Sky Blue Goblin
Well-Known Member
To not be so rude to him. La Liga is a better league than the championship. But I still have reservations looking at the stats. And like you say the buyback make very little financial sense
To not be so rude to him. La Liga is a better league than the championship. But I still have reservations looking at the stats. And like you say the buyback make very little financial senseTo rationalise it slightly, he’s only 21 and you’d say La Liga is of a better standard than the Championship so he may prove to be better than that demonstrates in the long run.
Besides, any deal will have some typical City Football Group buy-back/sell-on arrangement where it makes no sense to do.
I literally don’t care who blues are signing, they’re so far behind if they catch us it’s because we’ve self combusted. And we’ve played them twice already.
good point, reckon we can crowdfund messi for them?They're 14th and have to play 5 of the top 7 including Ipswich and Boro. Would help us out if they improved and took points off our rivals
Even by your standards this is poor
Boro actually have 2 tough away games on the spin. Things could look very good very soon if we pull our finger out.We are still 3 losses away from dropping out of the automatics
We are still 3 losses away from dropping out of the automatics
I completely agree but it effectively makes it a 17 game shootout not 20 as FL said. Hopefully we start winning again and begin to look more comfortableFactually correct. But we all need to stop using this line as a coping mech for us being a bit shit for the last month or so.
Given how thick and fast the championship games come at you, that could only be a week or two from reality. The bottom line is, we need to start winning games again and not just one here or there. We need back to back wins. Long unbeaten runs. It's getting serious now and we need to buck the recent trend.
Does it matter what 'coping mechanism' a fan has? Makes no difference to what the team will be doing and probably better for your mental health than the ones that are pissing their bed over a position we'd have all snapped your hand off for. Each to their own though of course.Factually correct. But we all need to stop using this line as a coping mech for us being a bit shit for the last month or so.
Given how thick and fast the championship games come at you, that could only be a week or two from reality. The bottom line is, we need to start winning games again and not just one here or there. We need back to back wins. Long unbeaten runs. It's getting serious now and we need to buck the recent trend.
Even by your standards this is poor
Basically it means of our 20 remaining games, we need to win 7 or 8 of our 11 remaining home games, a couple of away wins and not lose all of the rest.Factually correct. But we all need to stop using this line as a coping mech for us being a bit shit for the last month or so.
Given how thick and fast the championship games come at you, that could only be a week or two from reality. The bottom line is, we need to start winning games again and not just one here or there. We need back to back wins. Long unbeaten runs. It's getting serious now and we need to buck the recent trend.
They can't afford that, it is a desperate gambleBirmingham can afford to just make mistakes and reload with more players and if that doesn’t work sack the manager and if that doesn’t work sign a load more players in the summer until eventually it does work.
We don’t have that luxury of time or money thank god.
Exactly that. Of our next 19 games 11 are at home where we have lost once all season. 6 of which are against sides 12th or lower. Even away from home we have only got 3 of the top half left and 1 of those is on the final day. Clearly we need to win games but as runins go its far from the worst.Basically it means of our 20 remaining games, we need to win 7 or 8 of our 11 remaining home games, a couple of away wins and not lose all of the rest.
What makes you think that is beyond us?
Knew it was happening, as soon as I seen Kababish open extra early today I thought that's a sign....Bored by the lack of nonsense tweets so here’s one
Exactly that. Of our next 19 games 11 are at home where we have lost once all season. 6 of which are against sides 12th or lower. Even away from home we have only got 3 of the top half left and 1 of those is on the final day. Clearly we need to win games but as runins go its far from the worst.
Does it matter what 'coping mechanism' a fan has? Makes no difference to what the team will be doing and probably better for your mental health than the ones that are pissing their bed over a position we'd have all snapped your hand off for. Each to their own though of course.
Basically it means of our 20 remaining games, we need to win 7 or 8 of our 11 remaining home games, a couple of away wins and not lose all of the rest.
What makes you think that is beyond us?
