second shot at. A loss of a key vote, such as a budget, would typically push a PM to call a GE (May didn’t tbf) but Boris did call a GE to get his agenda and Brexit deal through parliament. That may be something a new Labour PM would do, particularly if they got a bump in the polls.

The bottom line is that a government needs a mandate and the Johnson-Truss-Sunak years were all continuing the 2020 manifesto, so they said. With relation to Labour, they’ve passed most of their manifesto pledges and any new measures do not have a mandate. This is why they’re struggling to govern because their MPs on razor thin majorities won’t back anything unpopular. These MPs didn’t stand in a platform to cut welfare or government spending of any kind.

McSweeney and Reeves will be next, then Starmer will fall.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:09 PM
  • #56,167
Mucca Mad Boys said:
100% and Starmer would lose in the event of a challenge. He’s betrayed his mandate to the membership.


Plenty of unprecedented things happen. It’s certainly a worrying sign when the government is struggling to fill junior ministerial roles when there’s no shortage of MPs.

It could be the case that Starmer threatens to call a GE to keep a rebellion in line, for example, on cutting welfare which Starmer seems to want a second shot at. A loss of a key vote, such as a budget, would typically push a PM to call a GE (May didn’t tbf) but Boris did call a GE to get his agenda and Brexit deal through parliament. That may be something a new Labour PM would do, particularly if they got a bump in the polls.

The bottom line is that a government needs a mandate and the Johnson-Truss-Sunak years were all continuing the 2020 manifesto, so they said. With relation to Labour, they’ve passed most of their manifesto pledges and any new measures do not have a mandate. This is why they’re struggling to govern because their MPs on razor thin majorities won’t back anything unpopular. These MPs didn’t stand in a platform to cut welfare or government spending of any kind.

McSweeney and Reeves will be next, then Starmer will fall.
Click to expand...
Starmer hasn't got any leverage from what I can see. Not enough MPs are willing to join the sinking ship of his cabinet, and if he called an election he'd almost certainly lose.

His only way out of this is to start doing his fucking job properly.
 

Sick Boy

Super Moderator
  • Today at 2:10 PM
  • #56,168
I don't think any challenge will happen until May at this point.
 

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:17 PM
  • #56,169
SkyBlueDom26 said:
lol what is that thing on the right wearing
Click to expand...
H&M Autumn Winter 2025 mate….. it’s a banger.
 
Reactions: Evo1883

duffer

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:22 PM
  • #56,170
shmmeee said:
There’s no viable route for Burnham. He’s the David Miliband of the Starmer years, the king across the water. And like the right during the Corbyn years there’s no one with a vision who can unite the membership.

Also Labour members really don’t like not giving leaders a chance. I think this is some clumsy opportunism but I can’t see a viable route to a serious challenge.
Click to expand...

That's a fair enough analysis mate, though I'd opine that the membership (perhaps as opposed to the PLP), would be very much behind a candidate who would shift back towards the left, if only a little.

Just as a hypothetical then, without sniping, could you see a situation like this playing out over the next few years...

Starmer's ratings continue to tank. Burnham decides to get into Parliament, via a by-election. The PLP, terrified now of an electoral wipeout and losing their own seats, mutiny and defenestrate Starmer.

In that case, what other candidates step up? Anyone in a senior position on the current cabinet is tainted by Starmer. Who's left?

At this point you'd have to think Labour's best chance of re-election might be to put forward a 'change' candidate with a obviously different approach to Starmer. Thoughts?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:26 PM
  • #56,171
duffer said:
That's a fair enough analysis mate, though I'd opine that the membership (perhaps as opposed to the PLP), would be very much behind a candidate who would shift back towards the left, if only a little.

Just as a hypothetical then, without sniping, could you see a situation like this playing out over the next few years...

Starmer's ratings continue to tank. Burnham decides to get into Parliament, via a by-election. The PLP, terrified now of an electoral wipeout and losing their own seats, mutiny and defenestrate Starmer.

In that case, what other candidates step up? Anyone in a senior position on the current cabinet is tainted by Starmer. Who's left?

At this point you'd have to think Labour's best chance of re-election might be to put forward a 'change' candidate with a obviously different approach to Starmer. Thoughts?
Click to expand...

I think a change now would mean calls for a GE and tie into chaos memes. I think he’s going to have to tough it out and change direction internally.

No amount of left wing thinking is going to make money appear. Burnham (who BTW is to the right of Brown!) is hanging it on fantasy wealth taxes that even if they worked wouldn’t touch the sides.

Someone’s going to have to raise taxes to fix the shit that’s been wrecked and the best time to do that is right now. Probably best case would be Starmer does that and in a year or two a magical British Mamdani appears who can provide charisma. Cos until then you’re looking at the likes of Wes Streeting FFS.
 
Reactions: duffer

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:30 PM
  • #56,172
Brighton Sky Blue said:
Starmer hasn't got any leverage from what I can see. Not enough MPs are willing to join the sinking ship of his cabinet, and if he called an election he'd almost certainly lose.

His only way out of this is to start doing his fucking job properly.
Click to expand...
He’s in a doom loop and he’s in government but not in power. Whilst I don’t know how things will unfold, we’ll have a general election before 2028.

Clive Lewis said Starmer isn’t fit to do the job and that’s a view the vast majority of the electorate and political parties feel about him.

The issue with Labour’s disproportionate majority is that a) 66% of the electorate voted against them in the first place and b) there’s 100-200 MPs with slender majorities. Starmer/Labour were not that popular and the MPs are under pressure to oppose unpopular measures to save their skins. Streeting, Mahmood, Rayner and few other Labour top dogs are at serious risk of losing their seats (the former 2 to pro-Gaza independents, Rayner to Reform).

With Labour polling in 4th place in Wales and with the Senedd elections next… a wipe out in a region where Labour has always won would probably cause a major crisis for the government.
 

SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 2:47 PM
  • #56,173
Ian1779 said:
H&M Autumn Winter 2025 mate….. it’s a banger.
Click to expand...
Shows what kind of weirdo freaks some of them are
 
Reactions: Ian1779

mmttww

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:11 PM
  • #56,174
shmmeee said:
Someone’s going to have to raise taxes to fix the shit that’s been wrecked and the best time to do that is right now. Probably best case would be Starmer does that and in a year or two a magical British Mamdani appears who can provide charisma. Cos until then you’re looking at the likes of Wes Streeting FFS.
Click to expand...

Makes sense, it's gonna be a long week or two with the cabinet mess, Rayner and Mandelson fallout, low key mutiny stuff and the state visit(s). Interested to see where thing's stand after that.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Today at 3:15 PM
  • #56,175
shmmeee said:
I think a change now would mean calls for a GE and tie into chaos memes. I think he’s going to have to tough it out and change direction internally.

No amount of left wing thinking is going to make money appear. Burnham (who BTW is to the right of Brown!) is hanging it on fantasy wealth taxes that even if they worked wouldn’t touch the sides.

Someone’s going to have to raise taxes to fix the shit that’s been wrecked and the best time to do that is right now. Probably best case would be Starmer does that and in a year or two a magical British Mamdani appears who can provide charisma. Cos until then you’re looking at the likes of Wes Streeting FFS.
Click to expand...
A Mamdani type would be ignored for being ‘hard left’ probably.
 
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