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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (10 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,566
Saddlebrains said:
In the unvaccinated and generally young. The reports are those being hospitalised are so for only 2 or 3 nights. The virus, whilst being more contagious, is weaker.


Who would have thought that, a virus doing what viruses do
Click to expand...

Also that stat includes people who tested positive who are already in a bed in hospital. So is slightly misleading. Esps when its been shown 40-80% off all covid cases have caught it in hospital
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,567
jordan210 said:
Esps when its been shown 40-80% off all covid cases have caught it in hospital
Click to expand...

Huh?
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,568
SBT said:
Huh?
Click to expand...

Little bit of background below., But I did see a document the other day that showed a crazy high number for June 2020

Over 450 people a day caught covid in hospitals during January

Record numbers of covid-19 infections which are likely to have taken place after admission to hospital are being reported in January, HSJ can reveal.
www.hsj.co.uk


From one NHS trust

Trust had highest Covid-19 transmission rate for patients in hospital in England

NEARLY 40 per cent of patients caught coronavirus while they were being treated at Hampshire Hospitals Foundation Trust for other illnesses, new…
www.hampshirechronicle.co.uk
 
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,569
jordan210 said:
Little bit of background below., But I did see a document the other day that showed a crazy high number for June 2020

Over 450 people a day caught covid in hospitals during January

Record numbers of covid-19 infections which are likely to have taken place after admission to hospital are being reported in January, HSJ can reveal.
www.hsj.co.uk


From one NHS trust

Trust had highest Covid-19 transmission rate for patients in hospital in England

NEARLY 40 per cent of patients caught coronavirus while they were being treated at Hampshire Hospitals Foundation Trust for other illnesses, new…
www.hampshirechronicle.co.uk
Click to expand...

There were around 40-60,000 daily cases in January. 450 people a day catching it in hospital is a tiny fraction of that total.

Your second article refers only to one set of hospitalized COVID patients, 40% of whom caught it while in hospital.

Where did you get that 80% of all COVID cases were being contracted in hospital from?
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,570
SBT said:
There were around 40-60,000 daily cases in January. 450 people a day catching it in hospital is a tiny fraction of that total.

Your second article refers only to one set of hospitalized COVID patients, 40% of whom caught it while in hospital.

Where did you get that 80% of all COVID cases were being contracted in hospital from?
Click to expand...

Apoligies it wasn't of all. But of all hospitalisations

In this report from. Was 80% of hospital cases. Caught it in hospital in June 2020

the proportion of infections that are hospital associated has increased, and was approximately 80% as of the 1st June

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/897526/S0471_SAGE_40_200603_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
 
Last edited: Jun 16, 2021

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,571
jordan210 said:
Apoligies it wasn't of all. But of all hospitalised cases.

In this report from. Was 80% of hospital cases. Caught it in hospital in June 2020

the proportion of infections that are hospital associated has increased, and was approximately 80% as of the 1st June

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/897526/S0471_SAGE_40_200603_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
Click to expand...

Strewth. Where to start.

1. The paper you’ve linked is a year out of date and is written after approximately 3 months of near-full lockdown. It even says in there that as cases have dropped the proportion is higher, and that is because there was little to no social contact when the report was written.

2. It doesn’t say 80% caught it in hospital, it says up to 80% were linked to hospital-acquired infection. Ergo, if I caught it in hospital and then passed it on to 30 people in Asda, it still qualifies as hospital-acquired infection.

Using this as a qualifier for why hospital data shouldn’t be trusted really doesn’t work, sorry.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,572
SBAndy said:
Strewth. Where to start.

1. The paper you’ve linked is a year out of date and is written after approximately 3 months of near-full lockdown. It even says in there that as cases have dropped the proportion is higher, and that is because there was little to no social contact when the report was written.

2. It doesn’t say 80% caught it in hospital, it says up to 80% were linked to hospital-acquired infection. Ergo, if I caught it in hospital and then passed it on to 30 people in Asda, it still qualifies as hospital-acquired infection.

