Championship thread 25/26! (18 Viewers)

baldy said:

I still don't understand this 'underlying numbers' & XG bollocks - it's football not maths

Click to expand...

sc1940 said:

Our xG against Norwich was 4.02 to their 0.15. We didn't win that game but if we replayed it 10 times over with the same chances for both sides how many of those do you think we would win?
That was game 5 and back then we were only 3 places above them, now it's 23 places, and the stats in that game reflected that. It was only one game but it was supported by similar stats in our other games against other teams. That's why you need to look at stats over a period of games.

Click to expand...

Sky_Blue_Dreamer said:

But on that same metric v QPR both teams had a very similar xG. According to that we should have maybe scraped a fortunate win. Reality was we absolutely dominated the game and could (probably should) have scored more

Click to expand...