shmmeee
Well-Known Member
The vast majority of Onyekas football he’s been a DM or CM. He’s never been a consistent starter for Brentford. He had a run of five or six games in a row max over the three seasons he was playing for them.
I suggest you forget all the incorrect facts you know about Onyeka and note where he does play. He can play anywhere in midfield and he does.
So why did he play for them in the first half of the season but is now down the pecking list?
Augsburg wanted to make it permanent I think but couldn’t agree a fee.If you want a signing who may have made Onyeka less needed then you could say Henderson but FO was out on loan last season was well.
Twat, like he knows football
Twat, like he knows football
EFL Championship 2025/26 — Promotion Probability Model (after GW35, 25 Feb 2026)
100,000 Monte Carlo simulations | home/away PPG + xG differential + last-6 form + decay factor
Ties on projected points broken by current GD + projected xGD over remaining games
# Team Now Proj 1st 2nd PO 3-6 Mid Relg
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
1 Coventry 68 86 86.1% 10.5% 3.4% — —
2 Middlesbrough 63 77 4.1% 31.6% 61.1% 3.2% —
── AUTOMATIC PROMOTION ──
3 Millwall 59 78 7.0% 34.2% 54.1% 4.5% —
4 Ipswich 57 74 1.8% 12.0% 69.6% 16.4% —
5 Hull 57 73 0.8% 7.3% 63.3% 28.3% —
6 Southampton 50 70 0.1% 2.2% 44.6% 52.8% —
── PLAYOFFS ──
7 Wrexham 54 70 — 1.5% 47.3% 51.1% —
8 Bristol City 50 64 — — 9.1% 90.9% —
9 Birmingham 49 66 — 0.2% 13.6% 86.1% —
10 Preston 49 65 — 0.1% 10.6% 89.3% —
11 Watford 48 64 — — 6.4% 93.4% —
12 QPR 47 63 — — 6.1% 93.6% —
13 Stoke 47 63 — — 4.7% 95.3% —
14 Sheffield Utd 45 62 — — 3.4% 96.5% 0.2%
15 Derby 48 61 — — 1.0% 98.7% —
16 Norwich 42 60 — — 1.7% 97.6% 0.7%
17 Swansea 46 56 — — — 98.2% 1.6%
18 Charlton 41 56 — — — 95.0% 4.9%
19 Portsmouth 39 54 — — — 89.6% 10.3%
20 Blackburn 38 53 — — — 83.0% 17.0%
21 Leicester 34 50 — — — 63.9% 36.1%
── RELEGATION ──
22 West Brom 35 50 — — — 63.0% 36.9%
23 Oxford 29 43 — — — 8.0% 91.9%
24 Sheffield Wed -7 0 — — — — 100.0%If 78 is enough for autos that would be wild.Updated my model and simulation based on tonight’s results.
Code:EFL Championship 2025/26 — Promotion Probability Model (after GW35, 25 Feb 2026) 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations | home/away PPG + xG differential + last-6 form + decay factor Ties on projected points broken by current GD + projected xGD over remaining games # Team Now Proj 1st 2nd PO 3-6 Mid Relg ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Coventry 68 86 86.1% 10.5% 3.4% — — 2 Middlesbrough 63 77 4.1% 31.6% 61.1% 3.2% — ── AUTOMATIC PROMOTION ── 3 Millwall 59 78 7.0% 34.2% 54.1% 4.5% — 4 Ipswich 57 74 1.8% 12.0% 69.6% 16.4% — 5 Hull 57 73 0.8% 7.3% 63.3% 28.3% — 6 Southampton 50 70 0.1% 2.2% 44.6% 52.8% — ── PLAYOFFS ── 7 Wrexham 54 70 — 1.5% 47.3% 51.1% — 8 Bristol City 50 64 — — 9.1% 90.9% — 9 Birmingham 49 66 — 0.2% 13.6% 86.1% — 10 Preston 49 65 — 0.1% 10.6% 89.3% — 11 Watford 48 64 — — 6.4% 93.4% — 12 QPR 47 63 — — 6.1% 93.6% — 13 Stoke 47 63 — — 4.7% 95.3% — 14 Sheffield Utd 45 62 — — 3.4% 96.5% 0.2% 15 Derby 48 61 — — 1.0% 98.7% — 16 Norwich 42 60 — — 1.7% 97.6% 0.7% 17 Swansea 46 56 — — — 98.2% 1.6% 18 Charlton 41 56 — — — 95.0% 4.9% 19 Portsmouth 39 54 — — — 89.6% 10.3% 20 Blackburn 38 53 — — — 83.0% 17.0% 21 Leicester 34 50 — — — 63.9% 36.1% ── RELEGATION ── 22 West Brom 35 50 — — — 63.0% 36.9% 23 Oxford 29 43 — — — 8.0% 91.9% 24 Sheffield Wed -7 0 — — — — 100.0%
Yeah, it feels super low, the model is factoring in difficulty of remaining fixture though and it doesn’t like boro’s run in.If 79 is enough for autos that would be wild.
Leicester staying up on GD is annoying, but I’ll live with it if the rest of it plays out.