Using this as a qualifier for why hospital data shouldn’t be trusted really doesn’t work, sorry.
Click to expand...

he's a big confirmation bias fan
 

baldy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,573
New York back to normality with all restrictions lifted after they’ve had 70% of people vaccinated - yet we’ve vaccinated more & we‘re nowhere near to being free - absolutely ridiculous
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,574
baldy said:
New York back to normality with all restrictions lifted after they’ve had 70% of people vaccinated - yet we’ve vaccinated more & we‘re nowhere near to being free - absolutely ridiculous
Click to expand...

That's because cases etc are dropping in New York while cases are doubling weekly in the UK.

This is like comparing apples and a fucking watermelon
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,575
baldy said:
New York back to normality with all restrictions lifted after they’ve had 70% of people vaccinated - yet we’ve vaccinated more & we‘re nowhere near to being free - absolutely ridiculous
Click to expand...
How’s the delta variant there badly, do you know?
 

skybluetony176

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,576
David O'Day said:
That's because cases etc are dropping in New York while cases are doubling weekly in the UK.

This is like comparing apples and a fucking watermelon
Click to expand...
Big Apples at that
 
Reactions: clint van damme

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,577
SBAndy said:
Strewth. Where to start.

1. The paper you’ve linked is a year out of date and is written after approximately 3 months of near-full lockdown. It even says in there that as cases have dropped the proportion is higher, and that is because there was little to no social contact when the report was written.

2. It doesn’t say 80% caught it in hospital, it says up to 80% were linked to hospital-acquired infection. Ergo, if I caught it in hospital and then passed it on to 30 people in Asda, it still qualifies as hospital-acquired infection.

Using this as a qualifier for why hospital data shouldn’t be trusted really doesn’t work, sorry.
Click to expand...

Thats why the NHS have been told to change the way they collect data "Hospitals have been told to change the way they collect data on patients infected with coronavirus to differentiate between those actually sick with symptoms and those who test positive while seeking treatment for something else."

NHS told to identify patients actually sick from Covid-19 separately to those testing positive

Exclusive: Changes to the way hospitals collect data will make the impact of the virus on the NHS look better
www.independent.co.uk


Oh look 84 inpatients testing positive. More inpatients tested positive than new admissions.

 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,578
Sky Blue Pete said:
How’s the delta variant there badly, do you know?
Click to expand...

doubling at around 10% of all cases, mostly in the southern less vaccinated states

Fear grows that delta variant will become dominant COVID strain worldwide as WHO says it's now in 74 countries

The Delta variant of COVID-19 has now been detected in 74 countries, prompting fears it will become the dominant strain around the world, as it continues to...
www.marketwatch.com
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,579
jordan210 said:
Thats why the NHS have been told to change the way they collect data "Hospitals have been told to change the way they collect data on patients infected with coronavirus to differentiate between those actually sick with symptoms and those who test positive while seeking treatment for something else."

NHS told to identify patients actually sick from Covid-19 separately to those testing positive

Exclusive: Changes to the way hospitals collect data will make the impact of the virus on the NHS look better
www.independent.co.uk


Oh look 84 inpatients testing positive. More inpatients tested positive than new admissions.

Click to expand...

do you even read what you post?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,580
jordan210 said:
Thats why the NHS have been told to change the way they collect data "Hospitals have been told to change the way they collect data on patients infected with coronavirus to differentiate between those actually sick with symptoms and those who test positive while seeking treatment for something else."

NHS told to identify patients actually sick from Covid-19 separately to those testing positive

Exclusive: Changes to the way hospitals collect data will make the impact of the virus on the NHS look better
www.independent.co.uk


Oh look 84 inpatients testing positive. More inpatients tested positive than new admissions.

Click to expand...

Also that is basically a week out of date as well.
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,581
David O'Day said:
Also that is basically a week out of date as well.
Click to expand...


Let me guess its all lag...

