Shannerz
Well-Known Member
Wrexham are also massive shitebags, as well as being Wrexham.
Wrexham are also massive shitebags, as well as being Wrexham.Southampton are such massive shite bags that I actually want Wrectum to keep them out of the play offs. Congratulations boys, you've made the list.
Or not considering Millwall had only won 2 of the last 20 matches v Blackburn@Ipad Boro hoodoos are there to be broken
Last man so will be 1Anyone know what the Hughes sending off for Hull was for? Hopefully he misses 3 games (which would be suspension when we play them)
We've just won 6 on the bounce, a loss was inevitable eventually.We need to make our own destiny though and stop 'getting away with it'
I get what you’re saying but we have just won six in seven. Need to keep the lose in perspectiveLooks like we got away with losing today aside Ipswich winning, other results went in our favour. We need to make our own destiny though and stop 'getting away with it'
Hoodoo v VoodooOr not considering Millwall had only won 2 of the last 20 matches v Blackburn
We you 6 on the spin to move away from the pack and go clear at the top!Looks like we got away with losing today aside Ipswich winning, other results went in our favour. We need to make our own destiny though and stop 'getting away with it'
Hard not to think that way, but suppose we have to thank small mercies. Our next few games we will be playing second so pressure will be on, but just got to find 12 points by hook or by crook.Ipswich were always going to win, results been amazing for us! Just a shame we didn’t take advantage of them
That's how bookies make moneyHoodoos exist for good reason in our experience. No matter how against the run of play or statistically improbable it is, something will happen, we will find a way not to triumph.
I suppose as well as nerves there's a statisical reason too, such as us having less prep time than the overwhelming majority of our 7 opponents in this recent poor run thanks to Sky, but nah, the Hoodoo trumps those as a reason for us!
However...the only possible Hoodoo remaining is Wembley. Meaning we get a good shot at getting the autos from here on in.Oh and the prep time stat is levelled too for the remaining 8 now, so we don't get that disadvantage. But again, the absence of a Hoodoo is always more central to our thoughts. So long as our confidence isn't too shot by that run of form, we're in with a real shout now.
12?Hard not to think that way, but suppose we have to thank small mercies. Our next few games we will be playing second so pressure will be on, but just got to find 12 points by hook or by crook.
I reckon 4 wins maybe with a draw will do it
The title I assume you meanI reckon 4 wins maybe with a draw will do it
Hard not to think that way, but suppose we have to thank small mercies. Our next few games we will be playing second so pressure will be on, but just got to find 12 points by hook or by crook.
I'd be optimistic if the threshold to guarantee promotion was just us getting 83 points.I'd say that's about right.
Ipswich would have to get 5 wins in 9 to get there and they are playing Boro and Millwall.
Boro need to win 4 and draw 1 in 8 playing Ipswich Millwall and being in shit form.
Millwall would need to 5 win in 8 playing Ipswich and Boro.
We however, need two wins in 8 to get that and we have a far superior goal difference. We also have Wednesday still to play.
Swansea, Derby, Hull, Wrexham, and any of the rest really. Respect all of those teams.Not the worst set of results today really. Still have a 7 point cushion even with the loss, and that was probably our most difficult game remaining.
Millwall, Ipswich and Middlesbrough all to take points off each other as well.
We're hardly "getting away with it" - before today we'd won 6 in a row.Looks like we got away with losing today aside Ipswich winning, other results went in our favour. We need to make our own destiny though and stop 'getting away with it'
Hmmm…I think for promotion I’d want 90 for complete certainty.The title I assume you mean
What’s it saying with respect to autos threshold?Updated my nerdy simulation after today, and it’s good news:
Despite losing today, our promotion prospects are still absolutely nailed on — 94.7% automatic promotion probability across 100,000 simulations, barely budging from 95.3% before kick-off. With 77 points and 8 games to go, the gap to the chasing pack is just too big for one defeat to matter, and even in our worst-case fifth percentile we’re still finishing on 87 points. Best of all though, Leicester are now 74.7% likely to be dropping into League One. Lol.
LOLHmmm…I think for promotion I’d want 90 for complete certainty.
Yup. That's what I have been saying. We knew we couldn't win 9 in a row, so points were always going to be dropped somewhere down the line and logic said that we would probably lose one or two on the way.We've just won 6 on the bounce, a loss was inevitable eventually.
You’d hope nobody, but just in terms of certainty.How do we need 12 points? Who below is us getting 20 on current form?
Hmmm…I think for promotion I’d want 90 for complete certainty.
I don’t know ultimately. I’m not talking about what’s likely. I’m saying for certainty you’d want 90 points.So two teams below us are getting 20 points - who?
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