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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (19 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,331
Sky Blue Pete said:
Do you have a temperature?
Click to expand...

Cant get hold of a thermometer but I’m warm to touch.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,332
djr8369 said:
The US is going to be an absolute disaster and Trump is still screaming fake news.


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Click to expand...

All while they ignore the guy proposing a single payer healthcare system with paid sick leave. They're right it's much less radical to charge people to be tested for a pandemic disease
 
Reactions: Sky Blue Pete

covcity4life

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,333
So looka like sats game is on?
 
Reactions: torchomatic, ccfc92 and shmmeee

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,334
mark82 said:
14 day, but they're asking anyone with a temperature or cough to isolate for 7 days. Assume the 14 days will still stand for confirmed cases.
Click to expand...

The 14 days is an overestimate based on the fact some have extended to 11 days - 96% is in the 7 day bracket
 
Reactions: mark82

ccfc92

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,335
covcity4life said:
So looka like sats game is on?
Click to expand...

Looks it, plus away tickets on sale for Accrington I believe.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,336
wingy said:
Explain the difference in the two David.
Click to expand...
Show me the evidence that the infection trajectory is anything the same.



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D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,337
Brighton Sky Blue said:
All while they ignore the guy proposing a single payer healthcare system with paid sick leave. They're right it's much less radical to charge people to be tested for a pandemic disease
Click to expand...

Everyone knows treatment of a pandemic is best left to the market you dumb lib. Freedom!!!!


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Reactions: Brighton Sky Blue and Sky Blue Pete
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,338
Grendel said:
The 14 days is an overestimate based on the fact some have extended to 11 days - 96% is in the 7 day bracket
Click to expand...

That’s interesting. I was reading earlier that serious cases extend to over 30 days but haven’t seen anything in the way a distribution.


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SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,339
Sky Blue Pete said:
So we only expect 48000000 to get the virus. That’s quite a lot
Click to expand...
Where did he say that mate?
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,340
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Where did he say that mate?
Click to expand...
Chief medical officer expects 80% to get the virus. 60m population. 80% is 48m
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,341
SkyBlueDom26 said:
Where did he say that mate?
Click to expand...
He didn't 80% infection rate is are the very worst case scenario that they have war gamed at the department of health and social care

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David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,342
Sky Blue Pete said:
Chief medical officer expects 80% to get the virus. 60m population. 80% is 48m
Click to expand...
He did not say that Pete

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D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,343
David O'Day said:
Show me the evidence that the infection trajectory is anything the same.



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Click to expand...







Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,344
djr8369 said:
That’s interesting. I was reading earlier that serious cases extend to over 30 days but haven’t seen anything in the way a distribution.


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Click to expand...

The incubation period for spreading.
 
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,345
djr8369 said:






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Click to expand...

The logarithmic graph makes rate of change easier to see. Suggests Italy for to 100 quicker but we’re headed to 1000 quicker than they were and taking fewer countermeasures.







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S

skyblu3sk

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,346
Sky Blue Pete said:
Chief medical officer expects 80% to get the virus. 60m population. 80% is 48m
Click to expand...
Didn't say that all all...said that was the absolute worst case model
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,347
djr8369 said:






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Click to expand...
They are just graphs with a similar curve but very different scales. If you plotted both on the same axis they would look very different

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David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,348
Log scale graphs again. Wow ignored

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SkyBlueDom26

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,349
If that’s the worst case then it’s bad but half of that 40% which is meaning 24 million people getting it which is likely
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,350
djr8369 said:
The logarithmic graph makes rate of change easier to see. Suggests Italy for to 100 quicker but we’re headed to 1000 quicker than they were and taking fewer countermeasures.







Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

So their numbers are hugely higher from a standing start
 
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,351
David O'Day said:
They are just graphs with a similar curve but very different scales. If you plotted both on the same axis they would look very different

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Click to expand...

Indeed but look at the time taken to reach certain milestones.


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David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,352
Grendel said:
So their numbers are hugely higher from a standing start
Click to expand...
Log fucking scale graphs have a lot to answer for

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S

skyblu3sk

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,353
djr8369 said:
The logarithmic graph makes rate of change easier to see. Suggests Italy for to 100 quicker but we’re headed to 1000 quicker than they were and taking fewer countermeasures.







Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
What? Check the days when we are at 400 they were over 1000?
 
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,354
David O'Day said:
Log scale graphs again. Wow ignored

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Click to expand...

Yes, commonly used to display exponential growth rates.


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Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,355
David O'Day said:
Log scale graphs again. Wow ignored

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Click to expand...

Why are people keep competing to Italy
 

Winny the Bish

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,356
Accrington owner seemingly threatening to not play their next few games:

EDIT: We play them in 16 days.
 
Last edited: Mar 12, 2020

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,357
theferret said:
The state of some of these replies. Why do people try to politicise everything. He's just sat through a Cobra meeting. He is acting on advice. The Scottish First Minister is in total agreement. We have few cases per 1 million population than almost any other major developed nation, certainly in Western Europe. What is it that people want, martial law?
Click to expand...

The CMO has just said the number of cases is likely to be far higher than the confirmed number. Yes this might the case elsewhere as well but even on matters like this these scumbags will misrepresent
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,358
Deleted member 5849 said:
I have to say, I'm all for a spot of Boris bashing. But, if he's following the advice given to him, what more can he do?!?
Click to expand...
We don't know how the advice was framed
 
D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,359
skyblu3sk said:
What? Check the days when we are at 400 they were over 1000?
Click to expand...

We’re two weeks behind them. Because it’s a log y axis it looks like they had no cases but it’s still in the hundreds.


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ccfc92

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,360
skyblue93 said:
Accrington owner seemingly threatening to not play their next few games:
Click to expand...

Fine, 3 points to us then.
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,361
skyblue93 said:
Accrington owner seemingly threatening to not play their next few games:
Click to expand...

Well have the three points then thanks.
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,362
djr8369 said:
We’re two weeks behind them. Because it’s a log y axis it looks like they had no cases but it’s still in the hundreds.


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Click to expand...

The first reported case was jan 30 wasn’t it?
 

itsabuzzard

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,363
David O'Day said:
He did not say that Pete

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Click to expand...
This. Serious situation no doubt but not helped by spreading misinformation. That figure was indeed worst case scenario but he also said that wasnt going to happen.

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D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,364
Grendel said:
Why are people keep competing to Italy
Click to expand...

Because our growth rate is only a bit slower than there’s. We’re on track for a thousand cases 2 days slower than they were and that’s before you account for numbers of tests.


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D

djr8369

Well-Known Member
  • Mar 12, 2020
  • #1,365
Grendel said:
The first reported case was jan 30 wasn’t it?
Click to expand...

In terms of the growth curve.


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