Feel free to look over the NHS data availably that shows 55% of all covid patients in hospital. Where all ready in hospital before catching it

Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity

A number of data collections have been implemented to support incident management. The collections were activated at short notice and the content of the collections has evolved as the incident has developed. The data collected is classified as management information. It has been collected on a...
www.england.nhs.uk

Talking about out of date Sage used out of date data for the extension of lockdown. But I guess thats fine with you.

Sage have a tendency of using out of date data

Covid modelling that pushed back June 21 was based on out-of-date data

Government published figures to support pushing back ‘Freedom Day’ despite knowing estimates of vaccine effectiveness were incorrect
www.telegraph.co.uk
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,582
Over 9000 infections today
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,583
jordan210 said:
Let me guess its all lag...

Feel free to look over the NHS data availably that shows 55% of all covid patients in hospital. Where all ready in hospital before catching it

Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity

A number of data collections have been implemented to support incident management. The collections were activated at short notice and the content of the collections has evolved as the incident has developed. The data collected is classified as management information. It has been collected on a...
www.england.nhs.uk

Talking about out of date Sage used out of date data for the extension of lockdown. But I guess thats fine with you.

Sage have a tendency of using out of date data

Covid modelling that pushed back June 21 was based on out-of-date data

Government published figures to support pushing back ‘Freedom Day’ despite knowing estimates of vaccine effectiveness were incorrect
www.telegraph.co.uk
Click to expand...

Once again you post things that you clearly don't have a clue about if it seems to confirm your clearly nonsense arguments

Also it seems you can't even read a spreadsheet either.

You're done here
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,584
Sky Blue Pete said:
Over 9000 infections today
Click to expand...

It's ok Jordan will post a thread he doesn't understand to convince you that isn't a bad thing
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,585
David O'Day said:
Once again you post things that you clearly don't have a clue about if it seems to confirm your clearly nonsense arguments

Also it seems you can't even read a spreadsheet either.

You're done here
Click to expand...

You never come back with facts. You just insult.

pathetic really
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,586
David O'Day said:
It's ok Jordan will post a thread he doesn't understand to convince you that isn't a bad thing
Click to expand...

9000 positive tests. Not cases. Hospitalisation is the only important figure and has been for a while.
 
Reactions: baldy
P

PVA

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,587
jordan210 said:
Let me guess its all lag...

Feel free to look over the NHS data availably that shows 55% of all covid patients in hospital. Where all ready in hospital before catching it

Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity

A number of data collections have been implemented to support incident management. The collections were activated at short notice and the content of the collections has evolved as the incident has developed. The data collected is classified as management information. It has been collected on a...
www.england.nhs.uk
Click to expand...

It doesn't say that

It says that of all covid patients in hospital 7% of them were diagnosed with Covid in the last 24 hours while already in hospital.

If I've read it correctly
 
Last edited: Jun 16, 2021

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,588
PVA said:
It doesn't say that

It says that of all covid patients in hospital 7% of them were diagnosed with Covid in the last 24 hours while already in hospital.
Click to expand...
he doesn't understand what he posts
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,589
David O'Day said:
he doesn't understand what he posts
Click to expand...

why don’t you have a look at this study from public health Scotland. Shows 64% of severe infections acquired in hospitals

Relation of severe COVID-19 in Scotland to transmission-related factors and risk conditions eligible for shielding support: REACT-SCOT case-control study

Objectives To investigate:(1) the risk of severe COVID-19 in those eligible for shielding, and (2) the relation of severe COVID-19 to transmission-related factors in those in shielding and the general population. Design Matched case-control study (REACT-SCOT). Setting Population of Scotland...
www.medrxiv.org

Then again you won’t read it. You will just insult and say data is out of date.

