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Coronavirus Thread (Off Topic, Politics) (18 Viewers)

  • Thread starter BackRoomRummermill
  • Start date Feb 23, 2020
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D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,981
fernandopartridge said:
The logical conclusion is that as the government has ordered only so many that they'll do mass vaccination using one shot
Click to expand...
The 70% was after two full shots, I thought?
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,982
SBT said:
Take a look at the press release they put out and you’ll see the numbers are much better than that

Oxford University breakthrough on global COVID-19 vaccine | University of Oxford

Oxford announces interim trial data from its Phase III trials that show its candidate coronavirus vaccine is effective at preventing COVID-19 and offers a high level of protection.
www.ox.ac.uk

So in summary:

* If you take the vaccine in two full doses it’s 62% effective

* If you take the vaccine with one half dose followed by one full dose it’s 90% effective

So not only is the vaccine just as effective as the others, there’s also more of it to go round. Plus it appears to slow down transmission of the virus, and it can be stored at fridge temperature. And we have fucking loads of it on order. So this is very very good indeed.
Click to expand...
Yeah slightly confusing as the 70 figure is derived from the data of both regimens.
Almost like the presentation is to depress the share price.
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,983
Deleted member 5849 said:
The 70% was after two full shots, I thought?
Click to expand...
It was confusing as that's how it came across on BBC at one point .
70% via one shot .

Like I said earlier presentation a bit bizzarre, why even bring in the first figure it's misleading.
It's across Two dosages regardless of the quantity in the first one.
 
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,984
Deleted member 5849 said:
The 70% was after two full shots, I thought?
Click to expand...

The 70% is what you get from combining the 62% group (two doses) with the 90% group (one and a half doses)

wingy said:
Yeah slightly confusing as the 70 figure is derived from the data of both regimens.
Almost like the presentation is to depress the share price.
Click to expand...

The share price of Oxford University?

What it shows is that there’s no pressure to sugarcoat anything and they’re going to give us the data as it comes, good and bad. It’s a shame the public and the media isn’t better with numbers but we should be reassured by how this has been handled.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,985
SBT said:
What it shows is that there’s no pressure to sugarcoat anything and they’re going to give us the data as it comes, good and bad.
Click to expand...
Yeah, that's true enough. I do also like the fact it's set up to supply the world ahead of profit.

After all, if the vaccine wears off after a while, if we don't suppress it globally, we're back here again down the line...
 
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,986
SBT said:
The 70% is what you get from combining the 62% group (two doses) with the 90% group (one and a half doses)



The share price of Oxford University?

What it shows is that there’s no pressure to sugarcoat anything and they’re going to give us the data as it comes, good and bad. It’s a shame the public and the media isn’t better with numbers but we should be reassured by how this has been handled.
Click to expand...
Astrazenica.
Although the data of the second more successful regimen based on 3k volunteers appears to increase effectiveness and make the vaccine go further,why downplay that .
Unless they don't have full confidence.
Pundit's observer's etc saying I'd be extremely happy with 70%,why would that be , it's farcical to me.
Either the most affective usage and resultant protection, the 62% regimen is deemed useless/ pointless by the other .
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,987
Deleted member 5849 said:
Yeah, that's true enough. I do also like the fact it's set up to supply the world ahead of profit.

After all, if the vaccine wears off after a while, if we don't suppress it globally, we're back here again down the line...
Click to expand...

They’re not there yet but as mentioned previously, it’s something we should be proud of if it gets fully authorised. It’s one we’ve financially backed as a country and as you say we/they aren’t looking to profit. Could be massive not just for us but globally, especially if it’s correct that it can be stored/transported easier than Pfizers

edit - again, if fully authorised, it might also help to drive down the cost of the other vaccines. Again, great for developing/poorer nations (as well as us)
 
Last edited: Nov 23, 2020
Reactions: wingy and shmmeee
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,988
So most likely to be promoted by the WHO.
 
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,989
wingy said:
Astrazenica.
Although the data of the second more successful regimen based on 3k volunteers appears to increase effectiveness and make the vaccine go further,why downplay that .
Unless they don't have full confidence.
Pundit's observer's etc saying I'd be extremely happy with 70%,why would that be , it's farcical to me.
Either the most affective usage and resultant protection, the 62% regimen is deemed useless/ pointless by the other .
Click to expand...

