Search results

It’s clearly tactical and like any system, there’s trade offs. We can’t lockdown the defence without compromising the chance creation. We really should have scored 2 more goals than we actually did against Millwall and arguably Leicester too. We’ve conceded 5 goals v Ipswich and 3 v...

Norwich were better at that point though and it was a game they deserved a point at the very least, we got battered that game. The only shock was that it got to stoppage time at 1-0 up! 😂 Be confident, we’re going to beat them.

I look at that fixture run and feel that we should win all of them. A draw with Boro would be reasonable but it’s a game where we need to land a knockout blow to their automatic promotion aspirations. WBA are sinking and Sheff U are in a weird place, two games we need to win. I’m hoping this...

True but at that time PNE had only lost once at home and had a top 6 home record (probably 4th iirc). After Sheff W, Norwich have lost the most home games all season.

We’re a superstitious bunch on this forum. Norwich were a bogey team because they’ve been a much better team than us for (comfortably) a generation. We’re winning the league, their right down at the bottom (teams around them have games in hand) and their home form has been bad all season. If...

With Ipswich, they’ve only really caught up to us because their schedule has heavily favoured home fixtures and they beat us away. The litmus test is Feb where it’s flipped. They’re averaging 1.33 per game away from home and of their next 8 league games, 6 are away. In their last 6 away...

Yes, but their best results have been away from home. Their home record under the new manager is 3-0-2, having lost v Stoke and Watford in their last 2. Norwich are a relegation candidate team and it’s a game we need to winning. Same as QPR, they’ve really beaten anyone at the top end of the...

The pundits were putting a lot on our ‘declining’ away record but didn’t really account for the difficult games we had. We’ve played 8 of the top 12 teams away from home. By contrast, we’ve still got to play 2 of the worst teams at home (Norwich & Blackburn), and teams like Bristol City, WBA...

No, the point is actually our defence isn’t that bad in the first instance and that you over fixating on what other teams defences are doing is irrelevant because we’re the top scorers in this league by a massive margin. Oxford and Pompey actually have top half defensive records so using them...

So? Their defensive records aren’t that bad, the problem with those teams is the goals scored, both have less goals than games played. 5th in the league when it comes to goals conceded - Ipswich 24 - Stoke 25 - Boro & PNE 29 - Cov & Bristol 51 Meanwhile, we’ve scored 61 goals and have a GD of...

They haven’t got the energy or the form to keep up with us and Ipswich. They’ve even played 1 more home than us in the last 10 compared to us and made up 1-2 points on us.

I’ll take the 9 point lead thank you!

Check the xG for the games we played 5 atb. The strength of schedule wasn’t all that either. Ultimately, who cares if you concede just over a goal a game if you’re creating chances to score 2-4? We also scored considerably less goals back then too. Millwall’s goal against us was pretty...

Only 4 of our last 10 were at home. Meanwhile, Ipswich have had 6/10 be at home. Ipswich have a home record just as good as ours albeit we’ve played 1 game less at home. Ipswich have been flawless at home all season, it’s on the road where they struggle. That in large part explains why...

Being a top percentile player for tackles and interceptions suggests yes to me.

That’s exactly my point… so an extra £3m for a proven top division player is going to be good value. No one batted an eyelid at signing Grimes because we all knew it was what the team needed. His age, wages or resale value were irrelevant precisely because it made us a better team.

It’s quite funny that no batted an eyelid when it came to us signing 29 year old Grimes for £4m last season. An extra £3m for proven Prem talent, just makes sense. No one would dispute that Grimes has added to our squad so much because we needed a player who can control games. Now, we need...

The point about him being at a relegation level team is pertinent here. On a per 90 basis, Ponticelli is our best striker over the last decade, that’s worth pondering on. On per 90 measurements there’s more room for statistical anomalies to show up. Brentford are also 7th in the league and if...

At the very least, he will be a squad player in the Prem so £7m for a squad player is good value. You also don’t really need to worry about resale value in the Prem. The business model is geared towards one thing in the Prem: staying up. Just look at Wolves who tried to be too clever with...

For those numbers I personally prefer the raw metrics but per 90 has its uses. But it can can unfairly punish players who play 90m most games, Onyeka played 83m per game that season so more or less played 90m for every game. I imagine tracking defensive stats on a per 90 can be difficult as...