It's just football at the end of the day, i'm absolutely delighted with our position and believe we have come out of a tough period still at the top of the table. No one thought we'd be here, including posters that are absolutely losing it right now, but i'm going to enjoy it.I'd rather realise and comprehend what the current trend is looking like and not what we were doing 6 weeks ago. That way, my mental health will be better prepared if the current trend manifests itself into reality. Those who still sit there repeating the we'll be fine lines after ever game, may be in for a heavy fall, which will hurt a lot if we are caught.
We all need to knuckle down (fans and team) and stop pretending everything will be ok, if we allow it drift along.
But we will be fine. dip in form was down to losing assante ( league top scorer ) plus other injuries and suspensions and our squad size we only had simms as an attacking option of the bench and had to change formation just to give tats and EMC a rest, we haven’t just turned into a bad team, this little wobble has happened for a reason we’ll win the next 2 and business as usual, we’re winning the league. enjoy itI'd rather realise and comprehend what the current trend is looking like and not what we were doing 6 weeks ago. That way, my mental health will be better prepared if the current trend manifests itself into reality. Those who still sit there repeating the we'll be fine lines after ever game, may be in for a heavy fall, which will hurt a lot if we are caught.
We all need to knuckle down (fans and team) and stop pretending everything will be ok, if we allow it drift along.
You are making it sound like only we will have poor form. Other teams have had decent runs and are still points behind us.Anyway, I think we will just scrape it. 2nd place. I just dont like reading how simple it seems to others, when our form has dropped of a small cliff.
Middlesbrough are our closest challengers right now and if our fans had to endure the few games their fans did before that Southampton win I actually think this forum would have crashed. I don't fancy them to catch us personally but we'll see. Ipswich probably will.Anyway, I think we will just scrape it. 2nd place. I just dont like reading how simple it seems to others, when our form has dropped of a small cliff.
Press photo with a kebebish T-shirtKnew it was happening, as soon as I seen Kababish open extra early today I thought that's a sign....Welcome home Gus
Away from home Ipswich have a lot of tricky games left. Their next 2 especially being Watford and Wrexham. Other teams have to keep up good form too not just us.Middlesbrough are our closest challengers right now and if our fans had to endure the few games their fans did before that Southampton win I actually think this forum would have crashed. I don't fancy them to catch us personally but we'll see. Ipswich probably will.
But we will be fine. we’ll win the next 2 and business as usual, we’re winning the league
I know. I think we're in a good place.Away from home Ipswich have a lot of tricky games left. Their next 2 especially being Watford and Wrexham. Other teams have to keep up good form too not just us.
Means nothingOur current form.
| Period | Points/Game | Goals/Game | xG/Game | GCA/Game |
| MW1–18 | 2.39 | 2.78 | 2.07 | 4.6 |
| MW19–26 | 1.13 | 0.88 | 1.26 | 1.4 |
That's the main thing, we have come through the tricky busy period quite well considering the size of our squad. Yes Ipswich have closed the gap at bit but they have basically 2 XIs that can chase promotion.It's just football at the end of the day, i'm absolutely delighted with our position and believe we have come out of a tough period still at the top of the table. No one thought we'd be here, including posters that are absolutely losing it right now, but i'm going to enjoy it.
Period Points/Game Goals/Game xG/Game GCA/Game MW1–18 2.39 2.78 2.07 4.6 MW19–26 1.13 0.88 1.26 1.4
After Matchweek 18, goals collapse, xG drops significantly and goal-creating actions collapse completely
In the first 18 games:
The fall in xG and GCA points to a structural change. Shot-creating actions don’t fall off a cliff. Goal-creating actions do. Coventry is still getting into attacking sequences, but far fewer end in decisive, defence-breaking actions. In practical terms:
- Coventry scored ~13 goals more than xG
- Goals per shot on target were exceptionally high
- Several results (QPR, Derby) were statistical outliers
Stats after Thomas-Asante’s injury:
- more shots from poorer locations
- fewer cutbacks
- fewer late runners
- fewer broken defensive structures
Stats with Torp out:
- fewer carries that commit defenders
- fewer box arrivals from midfield
- fewer first-time final actions
Stats with Rudoni at 10:
- fewer secondary runs
- fewer overloads
- easier to defend for opponents
That indicates a slower tempo, not a lack of ability. Control increases, threat does not. The strikers aren't helping. Once midfield running drops, they can’t:
- possession edges up
- progressive passing does not
- GCA does not recover
Defences can sit higher; chance quality drops, and the numbers follow. That’s why we currently look too easy to defend against.
