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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (16 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,016
wingy said:
analysis also suggested there was a reduction in the number of people being infected without developing symptoms, who are still thought to be able to spread the virus

This bits relevant too,yes?
Fill us in scientist.
Click to expand...

The Oxford vaccine during testing on animals didn’t prevent infection but it did eliminate symptoms. May have worked out differently in humans but haven’t looked at it in a while
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,017
CCFCSteve said:
Is that euphemism SBD ?
Click to expand...

Well she was apparently shagging fellow MP Mark Field...

Although she did also give a speech saying how disgraceful it was we import 2/3 of our cheese. Really don't want to think what the euphemism was there...

* it's about a couple of soundbites of hers that used to be shown regularly on Have I Got News For You.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,018
Brighton Sky Blue said:
The Oxford vaccine during testing on animals didn’t prevent infection but it did eliminate symptoms. May have worked out differently in humans but haven’t looked at it in a while
Click to expand...
Thought there's a suggestion it may potentially at least in part prevent onward transmission?
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,019
These are the ones


 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,020
wingy said:
Thought there's a suggestion it may potentially at least in part prevent onward transmission?
Click to expand...

The asymptomatic will generally be less infectious I believe.
 
Reactions: wingy

Ian1779

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,021
So where do people think they will end up Tier wise? Living in Northamptonshire I think we will be minimum Tier 2.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,022
Ian1779 said:
So where do people think they will end up Tier wise? Living in Northamptonshire I think we will be minimum Tier 2.
Click to expand...
Guessing just about tier 2 for Coventry .
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,023
i'd say we will all exit into whatever tiers we were in before
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,024
Ian1779 said:
So where do people think they will end up Tier wise? Living in Northamptonshire I think we will be minimum Tier 2.
Click to expand...
From the utter randomness, it'll be tier zero.
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,025
David O'Day said:
i'd say we will all exit into whatever tiers we were in before
Click to expand...
Some yes but heard on the radio Kent was T1 (if o heard correctly) but now has 600+ per 100,000....guessing they will be T3
 
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,026
Frankly, if we were meriting a total lockdown, we should have all been in Tier 3 to begin with anyway.
 
Reactions: Ian1779

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,027
Interesting paper (off a retweet from my new favourite Tory MP), calculates infection fatality rate and nicely puts the “it’s not a risk” stuff to bed:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v7.full.pdf

Here’s the money shot (also note how much safer the U.K. is compared to the US):




So across age groups it’s significantly more fatal to catch COVID than to get in a car accident or other accidents that cause death.

My new favourite Tory MP is Neil O’Brien after this thread:

 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,028
Stuck in a box with no practicals till March hooray
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,029
shmmeee said:
My new favourite Tory MP is Neil O’Brien after this thread:

Click to expand...

Yeah, they were debating it on LBC (maajid nawas) yesterday so I had a look at the article and some of the stats. Let’s just say the actual data wasn’t quite as supportive as the article/Naawas suggested. That’s not to say it should be all discounted but it wasn't being accurately portrayed ie picking out certain death data for one week and comparing it to the 5 year average (and saying something like it was only 1000 deaths higher than normal - don’t quote me on that but it was something similar - that’s quite a lot for one week though !). Some data geek who didn’t necessarily agree with lockdowns pulled him up on it but he ignored the guys (correct) points.

Shame as there’s some genuine debate to be had about benefits or not of lockdowns (or certain elements of society being locked down ie hospitality, gyms etc) but this was just a sloppy/biased article

ps interesting IFR data, on the flip side I’d say that that the rates are still tiny for the young and that’s before (the rightly debated) pre existing conditions are dropped in. Not sure if/how asymptomatics are incorporated into the figures as well. Presume US is worse as they’re are far more obese people over there ! Harsh but probably fair !
 
Last edited: Nov 23, 2020

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,030
just seen some of the Oxford vaccine team being interviewed. Whenever I've seen or heard them being interviewed before they were very cautious, this time you could see they could hardly contain their excitement.
It's given me real optimism that the end of this is in sight albeit it will probably be well in to next year.

I can put up with this shit for a few more months if I know there's a return to normality on the horizon.
 
Reactions: LastGarrison, CCFCSteve and chiefdave

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,031
CCFCSteve said:
Yeah, they were debating it on LBC (maajid nawas) yesterday so I had a look at the article and some of the stats. Let’s just say the actual data wasn’t quite as supportive as the article/Naawas suggested. That’s not to say it should be all discounted but it wasn't being accurately portrayed ie picking out certain death data for one week and comparing it to the 5 year average (and saying something like it was only 1000 deaths higher than normal - don’t quote me on that but it was something similar - that’s quite a lot for one week though !). Some data geek who didn’t necessarily agree with lockdowns pulled him up on it but he ignored the guys (correct) points.

Shame as there’s some genuine debate to be had about benefits or not of lockdowns (or certain elements of society being locked down ie hospitality, gyms etc) but this was just a sloppy/biased article
Click to expand...

I’m just glad to see MPs calling out bad data.