EFL Championship 2025/26 — Promotion Probability Model (after GW35, 25 Feb 2026)
100,000 Monte Carlo simulations | home/away PPG + xG differential + last-6 form + decay factor
Ties on projected points broken by current GD + projected xGD over remaining games
# Team Now Proj 1st 2nd PO 3-6 Mid Relg
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
1 Coventry 68 86 86.1% 10.5% 3.4% — —
2 Millwall 59 78 7.0% 34.2% 54.1% 4.5% —
── AUTOMATIC PROMOTION ──
3 Middlesbrough 63 77 4.1% 31.6% 61.1% 3.2% —
4 Ipswich 57 74 1.8% 12.0% 69.6% 16.4% —
5 Hull 57 73 0.8% 7.3% 63.3% 28.3% —
6 Southampton 50 70 0.1% 2.2% 44.6% 52.8% —
── PLAYOFFS ──
7 Wrexham 54 70 — 1.5% 47.3% 51.1% —
8 Birmingham 49 66 — 0.2% 13.6% 86.1% —
9 Preston 49 65 — 0.1% 10.6% 89.3% —
10 Bristol City 50 64 — — 9.1% 90.9% —
11 Watford 48 64 — — 6.4% 93.4% —
12 Stoke 47 63 — — 4.7% 95.3% —
13 QPR 47 63 — — 6.1% 93.6% —
14 Sheffield Utd 45 62 — — 3.4% 96.5% 0.2%
15 Derby 48 61 — — 1.0% 98.7% —
16 Norwich 42 60 — — 1.7% 97.6% 0.7%
17 Swansea 46 56 — — — 98.2% 1.6%
18 Charlton 41 56 — — — 95.0% 4.9%
19 Portsmouth 39 54 — — — 89.6% 10.3%
20 Blackburn 38 53 — — — 83.0% 17.0%
21 Leicester 34 50 — — — 63.9% 36.1%
── RELEGATION ──
22 West Brom 35 50 — — — 63.0% 36.9%
23 Oxford 29 43 — — — 8.0% 91.9%
24 Sheffield Wed -7 0 — — — — 100.0%
1st/2nd = probability of finishing in that exact position
PO 3-6 = finishing 3rd-6th (playoff spots)
Mid = finishing 7th-21st
Relg = finishing 22nd-24th (relegated)
Tiebreakers: Southampton edge Wrexham for 6th (proj GD +11.4 vs +9.9)
West Brom drop below Leicester for 22nd (proj GD -17.1 vs -9.3)
Leicester -6pts deduction | Sheffield Wednesday -18pts deductionBlackburn away?Nice, especially as for the top 10 the 'last-6 form' bit is much of a muchness right now... Does this suggest we'll have won the league before the Wrexham game?
Draws would be nice.That fact that Ipswich, Millwall and Middlesbrough all play each other is a massive help.
I was confident today that we’d get a result until KO, first half was pretty ropey and after their opener, thought a draw would be the best we could get. I missed their goal.I'm not sure about tonight. Think we can beat stoke. Anything today a bonus
A win on Saturday and we more or less secure promotion imo (not literally ofc). My assumption is that Boro will fail to beat Birmingham and therefore, the likelihood of 2 teams overturning an 5-8 point deficit with 11 games left just seems unrealistic.That fact that Ipswich, Millwall and Middlesbrough all play each other is a massive help.
8k to Blackburn away will be promotion.Blackburn away?
If they have him there will be no joy.Tim Fisher was on record being a big Sheffield Wednesday fan...
Maybe they could have him and Joy
NoSpeaking of Sheffield Wednesday and no joy, anyone else feel a bit sorry for them at the moment? Relegated by their revolting rivals, 12 consecutive defeats (failing to score in 10 of those).
In recent years some of our fans have expressed a dislike for them (know there was that racist neanderthal giving Palmer abuse a couple of years back), but the Wed fans I have met have all been decent enough and they are a club with a good heritage.
I'll feel a tiny bit sorry for them if they end up with no club at all but until then, nah....Speaking of Sheffield Wednesday and no joy, anyone else feel a bit sorry for them at the moment? Relegated by their revolting rivals, 12 consecutive defeats (failing to score in 10 of those).
In recent years some of our fans have expressed a dislike for them (know there was that racist neanderthal giving Palmer abuse a couple of years back), but the Wed fans I have met have all been decent enough and they are a club with a good heritage.
I really didn't think we were that bad first half. Under our best certainly but I never felt like the game was getting away from us. You could see the shift in Haji the moment they scored.I was confident today that we’d get a result until KO, first half was pretty ropey and after their opener, thought a draw would be the best we could get. I missed their goal.
Second half performance was brilliant an we were the better team. Solid away performance and fair play to Frank changing up his style again.
Birmingham City take the word 'embarrassing' to hitherto unheard of places.
We were sloppyI really didn't think we were that bad first half. Under our best certainly but I never felt like the game was getting away from us. You could see the shift in Haji the moment they scored.
Perhaps, I think there were some nerves certainly.We were sloppy
Apparently they are investing in a rugby union 'franchise'. Expected to apply for one of the new positions in an expanded top flight- W*sps.Birmingham City take the word 'emarrassing' to hitherto unheard of places.
It's almost Herculean.
Probs American football as that’s the same as rugby with armour and cheerleadersApparently they are investing in a rugby union 'franchise'. Expected to apply for one of the new positions in an expanded top flight- W*sps.
Hope it's a ground share.
Probs American football as that’s the same as rugby with armour and cheerleaders
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?