Also up to 40% of first wave could have been caught in hospital

Up to 40 per cent of first wave Covid cases could have been caught in hospitals

NHS faces questions over Covid infections contracted in hospital

As bereaved families seek answers, number of cases and alleged failings cause concern in England
www.google.co.uk
 
Last edited: Jun 16, 2021

MusicDating

Euro 2016 Prediction League Champion!!
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,590
David O'Day said:
Once again you post things that you clearly don't have a clue about if it seems to confirm your clearly nonsense arguments

Also it seems you can't even read a spreadsheet either.

You're done here
Click to expand...
How's your understanding of Scottish football coming along Dave?
 
Reactions: Deleted member 11652

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,591
MusicDating said:
How's your understanding of Scottish football coming along Dave?
Click to expand...
top notch comeback - great stuff
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 16, 2021
  • #47,592
Sky Blue Pete said:
Over 9000 infections today
Click to expand...

The key thing remains how much this translates into serious illness. I remain very cautiously optimistic that with most of the cases in the ‘right’ groups we will not see anything like the carnage of before.

It is I think prudent to seriously define ‘we have to live with Covid’ at a practical level
 
Reactions: wingy

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,593
jordan210 said:
why don’t you have a look at this study from public health Scotland. Shows 64% of severe infections acquired in hospitals

Relation of severe COVID-19 in Scotland to transmission-related factors and risk conditions eligible for shielding support: REACT-SCOT case-control study

Objectives To investigate:(1) the risk of severe COVID-19 in those eligible for shielding, and (2) the relation of severe COVID-19 to transmission-related factors in those in shielding and the general population. Design Matched case-control study (REACT-SCOT). Setting Population of Scotland...
www.medrxiv.org

Then again you won’t read it. You will just insult and say data is out of date.

Also up to 40% of first wave could have been caught in hospital

Up to 40 per cent of first wave Covid cases could have been caught in hospitals

NHS faces questions over Covid infections contracted in hospital

As bereaved families seek answers, number of cases and alleged failings cause concern in England
www.google.co.uk
Click to expand...

64% of severe infection at one point were acquired in hospitals - that point being December 2020. Again, whilst there were stringent lockdown measures in place. The paper doesn’t specify whether this percentage is on a specific day, a rolling 7-day average, a rolling 30 days, etc.

Unfortunately as a non-subscriber I can’t access the Teegraph article. However, the Guardian article makes for interesting reading and again tallies with the idea that a single week in December saw the peaking of hospital-based infection, before beginning to drop again i.e. when there is more social mixing the percentage acquired in hospital reduces - suppose that’s not groundbreaking. Estimates are that between August and February there were 39,000 people likely to have been infected in English hospitals; a not insignificant number but making up a tiny proportion of infections within that timeframe.

Forgive me, but I genuinely don’t understand the point you are trying to make with this. The data you provide basically proves that lockdown measures work for reducing community-based infection, but I know you ain’t arguing for measures to be extended/reimposed!
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,594
SBAndy said:
64% of severe infection at one point were acquired in hospitals - that point being December 2020. Again, whilst there were stringent lockdown measures in place. The paper doesn’t specify whether this percentage is on a specific day, a rolling 7-day average, a rolling 30 days, etc.

Unfortunately as a non-subscriber I can’t access the Teegraph article. However, the Guardian article makes for interesting reading and again tallies with the idea that a single week in December saw the peaking of hospital-based infection, before beginning to drop again i.e. when there is more social mixing the percentage acquired in hospital reduces - suppose that’s not groundbreaking. Estimates are that between August and February there were 39,000 people likely to have been infected in English hospitals; a not insignificant number but making up a tiny proportion of infections within that timeframe.

Forgive me, but I genuinely don’t understand the point you are trying to make with this. The data you provide basically proves that lockdown measures work for reducing community-based infection, but I know you ain’t arguing for measures to be extended/reimposed!
Click to expand...

The difference is if you catch Covid why in hospital when you then test positive you are then classed as a patient in hospital for Covid. Yet you came in for another reason. Hospitals have always been a super spreader for illness. Same with care homes.

