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I know, my point was that Dom wasn’t the only one, a lot of people (in particular the media) have been following those numbers alone, even though it’s been stated previously that they aren’t just deaths that occurred that day (the medical officers have obviously got to the point where they...

To be fair, that’s a long way ; )

Ive give up trying to understand people’s actions. All we can hope is that it’s a tiny minority (i fear not though)

You’re not the only one ! What they are saying (and to be fair I’ve heard the medical officers saying it previously) is that the daily death numbers aren’t just the deaths that have occurred on that given day ps as far as I’m aware the confirmed cases are more accurate assessment of the numbers...

A shame but think stuff like that has got to happen this weekend unfortunately

The fatality numbers are in but interesting wording accompanying the English numbers on Guardian online (which goes towards supporting why looking at daily death rate alone is pretty irrelevant) Wales - 41 Scotland - 81 England - 765 total 887 ‘Of the 765 new hospital deaths announced today...

To be fair I was saying to someone yesterday that the US sending us 200 ventilators would be bizarre (if true). James O’Brien is an intelligent guy and no doubt would consider trump to be a liar, yet has jumped on a classic Trump deflection tactic (don’t look at New York which is up against...

Yeah, agreed. I think the medical officer was alluding to the same thing when saying that every winter there can be breaches at individual hospitals. Let’s hope this can be kept to a minimum if there’s capacity overall though. Ps I live in Birmingham so a bit concerning. I was reading earlier...

I’ve also ready about how patients can start to feel better and then deteriorate rapidly. Scary

Im guessing they will be added in to the overall total as the process goes on (after post mortem tests are carried out) but not to a/the daily totals

Just to remind everyone again (as I know ROS will be disappointed if I didn’t !), that two week head start was at least partially built up by our own actions (very good initial trace and tracking, request for use of 111 and to self isolate). Agree, that if we have wasted that it will be...

Agreed. Just to clarify I wasn’t intending to compare countries by the way, I was just highlighting what the recent US model indicated (its inaccurate !)

Yeah, god knows between reported and final actuals. Will be the same for all countries I’m guessing. That model is either inaccurate or not comparing like for like (so to speak) though. From memory it was suggesting 66k of Uk deaths and 20k for Italy, 15k for France and 19k for Spain by August

The model is already proving to be inaccurate but I never like to speak too soon when it comes to predicting the future

that was promised for end of April which Hancock then upgraded to (a probably unrealistic) 100k

I really hope to god that 3k of deaths a day isn’t where we will be at peak. Thats the number that recent US model predicted but Ferguson said they were using the incorrect Uk data on beds etc. That’s not to say it’s not possible but hopefully the model was inaccurate

I think NI was included (as they were announced early, if not they were 5 deaths and 84 positives) The 5.5k new cases isn’t a huge surprise if we haven’t peaked yet (less than Sunday’s number of 5.8k) If it rises at a similar rate tomorrow then that will be a lot more concerning. Fingers crossed

Agree Clint. Let’s fucking hope the governments more accurate anyway ! ps let’s be honest all the modelling is questionable as the disease is an unknown quantity. I was just shocked that the media were printing headlines off the back of this one, when it currently appears flawed. As I say, it’s...

Has anyone actually looked at the graph and read the projections (and I include the Mail, Guardian etc - to say it’s irresponsible to print the headlines based on this model is an understatement - there are already doctors/hospitals saying people aren’t ‘bothering’ them over perceived ‘minor...

Regis one two header with the crossbar !!!