- compensate by creating space
- or raise xG through individual movement
From our defensive viewpoint, stats suggest there is no sudden drop-off that would indicate we need to sign a defender. It's just that they are coming under more criticism as we aren't doing it in the final third.
The good news is that with Asante back, Torp available, and new wingers who can run beyond the fullback, this should drive xG and GCA. If xG does not rebound, then Frank will need a new striker who is pace-first, off-ball, space-creating, with goals optional. Our stats say Coventry’s problem is the quality of chance creation, not shot volume. We need a striker with pace who forces defences deeper, creates space for midfield runners and enables higher-quality shots for others. Given the importance of Asnate and Torp to this season's success, we may also need a backup in January, someone who can play that box-to-box midfield role, run behind the striker, receive and play quickly, and attack the box.
- Tackles + interceptions remain stable
- Errors leading to shots/goals are low
- Block and interception volumes are consistent
Interestingly, if we maintained 1.13 ppg until the end of the season we would still almost certainly be in the playoffs on 75 points. However games 19 to 26 included Ipswich twice, & Preston and Southampton away (Southampton with 10 men for half the game).
Period Points/Game Goals/Game xG/Game GCA/Game MW1–18 2.39 2.78 2.07 4.6 MW19–26 1.13 0.88 1.26 1.4
After Matchweek 18, goals collapse, xG drops significantly and goal-creating actions collapse completely
In the first 18 games:
The fall in xG and GCA points to a structural change. Shot-creating actions don’t fall off a cliff. Goal-creating actions do. Coventry is still getting into attacking sequences, but far fewer end in decisive, defence-breaking actions. In practical terms:
- Coventry scored ~13 goals more than xG
- Goals per shot on target were exceptionally high
- Several results (QPR, Derby) were statistical outliers
Stats after Thomas-Asante’s injury:
- more shots from poorer locations
- fewer cutbacks
- fewer late runners
- fewer broken defensive structures
Stats with Torp out:
- fewer carries that commit defenders
- fewer box arrivals from midfield
- fewer first-time final actions
Stats with Rudoni at 10:
- fewer secondary runs
- fewer overloads
- easier to defend for opponents
That indicates a slower tempo, not a lack of ability. Control increases, threat does not. The strikers aren't helping. Once midfield running drops, they can’t:
- possession edges up
- progressive passing does not
- GCA does not recover
Defences can sit higher; chance quality drops, and the numbers follow. That’s why we currently look too easy to defend against.
- compensate by creating space
- or raise xG through individual movement
From our defensive viewpoint, stats suggest there is no sudden drop-off that would indicate we need to sign a defender. It's just that they are coming under more criticism as we aren't doing it in the final third.
The good news is that with Asante back, Torp available, and new wingers who can run beyond the fullback, this should drive xG and GCA. If xG does not rebound, then Frank will need a new striker who is pace-first, off-ball, space-creating, with goals optional. Our stats say Coventry’s problem is the quality of chance creation, not shot volume. We need a striker with pace who forces defences deeper, creates space for midfield runners and enables higher-quality shots for others. Given the importance of Asnate and Torp to this season's success, we may also need a backup in January, someone who can play that box-to-box midfield role, run behind the striker, receive and play quickly, and attack the box.
- Tackles + interceptions remain stable
- Errors leading to shots/goals are low
- Block and interception volumes are consistent
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