The point was Saddle mentioned we have been seeing more short stays in hospital. Hence the numbers not shooting up. I was just showing how many are catching It in hospital.

Basicly get your jabs 1st and 2nd and we should be all good. If the gov actually allow us freedoms.

But the problem with the thread is it's not a debate. Its David just insulting people with different views to his. He comes back with no evidence or counter argument other than out of date data. Yet all the data we can go on is what the gov/NHS give us.

Everyone has different views on Lockdown/restrictions. Debate is healthy. trying to disprove people with no actual facts is now.
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,595
jordan210 said:
The difference is if you catch Covid why in hospital when you then test positive you are then classed as a patient in hospital for Covid. Yet you came in for another reason. Hospitals have always been a super spreader for illness. Same with care homes.

The point was Saddle mentioned we have been seeing more short stays in hospital. Hence the numbers not shooting up. I was just showing how many are catching It in hospital.

Basicly get your jabs 1st and 2nd and we should be all good. If the gov actually allow us freedoms.

But the problem with the thread is it's not a debate. Its David just insulting people with different views to his. He comes back with no evidence or counter argument other than out of date data. Yet all the data we can go on is what the gov/NHS give us.

Everyone has different views on Lockdown/restrictions. Debate is healthy. trying to disprove people with no actual facts is now.
Click to expand...

If we hit the vaccination numbers the government claims we will by the date they have set then in combination with school holidays and the good weather we should be able to justify the full unlock. That said while deaths remain stubbornly low I do think more should be allowed for events where all attendants give a negative test or proof of vaccination.
 
Reactions: wingy and jordan210

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,596
Just so everyone is aware. Once we do come out of lockdown. We are likely to see a surge of RSV esp in younger children/babies. Due to not being exposed to everyday viruses.
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,597
jordan210 said:
Just so everyone is aware. Once we do come out of lockdown. We are likely to see a surge of RSV esp in younger children/babies. Due to not being exposed to everyday viruses.
Click to expand...
Not if we continue with masks and social distancing
 

jordan210

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,598
Sky Blue Pete said:
Not if we continue with masks and social distancing
Click to expand...

True. But I cant see kids having birthday parties with masks and social distancing in the summer can you ?

If your fully vaccinated I cant see people wanting to ware a mask anyway.

Children need to be exposed to illness to help boost immune system.

The mask thing will be one to watch. As CDC guidelines in the states is

"You can resume activities without wearing a mask or staying 6 feet apart, except where required by federal, state, local, tribal, or territorial laws, rules, and regulations, including local business and workplace guidance."

full guidelines :COVID-19 Vaccination

So will be interesting to see what way we go.
 

Saddlebrains

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,599
I couldnt give a shit anymore to be honest. I've been double jabbed and done everything asked of me for 16 months.

Masks etc can fuckoff now
 

SBAndy

Well-Known Member
  • Jun 17, 2021
  • #47,600
jordan210 said:
The difference is if you catch Covid why in hospital when you then test positive you are then classed as a patient in hospital for Covid. Yet you came in for another reason. Hospitals have always been a super spreader for illness. Same with care homes.

The point was Saddle mentioned we have been seeing more short stays in hospital. Hence the numbers not shooting up. I was just showing how many are catching It in hospital.

Basicly get your jabs 1st and 2nd and we should be all good. If the gov actually allow us freedoms.

But the problem with the thread is it's not a debate. Its David just insulting people with different views to his. He comes back with no evidence or counter argument other than out of date data. Yet all the data we can go on is what the gov/NHS give us.

Everyone has different views on Lockdown/restrictions. Debate is healthy. trying to disprove people with no actual facts is now.
Click to expand...

That’s fair, and not something I’d thought about a great deal. Still, I think that plays a much smaller role than the figures you’re using suggest. I had said to CCFCSteve already that inpatients might be a better measure than admissions this time around so I’m in tune with your way of thinking on this. Had my first jab the other day as well, second will be just after August Bank Holiday as it stands.
 
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