| Period | Points/Game | Goals/Game | xG/Game | GCA/Game |
| MW1–18 | 2.39 | 2.78 | 2.07 | 4.6 |
| MW19–26 | 1.13 | 0.88 | 1.26 | 1.4 |
After Matchweek 18, goals collapse, xG drops significantly and goal-creating actions collapse completely
In the first 18 games:
- Coventry scored ~13 goals more than xG
- Goals per shot on target were exceptionally high
- Several results (QPR, Derby) were statistical outliers
The fall in xG and GCA points to a structural change. Shot-creating actions don’t fall off a cliff. Goal-creating actions do. Coventry is still getting into attacking sequences, but far fewer end in decisive, defence-breaking actions. In practical terms:
- more shots from poorer locations
- fewer cutbacks
- fewer late runners
- fewer broken defensive structures
Stats after Thomas-Asante’s injury:
- fewer carries that commit defenders
- fewer box arrivals from midfield
- fewer first-time final actions
Stats with Torp out:
- fewer secondary runs
- fewer overloads
- easier to defend for opponents
Stats with Rudoni at 10:
- possession edges up
- progressive passing does not
- GCA does not recover
That indicates a slower tempo, not a lack of ability. Control increases, threat does not. The strikers aren't helping. Once midfield running drops, they can’t:
- compensate by creating space
- or raise xG through individual movement
Defences can sit higher; chance quality drops, and the numbers follow. That’s why we currently look too easy to defend against.
From our defensive viewpoint, stats suggest there is no sudden drop-off that would indicate we need to sign a defender. It's just that they are coming under more criticism as we aren't doing it in the final third.
- Tackles + interceptions remain stable
- Errors leading to shots/goals are low
- Block and interception volumes are consistent
The good news is that with Asante back, Torp available, and new wingers who can run beyond the fullback, this should drive xG and GCA. If xG does not rebound, then Frank will need a new striker who is pace-first, off-ball, space-creating, with goals optional. Our stats say Coventry’s problem is the quality of chance creation, not shot volume. We need a striker with pace who forces defences deeper, creates space for midfield runners and enables higher-quality shots for others. Given the importance of Asnate and Torp to this season's success, we may also need a backup in January, someone who can play that box-to-box midfield role, run behind the striker, receive and play quickly, and attack the box.