clint van damme
Well-Known Member
You've missed Bristol
Preston - W
Southampton - D
Swansea - W
Derby - W
Hull - D
11 points.
Ignored it as we dont know when its being arranged to do we?You've missed Bristol
Yes to a midweek date in March (can’t remember exactly though!)Is our game defo going to be moved if Bristol get through?
Ignored it as we dont know when its being arranged to do we?
Ah got you.But it will definitely be in the next block of 5, 7th or 17th of March
We havnt got Brad Collins in goal this year though, he did lose us a fair few points during those lossesInterestingly, if we replicate last season mediocre final 11 of 5 wins 1 draw 5 losses that will easily be enough
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Millwall also play Boro and Ipswich away and they’ve gone under the radar a bit. If they beat both, they ought to go up.My reasoning for it is this
Firstly, 4 more wins puts us on 83. 7 games remaining, and we wont lose all 7, we've lost 6 all season. So say we draw 3 of them. Giving us 86 points.
For Boro to get to 87 they would need to get 24 from 12, thats 2 PPG they aint been that rate all season
Ipswich need to get 27 from 13, same as above
One of them could maybe fluke it. Both wont
Add to this, our much superior GD being worth a point if we end up level.
And finally Boro play Ipswich. Guaranteed points dropped one way or another
No, but we’re also not going to lose 7 games. I think we’ll win 6-7 personally and we’ll be the only team to break 90 points.Won’t go up with 83 I don’t think
It does feel that way if Birmingham beat Boro on Monday. To make up 3 games (8 points) on us with an inferior GD is just not likely. They have a harder run in than us imo.we will be mathematically promoted at 1700 on 11th April - not champions but going up
We havnt got Brad Collins in goal this year though, he did lose us a fair few points during those losses
Good for him, he still cost us a lot of points while playing for us thoughI think I saw a stat the other day to show he’s the best keeper in L1.
Was thinking since we went to league 2 , ive been to around 75 grounds many multiple times , several hundred matches in total and i cant believe how close we are to getting back into the premier league
Every penny and every mile worth it , what a journey
5 wins 2 draws 4 losses we can gett 88 pointsWatching a few championship analysts and the way things are going for the top 6 in terms of wins it’s likely to be high 80s to secure autos now.
It’s only because everyone won this weekendWatching a few championship analysts and the way things are going for the top 6 in terms of wins it’s likely to be high 80s to secure autos now.
Aim for the stars!Be nice to get another 10 win winning streak
Another 6 from the next 6
5 has to be the minimum with draws. 4 is cutting is fine potentially
Ccfc website says Bristol Tuesday 17th march...if rearrangedBut it will definitely be in the next block of 5, 7th or 17th of March
| Team | Points to reach Coventry's Current 71 | Points to reach Coventry's Projected 92 | Required Form |
| Middlesbrough | 8 | 29 | ~2.4 PPG (Elite) |
| Ipswich Town | 11 | 32 | ~2.4 PPG (Elite) |
| Millwall | 9 | 30 | ~2.7 PPG (Near Perfect) |
| Hull City | 11 | 32 | ~2.6 PPG (Near Perfect) |
We still need win our games and add the pointsPeople are forgetting that with the density of the current top five, we are seeing a season where the "average" points for promotion might be slightly lower because the top teams are playing each other so frequently in March and April.
Here are the remaining head-to-head fixtures for the top 5:
Because our direct rivals are constantly playing each other, they are mathematically forced to take points away from one another which will lower the total points needed for autos.
- 3 March: Ipswich vs. Hull
- 7 March: Hull vs. Millwall
- 21 March: Ipswich vs. Millwall
- 3 April: Middlesbrough vs. Millwall
- 6 April: Coventry vs Hull
- 18 April: Ipswich vs. Middlesbrough
How many points does Coventry need?
To Secure 1st (The Title): 21–23 Points
To reach a "safe" title-winning total of 92-94 points, Coventry needs roughly 21 more points from their final 11 games.
- The Record: 7 wins from 11 matches would likely make them untouchable.
- The "Lower Target": If Middlesbrough and Ipswich draw their head-to-head on April 18, Coventry could actually win the league with as few as 89 points.
To Secure 2nd (Automatic Promotion): 16–18 Points
Coventry is in a dominant position for 2nd. To reach 87-88 points (the projected promotion line), they only need about 17 more points.
- The Record: 5 wins and 2 draws from 11 games would almost certainly see them promoted.
How many points do the others need to overtake Coventry?
For any of the chasing four to overtake Coventry for 1st place, they essentially need Coventry to collapse while they produce a near-perfect run.
Team Points to reach Coventry's Current 71 Points to reach Coventry's Projected 92 Required Form Middlesbrough 8 29 ~2.4 PPG (Elite) Ipswich Town 11 32 ~2.4 PPG (Elite) Millwall 9 30 ~2.7 PPG (Near Perfect) Hull City 11 32 ~2.6 PPG (Near Perfect) The "Ipswich Factor"
Ipswich is the only team with a realistic mathematical path to pressure Coventry for 1st because of their two games in hand. If they win both, they move to 66 points—just 5 behind Coventry. However, they would still need Coventry to lose twice while Ipswich remains perfect.
The "Middlesbrough Threat"
Middlesbrough's path to 1st relies entirely on Coventry dropping points in their "easier" fixtures against bottom-half teams. If Boro wins 10 of their last 12 (30 points), they finish on 93. If Coventry only wins 6 of their last 11 (18 points + 3 draws = 21 pts), Boro takes the title.
Summary: The "Magic Number" to beat Coventry
If Coventry continues at their current pace (2.03 PPG), they will finish on 93 points. To beat them:
- Middlesbrough needs 31 points from 36 available (10 wins).
- Ipswich needs 34 points from 39 available (11 wins).
- Millwall needs 32 points from 33 available (basically impossible).
Of course, its all speculation.We still need win our games and add the points
7000+ at Blackburn will be a moment to savour.Aprils the month 4 home games out of 6, I’m going promoted v Blackburn and win the league against Portsmouth
Not if you watched yesterdays highlightsI think I saw a stat the other day to show he’s the best keeper in L1.
He was a ropey for both goals. Probably goes to show just how big the difference is between L1 and the Championship.Not if you watched yesterdays highlights
Not excellent at anything the worst keeper we’ve had for a long timeHe was a ropey for both goals. Probably goes to show just how big the difference is between L1 and the Championship.
His goals prevented is the best league believe it or not which summarises Collins to be honest. An excellent shot stopper but is prone to bad mistakes and unfortunately, you can’t tolerate that in the Championship.
Aprils the month 4 home games out of 6, I’m going promoted v Blackburn and win the league against Portsmouth
8 wins 2 draws and 1 defeatThe 'cast iron' points total that will get us promoted is 97. In other words 8 wins and 2 draws.
That is in the event that Boro and Ipswich draw when the face each other and win every other game they play. Almost an impossibility.
with a double on England to Win world cup ……Right - who's about to make their fortune with a City as Champions bet?
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