Oxford University don’t care about AZ’s share price and even if they did there’s no reason for them to try and tank its shares (unless this entire vaccine program is an elaborate short-selling scheme....I’m gonna guess it’s not)

As for pundits saying they’d be happy with 70% - that was what many scientists said was their best case scenario before we got the first set of test results. 70% would be in line with various vaccines for other diseases (flu etc) and worth celebrating in itself. The fact that we’ve hit 90% is both a pleasant surprise and a cause for even more optimism (which is why you saw markets go crazy when the first results come out).

This all looks like a huge achievement.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,990
The Astra Zeneca one is pretty promising given the lack of constraints on storage and distribution.

The British media is an utter embarrassment with the national BBC now being the worst of it. Misleading, sensationalist headlines over reporting of fact.

Inform, educate, entertain.

As AZ is offering the vaccine at cost its share price has fallen, why the fuck are we slaves to the market again?
 
Reactions: wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,991
SBT said:
Oxford University don’t care about AZ’s share price and even if they did there’s no reason for them to try and tank its shares (unless this entire vaccine program is an elaborate short-selling scheme....I’m gonna guess it’s not)

As for pundits saying they’d be happy with 70% - that was what many scientists said was their best case scenario before we got the first set of test results. 70% would be in line with various vaccines for other diseases (flu etc) and worth celebrating in itself. The fact that we’ve hit 90% is both a pleasant surprise and a cause for even more optimism (which is why you saw markets go crazy when the first results come out).

This all looks like a huge achievement.
Click to expand...
I just find the focus around the lower figure irrelevant, inclusion of the lower data suppresses the efficacy and wastes dosage.
Just my opinion I'll leave it there as just my opinion.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
S

SBT

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,992
wingy said:
I just find the focus around the lower figure irrelevant, inclusion of the lower data suppresses the efficacy and wastes dosage.
Just my opinion I'll leave it there as just my opinion.
Click to expand...

These are just test results - the scientists’ job is to collect them and report them, they are what they are. Governments are free to do what they like with the information (and I think it’s pretty obvious what they should do)

Put another way - test results also show chicken tikka masala is less tasty and effective when taken as a suppository but it won’t stop me from ordering it.
 
Reactions: wingy

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,993
clint van damme said:
they've broken their own lockdown rules, misappropriated public funds, bent if not broken the planning laws to deprive a poor London borough of 40 million and been found guilty of bullying since this pandemic started and they haven't apologised for anything.
It should be a national scandal but very few people seem to give a fuck.
Click to expand...

Because the Sun and Daily Mail aren't telling them to give a fuck.
 

chiefdave

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,994
wingy said:
I just find the focus around the lower figure irrelevant, inclusion of the lower data suppresses the efficacy and wastes dosage.
Just my opinion I'll leave it there as just my opinion.
Click to expand...
Not sure there's any big conspiracy to suppress good news. Think its more likely that those responsible for getting articles up on various news websites quickly don't have the knowledge to fully understand a press release that isn't in an easy to understand format.
One dosing regimen (n=2,741) showed vaccine efficacy of 90% when AZD1222 was given as a half dose, followed by a full dose at least one month apart, and another dosing regimen (n=8,895) showed 62% efficacy when given as two full doses at least one month apart. The combined analysis from both dosing regimens (n=11,636) resulted in an average efficacy of 70%. All results were statistically significant (p<=0.0001). More data will continue to accumulate and additional analysis will be conducted, refining the efficacy reading and establishing the duration of protection.
Click to expand...
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,995
Here's a thought.
If it's presented as less effective than those previously announced from overseas at greater cost and difficulty in delivery would that stimulate demand in the British public to seek/prefer those at greater cost .
Looking to deep?
Sorry can't get my head around the downplaying.
Would release more to give away to the WHO?
 

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,996
chiefdave said:
Not sure there's any big conspiracy to suppress good news. Think its more likely that those responsible for getting articles up on various news websites quickly don't have the knowledge to fully understand a press release that isn't in an easy to understand format.
Click to expand...

What I can't understand is why they averaged out the results of the two? Shouldn't they be extolling the fact it's MORE effective with LESS being needed?

If they're separate trials involving two doses and one and a half doses keep them separate.

It'd be like me saying if I have one bottle of wine there's only a 10% chance I'll be sick. If I have a second bottle of wine there's a 60% chance I'll be sick. If I have a third there's a 90% chance I'll be sick. So therefore if I drink wine there's a 53% chance I'll be sick.
 
Reactions: MusicDating, CCFCSteve, wingy and 1 other person
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,997
Suppose you could if you wanted to create a private option.
Oxford for Joe bloggs .
Phizer to the wealthy?
 

shmmeee

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,998
wingy said:
Suppose you could if you wanted to create a private option.
Oxford for Joe bloggs .
Phizer to the wealthy?
Click to expand...

