10 more wins does it (35 Viewers)

Otis

Well-Known Member
We will win at hull
We should be so hyper confident now going into that game and must be feeling pretty invincible.

Draw wouldn't be too bad, but fancy a win , especially with Rudoni and Wright now back and Lati and EMC should be able to slot back in too you would have thought

Can field a really, really strong side
 

Brighton Sky Blue

Well-Known Member
We should be so hyper confident now going into that game and must be feeling pretty invincible.

Draw wouldn't be too bad, but fancy a win , especially with Rudoni and Wright now back and Lati and EMC should be able to slot back in too you would have thought

Can field a really, really strong side
Go full strength and then rotate for Sheff W
 

sc1940

Well-Known Member
Really don't get the 100% promotion. To be 100% we have to already be promoted and we're not.

Give the likelihood of the games left and the gap, 99.99%. But it can't be 100.00%
This is what gives statistics a bad name, it's probably a rounding up issue, below 100 but too small to register. Either that or they have run the forecasts through a computer, say, 10000 times and it has shown no result other than us being promoted.
 

Monty

Well-Known Member
It's based off simulations. They'll usually do 10,000 or so and it means that we get promoted in every single one of those simulations.
They are predicting second place 82 points so moving onto 83 has in there mind guaranteed promotion
 

Otis

Well-Known Member
Thought it a bit early seeing 2 blokes selling Champions scarfs near the island.

nobody seemed to be buying and rightly so until we actually win the league.
Yeah. I am waiting for the "100 points, 100 goals" ones to come out .

I'll buy one of those instead.
 

mrtrench

Well-Known Member
It's based off simulations. They'll usually do 10,000 or so and it means that we get promoted in every single one of those simulations.

Interesting. That's called Monte Carlo simulation and it's advanced stuff. I would never have guessed it was used for football.
 

bigfatronssba

Well-Known Member
I am loving the thought of watching the chaos of the run in and the playoffs themselves with zero pressure riding on it.

Same. Every single championship play off since 2002 I’ve watched with jealousy, or more recently with nerves.

Will be great to watch the playoffs with a feeling of superiority
 

alexccfc99

Well-Known Member
We will be mathematically promoted if we beat Sheff Wed next Saturday, but only if:

We beat Hull
Boro drop points at Swansea
Millwall drop points against either Norwich on Monday, or Baggies Friday night.
More than plausible imo

You have to fancy Millwall at home I guess but Norwich are no mugs and Morrison has turned WBA round a bit and they will still be scrapping for points

Entirely possible that Boro drop points away to Swansea as well

Now wouldn't that be a nice way to spend out Saturday:love:
 

Sbarcher

Well-Known Member
More than plausible imo

You have to fancy Millwall at home I guess but Norwich are no mugs and Morrison has turned WBA round a bit and they will still be scrapping for points

Entirely possible that Boro drop points away to Swansea as well

Now wouldn't that be a nice way to spend out Saturday:love:
And Ellis becomes a £7.5m player?
 

TomS91

Well-Known Member
Thought it a bit early seeing 2 blokes selling Champions scarfs near the island.

nobody seemed to be buying and rightly so until we actually win the league.
I spoke to him briefly and said he was a bit premature. He wasn't even a Cov fan so at least it's not one of our own being so stupid.
 

PaulPUSB

Well-Known Member
Transport Museum can put this icon in for its MOT

View attachment 50361

and whilst they're at it they should get Onyeka put on the insurance for this, he can lead the parade

View attachment 50362
6d3854be39b080a3f3428f6abdcbf165.gif


Sent from my SM-A176B using Tapatalk
 

Mucca Mad Boys

Well-Known Member
Really don't get the 100% promotion. To be 100% we have to already be promoted and we're not.

Give the likelihood of the games left and the gap, 99.99%. But it can't be 100.00%

Some real funky shit has to happen for us to not go up given that 91 points guarantees promotion. If Millwall and Boro fail to win on Monday, we can secure promotion v Sheff Wednesday because their max points tally would be 87-88 and beating Hull then Sheff Wednesday takes us to 89.

The model must be something like 99.99999% and they’ve just rounded up because as you say, 100% chance of promotion should mean it’s mathematically done and dusted.
 

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