As Of Today, Points Needed To Guarantee Promotion (30 Viewers)

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Otis

Otis

Well-Known Member
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Next Sat two tricky games for rivals

Blackburn v Boro
Ipswich v Millwall
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Yup. Blackburn will certainly be buoyed by their win at the New Den and will still be desperate for points

Could well see that one being a draw.

No idea on the Ipswich v Millwall encounter, but a draw would probably suit us best
 
Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
Otis said:
Yup. Blackburn will certainly be buoyed by their win at the New Den and will still be desperate for points

Could well see that one being a draw.

No idea on the Ipswich v Millwall encounter, but a draw would probably suit us best
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It would be better really if Ipswich or Millwall win and they also beat Middlesbrough As it takes another game away from 2 of the 3 and leaves only 6 to go
 
Marty

Marty

Well-Known Member
The other 3 are more than willing to throw points away this season, Ipswich play Norwich, Portsmouth and Middlesborough within a week. Wouldn't be surprised if they picked up only 3 or less points from that week.

I do think Millwall are the most likely to get the remaining automatic promotion spot, The next 2 games for them are massive. If we beat Swansea, there's every chance we go into the international break with at least a 9 point lead.
 
Otis

Otis

Well-Known Member
Grendel said:
It would be better really if Ipswich or Millwall win and they also beat Middlesbrough As it takes another game away from 2 of the 3 and leaves only 6 to go
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Yeah, I did keep that in mind too. That's probably a better outcome.
 
torchomatic

torchomatic

Well-Known Member
covcity4life said:
Regardless 3-4 wins needed from 8 is a magnificent position to be in
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Absolutely.

Not quite there yet, but definitely in touching distance and we are in such an enviable position.

There are 23 teams who would swap their position for ours in a heartbeat.
 
Lamps

Lamps

Well-Known Member
I prefer to use PPG needed in games. Brings more reality to the situation. First line is our points and current PPG. Next is PPG extra for every remaining game needed to catch us up on points. We would still most probably be ahead on GD.

Coventry 77 points 2.02 PPG

Middlesbrough 0.875 PPG
Ipswich 1 ppg but game in hand.
Millwall 1.125 PPG


It's Ipswich v Millwall before we play on Saturday. Both sides need to win to make inroads on the PPG game needed. A point isn't good enough.

3rd April Middlesbrough v Millwall. Points dropped whatever the result. Millwall need to win at least one of their next 2 games to stay in the race. A dream next 2 games for us.

18th April Ipswich v Middlesbrough. Only relevant if either are still in the chase, but this trio of games is going to point towards what we need. Only one side can get 6 points and the other 2 fall behind the chase to catch us. Win our next 2 we pull well away from at least 2 of them.
 
J

jto123

Well-Known Member
Otis said:
No disrespect to Sheff Wednesday, but that should be one win

The other home games are Derby, Portsmouth and Wrexham.

You have to fancy at least one win there too. Let's say, it was only to be two wins out of that, we would probably need then just one win out of Swansea away, Hull away, Blackburn away and Watford away

Very attainable isn't it.

I am a bit worried about Wright's injury, but I hope he's going to be okay and if missing, it's just a couple of games or so.

Anything can happen of course, but I am thinking, maybe draw against Swansea, beat Derby, beat either Pompey or Wrexham, beat Wednesday, draw at Blackburn and hopefully the Watford game will have nothing riding on it.

Anyway, that would 11 points probably before the Watford game.

Though I am sure there will be twists and turns still to come.
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Wright injury is a little red herring for sure. I think it’s less about the wins needed and making sure we keep the gap where it is. Once it becomes a win between us and the rest anything can happen.
 
J

jto123

Well-Known Member
Sick Boy said:
The 3 below us are and will drop points. I’ve said it before but the Fulham team that gets lauded lost 10 games the year they went up.
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For sure they will drop points and I think 84 would be v borderline. Might get us promotion, might not. I think my point is though from a fan perspective you’d want a lot more. Imagine the stress of only getting 2 wins and a draw from now.
 
Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
jto123 said:
For sure they will drop points and I think 84 would be v borderline. Might get us promotion, might not. I think my point is though from a fan perspective you’d want a lot more. Imagine the stress of only getting 2 wins and a draw from now.
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It’s better than the teams below who have to chase points - after 26 games we were 1 point worse off as a lead. Nothing has really changed in the last 12 games and the points average is well below 2 per game
 
J

jto123

Well-Known Member
Grendel said:
It’s better than the teams below who have to chase points - after 26 games we were 1 point worse off as a lead. Nothing has really changed in the last 12 games and the points average is well below 2 per game
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Yeah, wouldn’t disagree with that. Great position to be in.
 
Otis

Otis

Well-Known Member
jto123 said:
Wright injury is a little red herring for sure. I think it’s less about the wins needed and making sure we keep the gap where it is. Once it becomes a win between us and the rest anything can happen.
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He was holding his groin, so I do think there is an injury there. They may be just trying to manage it
 
Grendel

Grendel

Well-Known Member
Otis said:
He was holding his groin, so I do think there is an injury there. They may be just trying to manage it
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He was signalling to the bench to come off before his header
 
SkyBlueStallion_89

SkyBlueStallion_89

Well-Known Member
AFCCOVENTRY said:
Ipswich quite a tough run here as well.

Millwall H
Brum H
Norwich A
Pompey A
Boro H
Charlton A
West Brom A
Saints A
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That's a tough run of fixtures especially that game against Norwich, a derby game with the form Norwich are in will be extremely difficult for them, reckon Norwich does then over, want them to draw with Millwall and think that Southampton game will be a draw.

If we beat Swansea on Saturday then it's a cracking position to be in this close to the end, I hope Millwall do eventually get that 2nd place
 
Otis

Otis

Well-Known Member
SkyBlueStallion_89 said:
That's a tough run of fixtures especially that game against Norwich, a derby game with the form Norwich are in will be extremely difficult for them, reckon Norwich does then over, want them to draw with Millwall and think that Southampton game will be a draw.

If we beat Swansea on Saturday then it's a cracking position to be in this close to the end, I hope Millwall do eventually get that 2nd place
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If we had have won yesterday, I think we would have been pretty much there. That would have been 12 points clear of 3rd

Guess this makes it more exciting though. 😂
 
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