I think this is just bad science reporting TBF. Something that journalists have always struggled with.
 
Reactions: CCFCSteve
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #35,999
shmmeee said:
I think this is just bad science reporting TBF. Something that journalists have always struggled with.
Click to expand...
Not sure ,feels more editorial to me?
 

jimmyhillsfanclub

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,000
A little fuel for any conspiracy theorists amongst us.....

Covid-19: China pushes for QR code based global travel system

QR codes - bar codes that can be read by mobile phones - have been used in China during the pandemic.
www.bbc.co.uk
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,001
The BBC report on the AZ results is a shambles

Covid-19: Oxford University vaccine is highly effective

The vaccine is cheaper than other options and easier to distribute around the world.
www.bbc.co.uk

It clearly says 90% effectiveness with 2 does the same as the Pzifer and Moderna vaccines

Clowns
 
B

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,002
David O'Day said:
The BBC report on the AZ results is a shambles

Covid-19: Oxford University vaccine is highly effective

The vaccine is cheaper than other options and easier to distribute around the world.
www.bbc.co.uk

It clearly says 90% effectiveness with 2 does the same as the Pzifer and Moderna vaccines

Clowns
Click to expand...

If we can get to everyone or nearly everyone asymptomatic that’ll do
 
Reactions: wingy
W

wingy

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,003
Brighton Sky Blue said:
If we can get to everyone or nearly everyone asymptomatic that’ll do
Click to expand...
analysis also suggested there was a reduction in the number of people being infected without developing symptoms, who are still thought to be able to spread the virus

This bits relevant too,yes?
Fill us in scientist.
 

fernandopartridge

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,004
The efficacy is only part of the equation though, far less is being made of the true effectiveness of it which is about the vaccine and how easy it is to administer. It's all well and good having a 95% effective vaccine from Moderna that works brilliantly in a lab but needs to be stored at -70 with specialised distribution. But, as usual with our incredibly dumbed down press, they are focusing on headline numbers they pluck out.
 
Reactions: wingy

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,005
The new tier 2 is fucking shite
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,006
David O'Day said:
The new tier 2 is fucking shite
Click to expand...
What's the gist?
 

David O'Day

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,007
Got the silly Wetherspoons friendly pub laws, only pubs that serve food can open
 

Skybluefaz

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,008
David O'Day said:
Got the silly Wetherspoons friendly pub laws, only pubs that serve food can open
Click to expand...
Oh yeah just saw that. Haven't felt like a beer for a while but I was hoping for a pint with friends before Xmas.
 

hill83

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,009
"Bowl of chips and 10 pints please barkeep"
 
Reactions: Ian1779, shmmeee, CCFCSteve and 1 other person
D

Deleted member 5849

Guest
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,010
Keeping the pork scratchings industry open
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains and CCFCSteve
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,011
David O'Day said:
Got the silly Wetherspoons friendly pub laws, only pubs that serve food can open
Click to expand...

Id even take that at the moment though (concerned Birmingham will end up in T3)

Interesting comments in the Guardian article

‘Tier positions will be reviewed every 14 days, and will be based on five criteria: case numbers across all age groups; cases in those aged over 60; the rate of rise or fall in infections; the percentage of those tested who have the virus; and current and projected pressures on the NHS locally.’

Good news that they’ll be reviewed fortnightly rather than monthly and clearer (hopefully sensible if applied correctly) criteria

ps still gonna be shit but would take almost anything over full lockdown/T3
 

Grendel

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,012
I have had one of those stomach reduction ops so a substantial meal for me is a slice of lemon - oh dump that in a treble G and T to save potential infection from a plate
 
Reactions: Sick Boy, ajsccfc, fernandopartridge and 2 others

Sky_Blue_Dreamer

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,013
Deleted member 5849 said:
Keeping the pork scratchings industry open
Click to expand...

Good old Liz Truss. Thank god she opened up those new pork markets eh!
 
C

CCFCSteve

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,014
Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:
Good old Liz Truss. Thank god she opened up those new pork markets eh!
Click to expand...

Is that euphemism SBD ?
 

clint van damme

Well-Known Member
  • Nov 23, 2020
  • #36,015
Deleted member 5849 said:
Keeping the pork scratchings industry open
Click to expand...

Chipped a tooth on a pork scratching the other day, think my days of eating those artery hardening, salt Laden, hairy little bastards are over.
 
Reactions: Saddlebrains and derbyskyblue
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