Im all for debate, but I’m getting a little tired of the “the entire profession has it wrong, me, a guy on Twitter, has the *real* data” stuff. People like this guy, the Karol Sikora guy and Carl Henneghan, who either outright make nonsense up or push a very skewed version of the data (see the Danish mask study pushed by Henneghan in the Spectator recently, which never attempted to prove mask efficacy for preventing spread which is the main reason for a mask policy).

Let’s debate reality. We know it’s dangerous. We know deaths are going up. We know masks help prevent spread. Start from there.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,032
shmmeee said:
I’m just glad to see MPs calling out bad data.

Im all for debate, but I’m getting a little tired of the “the entire profession has it wrong, me, a guy on Twitter, has the *real* data” stuff. People like this guy, the Karol Sikora guy and Carl Henneghan, who either outright make nonsense up or push a very skewed version of the data (see the Danish mask study pushed by Henneghan in the Spectator recently, which never attempted to prove mask efficacy for preventing spread which is the main reason for a mask policy).

Let’s debate reality. We know it’s dangerous. We know deaths are going up. We know masks help prevent spread. Start from there.
Click to expand...

Karol 'this will all be over by June' Sikora.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,033
clint van damme said:
Karol 'this will all be over by June' Sikora.
Click to expand...

Karol "threatened with legal action by Imperial College for pretending to work there" Sikora
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,034
David O'Day said:
Karol "threatened with legal action by Imperial College for pretending to work there" Sikora
Click to expand...

Didn't realise that so I google it and in the process came across his part in the Lockerbie bomber release controversy.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,035
clint van damme said:
Didn't realise that so I google it and in the process came across his part in the Lockerbie bomber release controversy.
Click to expand...

Forgot he said he only had weeks to live, that was in his speciality as well.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,036
hill83 said:
"Bowl of chips and 10 pints please barkeep"
Click to expand...
What's the rest of the party having?
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,037
shmmeee said:
Interesting paper (off a retweet from my new favourite Tory MP), calculates infection fatality rate and nicely puts the “it’s not a risk” stuff to bed:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v7.full.pdf

Here’s the money shot (also note how much safer the U.K. is compared to the US):

View attachment 17588


So across age groups it’s significantly more fatal to catch COVID than to get in a car accident or other accidents that cause death.

My new favourite Tory MP is Neil O’Brien after this thread:

Click to expand...
Didn't realise he was a Tory but looked at that earlier, he seems all a bit sane. Then saw that dickhead Redwood tweet
 
Reactions: shmmeee

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,038
fernandopartridge said:
What's the rest of the party having?
Click to expand...
Pint of Directors with a gin and tonic and Astrazeneca chaser
 
Reactions: hill83 and fernandopartridge

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,039
The cov figures are heading nicely in the right direction, hopefully wee can get our of tier 2 asap
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,040
Skybluefaz said:
Pint of Directors with a gin and tonic and Astrazeneca chaser
Click to expand...
Back of the net
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,041
David O'Day said:
The cov figures are heading nicely in the right direction, hopefully wee can get our of tier 2 asap
Click to expand...
Lad has got the proper pub sweats
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,042
Skybluefaz said:
Lad has got the proper pub sweats
Click to expand...

nah, but I have some good friends who are very worried about their jobs in the pub trade. I can happily expoit the pie, chips and 10 pints loophole of tier 2
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,043
Big drop in infections unfortunately deaths over 600 though
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,044
Sky Blue Pete said:
Big drop in infections unfortunately deaths over 600 though
Click to expand...

sadly i'll take a while for the death total to start to drop
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,045
Sky Blue Pete said:
Big drop in infections unfortunately deaths over 600 though
Click to expand...
Yeah, as I've said before deaths of 500+ a day are pretty much programmed in for probably the rest of the year.
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,046
fernandopartridge said:
Yeah, as I've said before deaths of 500+ a day are pretty much programmed in for probably the rest of the year.
Click to expand...

only half as many tests carried out as well so that'll be why there is a drop
 
X

xcraigx

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,047
David O'Day said:
only half as many tests carried out as well so that'll be why there is a drop
Click to expand...

Looks to be the lowest amount of testing in around 3 months which is odd. Yesterday's was also lower than usual. % wise the amount of positive cases seems similar to the past couple of weeks.
 

Mcbean

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,048
xcraigx said:
Looks to be the lowest amount of testing in around 3 months which is odd. Yesterday's was also lower than usual. % wise the amount of positive cases seems similar to the past couple of weeks.
Click to expand...
Mondays are always low !
 

Sky Blue Pete

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,049
Mcbean said:
Mondays are always low !
Click to expand...
It’s Tuesday
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 24, 2020
  • #36,050
xcraigx said:
Looks to be the lowest amount of testing in around 3 months which is odd. Yesterday's was also lower than usual. % wise the amount of positive cases seems similar to the past couple of weeks.
Click to expand...

Too tinfoil hatty to suggest intentional as we relax lockdown otherwise people would be asking WTF?
 
Reactions: Ian1779
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