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Nothing is simple. :D But yeah, those numbers I have are about as raw as it gets. Registered deaths by week from the ONS all causes. Even then: we know January 2020 was unusually low I believe and would drag that number down, similarly Jan 2021 would show huge increases, should we take...

Why wouldn’t you just go to the source? Data isn’t simple. A basic calculation of this year - last year has its caveats (last year might have been a particularly high year, the rate was expected to fall so even a steady rate is a relative rise, etc). Even an average of the last five years has...

England and Wales. I used the SUM() function, so I’m fairly sure it’s added up. :p

614,114 Average of 2015-19: 531,129

What smoke and mirrors? Full dataset for last year is here:https://www.ons.gov.uk/file?uri=/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales/2021/copyofpublishedweek042021.xlsx I think you’re confusing death rate...

Anyone else stunned by that excess deaths graph? The shooting up in 2008 that never really went down again? I mean on an abstract I know economic contraction without support costs lives, but never seen such a stark graphic demonstrating it.

LOL, I do all those things and all because I loved Maths at school.

This is why I’m both desperate to hear how we do this, and concerned we haven’t heard a serious proposal in five years (aside from a race to the bottom on tax and workers rights, which isn’t a win IMO). We’ve given up our long standing way to punch above our weight in terms of being the nexus...

That’s really interesting. Possible stupid question, why can’t we make a vaccine for all the possible main groups of variants and pump people with all of them at once?

Grendel came out aged 55 E: was born, not in a gay way

Didn’t realise this TBF. Although will take a pinch of salt as “terms” is a very wide range.

I have no idea what Euro derivative trading is, but line go down

Vaccine rollout is a massive success. Most voters have the attention span and memory of a hyperactive goldfish. Don’t expect to see a dent in Tory support until lockdown is over.

Totally out of my area here, but wouldn’t the higher R number mean we have less time to prep a COVID variant vaccine compared to flu? What’s the lead time from discovery to serious impact on services?

Get this kid an SBT login.

I hear COVID is getting it’s first jab of the Gus vaccine tomorrow. 0% effective.

Who are we going to get in for those wages?

Gus Hamers right foot is subject to UN inspections due to its status as a weapon of mass destruction.

I didn’t know when I ordered it it wouldn’t be here until Jan. And no, I didn’t think to check ok?

I think my kids might have grown out of theirs already! Might just frame one and stick it in the home office.